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Posts posted by Auto Driller
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I totally understand Slowik and Johnson’s decisions here. When you’re looking at taking your shot with a team like the Commanders or spending another year working with Stroud and Ryans, then getting another shot the following year it just makes sense. If you flame out with one of those dysfunctional franchises you may never get a second chance.
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1 hour ago, Juicy said:
Welp….
Thanks for the natty and rebuild. Sherrone time.But is he capable of crying after every game for a full 12 game season?
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1 hour ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:
Huge pickup with Bond. Our offense will only improve now. Just need to pickup a great TE.
Am I the only one who thinks that Gunnar Helm is going to be a great starter next year?
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I’m guessing compound fracture of the arm.
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3 hours ago, Spider2YBanana said:
I'm high so I'm gonna get in my feelings a little bit. Losing Sanders will be the biggest loss in a long ass time. Having that freak of nature got Texas to the CFP. His freakish catches, and he's gotten much better at blocking, his wing span, catch radius, we aren't finding a dude like him for a long time. That sucks.
I agree, but Helm is also pretty good. Having him come back for his senior year is going to set us up pretty well at the position. I wouldn’t be opposed to a portal / grad transfer at the position since it doesn’t seem like any of the other sophomores or juniors have stepped up though.
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I am actually hoping that we come in at 4 and FSU at 3. I like the Michigan matchup.
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Garrett Gilbert after the Colt injury was like Joe Montana compared to this FSU QB.
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Harvey Updyke is coming out of retirement if FSU gets in over Bama.
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Are we sure that this FSU QB played football in high school? They didn’t accidentally sign a volleyball player?
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On Draft Kings sport book right now, Texas is -320 to make the playoff. Alabama -650. FSU +140.
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1 minute ago, TxTower said:
If Sean mentions Worthy’s injury and the playoff committee again - I may scream.
But you can’t consider FSU playing with a 3rd string freshman QB.
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I think we would be unwise to assume an easy game. OSU comes prepared to play against us, usually.
That being said, Vegas has the line at -15 for a reason.
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Jedd Fisch is the greatest coach of all time. Everyone wanted to hire him but aggy pulled off a miraculous coup. There was a secret network of sips, liberals, and immigrants conspiring to hold aggy back from the greatness that they deserve. But that network has been defeated. This will go down in history books alongside aggy’s other great military triumphs. Commemorative cups and t-shirts will soon be available at texags.com.
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2 minutes ago, LTtxfan said:
Rumor is New coach to keep most of current defensive staff... and new coach is currently a Power Five coach.
So Elko, Fisch, or player to be named later...
He is a “sitting” P5 coach. aggy only hires royalty.
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I’ve come to the conclusion that it doesn’t really matter who they hire because the institutional idiocy of aggy will pull the new coach into mediocrity, whoever it is. Go ahead and hire Deboer or Urban or Dabo. It literally doesn’t matter. The sleeping giant will continue sleeping.
Also, it was hilarious hearing Bjork lecture the public on how to set up an incentive based contract.
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It always seemed like he was too heavy and wasn’t quick off the ball. Somehow he gained weight this offseason (I think) and is probably our best first-move guy on the DL. He’s a legitimate candidate to go top 10 in the NFL draft.
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9 minutes ago, Frank Drebin said:
A full 2 yards difference. 3rd and 3 instead of 3rd and 5.
My penalty analysis from above can’t/doesn’t account for fuckery like this, but it’s at least as significant as the penalties.
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On 11/7/2023 at 11:31 AM, Auto Driller said:
Because I hate Big 12 refs and have too much time on my hands I decided to look at the data for this year’s conference games and try to figure out whether there is any validity to the idea that games are called different against us. I looked only at the teams that we have played so far (Kansas, OU, KSU, BYU, Baylor, Houston). Here is what I found:
Games not against Texas
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Average penalties: 5.4
Average penalty yards: 48.9
Average opponent penalties: 5.4
Average opponent penalty yards: 45.9
Against Texas
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Average penalties: 3.7
Average penalty yards: 26.0
Average opponent penalties: 6.2
Average opponent penalty yards: 48.5
Conclusions
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Against Texas, an opponent can expect to be called for ~2 fewer penalties and ~26 fewer penalty yards than their average in Big 12 play. They can expect their opponent (Texas) to be called for ~1 additional penalty and ~3 additional penalty yards than average.
Officiating crews are, statistically speaking, having a much greater effect by failing to call penalties against our opponents than by calling extra penalties against us. This is consistent with the examination of holding / PI calls posted earlier in the thread.
I went back and updated the spreadsheet to account for the last two games against TCU and ISU. I also pulled in all conference games from weeks 4-11 that involved either of these teams (previously they were excluded). Here are the results:
Games not against Texas
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Average penalties: 5.2
Average penalty yards: 44.4
Average opponent penalties: 5.0
Average opponent penalty yards: 40.9
Games against Texas
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Average penalties: 4.0
Average penalty yards: 30.3
Average opponent (Texas) penalties: 6.4
Average opponent (Texas) penalty yards: 50.5
Conclusions
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Our opponents can expect to be called for 1.2 fewer penalties for 14.1 fewer penalty yards than their average in conference play. They can expect their opponent (Texas) to be called for 1.4 additional penalties and 9.6 additional penalty yards relative to the average of their other conference opponents.
TLDR we are getting consistently fucked to the tune of nearly 25 net penalty yards per game. The sample size is now 53 games. This is not random chance.
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4 minutes ago, elguapo said:
All damn game the refs were giving ISU a yard advantage on spots, incredibly blatant. It was also infuriating how the tv crew wouldn’t say anything about the ridiculous officiating last night.
The “3rd and 1” that resulted in a TD was clearly a first down. I also recall a 1st down run by ISU that resulted in a TFL but was instead ruled a gain of 1.
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Refs were doing their best in the 1st half to give ISU the opportunity to take the lead. When it became clear they couldn’t do it, even with help, in the 3Q they evened it up a little bit at the end. I will say though. That illegal formation penalty was a killer for ISU. Correctly called, but not one that I expected.
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The only thing we know for sure is that aggy is going to fuck up this decision in spectacular fashion.
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The smart thing would be to hire a G5 up and comer for $4M a year, accept that this is a multi-year rebuild, and lay low for a while.
But when has aggy EVER done the smart thing?
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1 minute ago, Frank Drebin said:
Negotiated departure. His contract doesn’t have offset for future earnings. Maybe he’s not happy there and told ags he would let them offset earnings from future job like West Virginia or some type of negotiated out. Say he gets $4 million for 5 years from WVU. And lets ags offset that against the $75 million. I could see some sort of negotiated out if he’s miserable there or realizes it’s just not happening.
There’s no reason at all for Fisher to negotiate against himself like this. He can still take the WVU job and make every bit of the $75M. It seems like the aggy BOR is much more miserable than he is.
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I need Liucci to explain how this is the ultimate power move that signals that the sleeping giant is awakening.
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2024 Houston Texans off-season thread
in Football
Posted
I mostly agree, but did you really cite Houston weather as a motivating factor? We are about 4-5 months removed from a scorching hellscape and will probably get another one in 3 more.