Everything posted by APMP
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
My God, an MS Paint of this election and COVID infested football season would be the greatest thing since 4th and 5. Take your time,@THUJONE, but please not too much time.
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Texas results
Read that Biden took lead in Tarrant. While Texas was ultimately disappointing for Dems this time around, winning Tarrant is probably still a good sign for the future.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
On TV shows, former presidents get national security briefings. If that is true, then Trump will and they may need to censor what they tell him so he doesn't just tweet it out.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Tomorrow's the day. Even though it is not a Tuesday. That'll be $9.95.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Somebody in GA forgot to hit the upload button or went to sleep early.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
So how are provisionals and military expected to break? I assume those those are going to be added in GA still, after the other ballots are counted.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I want to hear from the Decision Desk guy who called AZ yesterday about why all the of the happenings since then don't impact his prediction. Mainly because it might calm some Biden supporters.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden filing a lawsuit in NV or AZ would be a bad look, but I wonder if there is another way to force the Trump campaign them to defend, on the record, the continued counting in NV and AZ while asking it be stopped elsewhere. Because I would have a field day with that if I was a Biden lawyer in GA/PA/WI/MI, and I'm sure the other lawyers here would agree.
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2020 Senate Elections
Gideon just conceded to Collins in Maine with only like 75% reporting. What a massive missed opportunity for Democrats. https://www.centralmaine.com/2020/11/04/collins-maintaining-lead-over-gideon-in-senate-race/
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Maine and Nebraska breakdowns look off. But yes, if Biden pulls it off the black vote in Milwaukee, Detroit, maybe Atlanta, maybe Philly will be a huge reason why.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
So I assume the odds/betting markets have seen blue shifts as well?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Ralston says Nevada will count as long as needed on Wednesday but not report until Thursday morning.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Where are the Twitter pundits using their models to forecast the remaining outstanding votes to tell me whether there is enough outstanding vote for Biden in PA, WI, and MI? (I realize the NYT needle is basically doing this for GA, and I have pretty much written off NC)
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Are there enough votes left in PA for Biden? Down 700k, means he needs to go 75% ish or more on the ballots remaining (including the 2m mentioned upthread), right?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden up 14k in Washoe. Ralston calls that big for Biden. Hillary won Washoe by just 2700.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Ralston live stream says Clark county numbers about to post.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden seems to be really underperforming in Detroit SO FAR. Has me wondering...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden winning GA would be a huge dent in Trump's chances, but they won't be done counting for a few days if so those earlier tweets are correct.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
With 2 million mail votes left to count, that feels like way too premature.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Early voting language is "structure." https://statutes.capitol.texas.gov/Docs/EL/htm/EL.85.htm "Building" is in the election day language, different statute.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Wonder if Harris County can put up some garages overnight around tomorrow's drivethrough voting spots. Garage gotta be a building right?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Agree with all of this. However, I think he left the door open for a challenge on election day drivethrough votes by the correct plaintiff. Wonder how Harris County responds, i.e., whether they will have drivethrough voting tomorrow.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Hanen dismissed for lack of standing. Said if 5C overturned, he would not toss cast ballots but would enjoin tomorrow's drivethrough voting. Intervention granted for people who already voted (just in case).
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Over/under on Surly peeps on the Hanen Zoom call is 5. I take the over, I am one of them.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Hanen might allow the 127k ballots but try and turn off drivethrough voting for tomorrow.