Everything posted by Hank Chinaski
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2022 MLB thread
I mean, they probably were.
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2022 Houston Astros Thread
As long as the top 5 includes Altuve, Brantley, Bregman, Alvarez and Tucker, I don’t actually care that much about the order. But I also think that Bregman will come out of his funk any time now.
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Uniform Pron
Why did they ever move them to where they didn’t belong in the first place?
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2022 Houston Astros Thread
- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
Same. I was 9. ‘86 was such a great season and that was such a fun Astros team. I hated the Mets too. But I actually liked Strawberry - he was just awesome to watch and holy shit did he have HOF talent (he was on a clear HOF track before the years of addiction caught up to him). And I hated Gary Carter, but then he got cancer and died pretty young, and turns out he wasn’t a bad guy. And I hated Keith Hernandez, but then a few years later he was on some damn good Seinfeld episodes, so I kinda started liking him. So my hatred for the Mets took a big hit. But Lenny Dykstra - fuck that guy now and forever.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
- Tell me about Nebraska
- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
3/20 on balls in play. As you said, it happens.- Tell Me About Texas a&m
- 2022 MLB thread
Oof. So the Angels paid $70 million for him to play in 103 games and produce 1.2 fWAR over the 2021 and 2022 seasons. They’ll be paying him $35mm annually for the next 4 years. He’ll be 33 next season. I think I know why the Angels can’t ever get over the hump…- 2022 MLB thread
He does spend, but he’s spent it foolishly. Maybe that’s on his GMs, not sure how those decisions were made. But that Pujols contract always looked absurd, as he was clearly paying a guy in his 30s (and into his 40s) for production from his 20s.- 2022 MLB thread
They’ve paid a lot of money to Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton, CJ Wilson and Justin Upton over the last decade. They have not gotten a lot of value out of those investments. Rendon could still turn it around, but so far that signing hasn’t paid off either.- 2022 MLB thread
Nice seats.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
Altuve has 1829 hits, meaning that he’s 1231 hits away from Biggio. Throwing out the Covid season, he’s averaged about 162 hits/year over the last 3 (‘18, ‘19, ‘21). So, he’d need to keep up that pace for another 7.5 years to get there. That takes him to age 39, and that’s assuming he doesn’t slow down. I hope he gets there, but I’d bet the under. Yordan has 78 HR, so 371 behind Bagwell. If he averages 35 HR/year for the next 11 years he’d pass Bagwell. That takes him to age 36. He’s never actually hit 35 HR in a year though, so let’s give him 30/year. Then it takes him a little over 12 years, meaning he’d have to average 30 through age 37. If I had to bet on one or the other, I’d probably bet on Yordan. But the odds are against either of them.- 2022 MLB thread
He is referring to what Goldy did not Betts right, Beau Vine and SB Bruin were arguing over who was hotter (in terms of recent hitting performance, I think) between Goldy and Betts a few weeks back. BV’s post was meant to highlight the fact that Betts has cooled off and Goldschmidt has remained locked in. That’s why I commented on Goldschmidt’s day.- 2022 MLB thread
6/8 with 3 HR, 1 BB and 8 RBI is a solid day at the office.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
Astros entered the game with a .607 win%. That’s a 98-win pace. This is not a 98-win team. We are in the midst of a record correction. I think this is an 85-90 win team (.525-.555). So I’d expect the curve to continue to inch downward a little and then stabilize over time (winning % by game, 2022):- 2022 Summer Season: Flavor-Aid (Strength: Prison Wine)
- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
Yup, Correa is better. But when you factor in age, cost, control, etc, like you said - it’s a no-brainer. Yup, in a short series, elite is absolutely overrated. Elite matters a lot more over 162 games than it does over 7 games (which is why I like fewer playoff teams, not more, but oh well).- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
I don’t think they were throwing in any towels - I think they were sticking to the plan that was laid out years ago. They’re just not going to give out huge contracts for guys into their 30s, as we’ve discussed extensively. The only reason we had elite teams was because that core was all young and inexpensive at the same time. And yeah - Pena is at 2.5 fWAR 1/3 of the way through his rookie year, at $700k. Correa is at 1.2 fWAR at $35 million, and has missed 1/3 of his team’s games. That’s why this is the plan. I don’t hate the plan.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
Maybe. it would be terrific if Alvarez could play 1B, but didn't we try that a couple years ago and he was a disaster? I could be misremembering. And while the offense has been frustrating, the Astros as a team are 6th in MLB in wRC+ (111). It’s hard to see, but you have to keep in mind how shitty overall offense has been in MLB this year. The Astros are hitting .238/.316/.409. Last year, TOR hit .266/.330/.466 as a team and that was good for a 112 wRC+. Pretty much every team is hitting like shit in 2022. All that said, I agree that this is no longer an elite team. It’s a good team. It wasn’t going to last forever I guess.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
I think this is a 85-90 win team. So, pretty good. Not a bad team, certainly not a special team. Probably good enough to win this division. I think over the remaining 2/3 of the season, we’ll see the pitching get a little worse (I think Garcia, Urquidy and Javier and pretty average, I don’t expect LMJ back this year, etc) and the offense get a little better (Bregman should be better, Meyers may give a little boost, maybe they get a 1B).- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
I thought this was hyperbole, so I looked up our production from the catcher spot in 2022. Holy dogshit. .127/.209/.222; 29 wRC+; -1 fWAR (and that’s with a positive defensive rating). I mean dear fucking lord. But not to worry - Korey Lee has a 56 wRC+ in AAA.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
The good news is that Bregman is still elite in terms of plate discipline - K%, BB%, chase %, etc. That sets his production floor pretty high (I think we’re seeing it right now). His contact quality is still reasonably fine (it never was elite). That BABIP will come up.- 2022 Houston Astros Thread
Not sure. Going just by the Statcast info, he’s seeing slightly fewer fastballs, but not by a large margin. Don’t know about location, sequencing, etc. - 2022 Houston Astros Thread
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