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March Madness Seed Draft


BigOrange1

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Poster, Current Score, EV
B, 61, 83.85
JJ, 55, 71.18
G, 69, 69.00
D, 50, 50.00
BB, 38, 43.45
E, 31, 36.16
J, 31, 31.00
EE, 25, 25.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
B - 52.63% (18)
JJ - 35.36% (12)
Tie - 12.01% (2)
G - 0.00% (0)
D - 0.00% (0)
BB - 0.00% (0)
EE - 0.00% (0)
J - 0.00% (0)
E - 0.00% (0)

 

G has no chance to win outright, but both possible ties are between B and G.

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With Auburn's win I have clinched. Update:

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 100.00% (16)
HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0)
Capn81 - 0.00% (0)
Jack Straw - 0.00% (0)
Tie - 0.00% (0)
Goo Punch - 0.00% (0)
IPoopOnWhoop - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0)

 

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 107, 125.41
Capn81, 54, 68.49
HornOnTheBayou, 47, 54.18
Jack Straw, 49, 49.00
IPoopOnWhoop, 42, 42.00
Goo Punch, 36, 36.00
BigOrange1, 24, 24.00
Bartles, 21, 21.00

 

Paypal address is huckleberry@adjustedstats.com

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@BradInATX - your contest updates:

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
B - 83.12% (13)
JJ - 16.88% (3)
Tie - 0.00% (0)
G - 0.00% (0)
D - 0.00% (0)
BB - 0.00% (0)
EE - 0.00% (0)
J - 0.00% (0)
E - 0.00% (0)

 

Poster, Current Score, EV
B, 81, 83.85
JJ, 55, 71.18
G, 69, 69.00
D, 50, 50.00
BB, 38, 43.45
E, 31, 36.16
J, 31, 31.00
EE, 25, 25.00
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Brad, for yours.

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
B - 72.46% (6)
JJ - 27.54% (2)
Tie - 0.00% (0)
G - 0.00% (0)
D - 0.00% (0)
BB - 0.00% (0)
EE - 0.00% (0)
J - 0.00% (0)
E - 0.00% (0)

JJ wins if in the NCG:

Michigan State beats Virginia
OR
Texas Tech beats Virginia

Otherwise B, which I'm assuming is you, wins.

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In [mention=2008]BradInATX[/mention]'s contest, if Texas Tech wins then JJ wins. If Virginia wins then B wins.

Yep. Has yours ever come down to the last game? I think this is actually the first time in 4 years that Final 4 weekend even mattered in ours. Thanks again for the idea and running ours through.  

 

BTW. we also pay last place their money back. Gives the people who get murdered on the first Thurs/Fri a second chance at rooting interest. Pretty fun twist.

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