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atomheartbevo

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  1. Michael Koffman said 403k was their quota, and the growing pool of reservists include service members who probably thought they had served their time and were done. These maybe the guys who get tapped for those internal forces/national guard to keep the peace in Russia, and you can bet they would be bitter at any men protesting/trying to dodge any drafts. “Russia signed up 403,000 recruits this year, surpassing its initial plan for 2025, Budanov said. It is also tapping a growing pool of reservists to replenish its ranks and doling out financial incentives that lure men from its hardscrabble provinces.” Zelensky’s Front-Line Visit Highlights Ukrainian Resilience - WSJ
  2. Good long-form read: Disrupting Russian Air Defence Production: Reclaiming the Sky | Royal United Services Institute Disrupting Russian Air Defence Production: Reclaiming the Sky (PDF - full paper) And I mean it's really long, very dry, probably best to ask your favorite AI to summarize it for you. Meanwhile, speaking of What Air Defence Doing?
  3. The EU as a whole has over 1.5 million active-duty military personnel, and much more modern and effective air forces. Not to summon Peter Zeihan's spirit, but Russia is on a downward slope in terms of eligible men. And that's ignoring that they can't even defeat Ukraine. And more importantly, Putin doesn't have the balls to truly go after NATO, even with American sitting on the sideline, since England and France have serious nuclear capabilities that he would not risk. But here's my thing, putting aside the nuclear issue - if Putin had manpower to spare, we would see it. He literally emptied the prisons, brought in Russian PMCs, brought in a shitload of North Koreans, brought in Africans and Indians that were tricked, and here we are in 2025, the Ukrainians are hitting factories and refineries a thousand kilometers deep into Russia, Muscovites have heard air raid sirens and seen explosions in the distance, the Russians are moving at a snail's pace in Ukraine and taking losses over small amounts of land that they can't afford in the long run, and some of those "gains" they claim, are then reversed by the Ukrainians, and/or are faked. He's got 700,000 men committed to Ukraine. He would need several times that to try and invade NATO proper when you take into account that his logistics chain would stretch out very rapidly through enemy territory. Right now, his local logistics chain is only under serious threat for the last few dozen miles (from the Russian border to wherever in Ukraine). Stretch that out from the Russian border through Ukraine or Belarus (forces in Belarus would quickly find themselves under NATO attack) and it gets into hundreds of miles, and with rails being hit almost immediately by NATO air/missiles, he'd have to try it by trucks, which he doesn't have a lot of these days. I firmly believe that if he had even 100,000 or even just 50,000 troops to spare, we would see them being thrown into Donbas or another area to gain control and make his case for claiming that area through "negotiations". I think that's why we are seeing those mobilization orders and building of internal security facilities/groups - he's gotta tap into Moscow and St. Petersburg, and that's going to tie up troops within Russia keeping those cities under control.
  4. Republicans?
  5. Some Republicans in Congress are getting testy with Trump, and he’s still pissed at the Epstein vote. He’s got the majority of Republicans in the Indiana Legislature telling him to fuck off, which while it’s one state, does show that not everybody will do his bidding, even after he threatened to withhold federal funding. Plenty of Americans on the right are not too thrilled with the economy. And millions are about to get turbo-fucked with healthcare expenses. And murdering survivors in the water did not go over as well as he thought. I don’t see how he sells a big war against Venezuela in an election year when they haven’t attacked us and Trump is already Bigly unpopular and he doesn’t have control over a Republican Congress. Maduro knows he can’t be trusted to make a deal, and he’s got Russia and China in his corner, so it’s in his interest to stick it out. Hell, there are a lot of Americans who don’t realize that we are on the path to war with Venezuela. How does he go on TV and sell that, and surprise the hell out of them like that? It’s a fantastic way to help the Dems win Congress next November.
  6. Doesn't matter, internet gonna pin it on JFK's killers.
  7. Entertainment Weekly confirming, and I don't think they call it unless they have solid sources.
  8. Change thread title to Post a pic that makes you feel old.
  9. And there's even more. Germany deploying engineering troops to build fortifications/defensive positions in Poland next year, on the border with Kaliningrad and Belarus.
  10. At least going forward, Russia has lost the ability to mass troops and vehicles just across the border. Imagine if Ukraine had the drones and missiles they have now, back in February of 2022. Those convoys would be boxed in - drones would hit the first and last vehicles, trapping everything in between and then just start picking them off at their leisure. When that big-ass convoy ran out of gas, it would have been a turkey shoot for the Ukrainians. And Ukraine woild have had a field day with those large helicopter formations. Ukraine has changed large-scale warfare forever. This is probably Russia's last major chance at keeping anything because they are entrenched already from the February 2022 invasion.
  11. Knocking out irreplaceable air defenses And hitting more targets
  12. The German Chancellor sat in the middle of the Ukrainian delegation during negotiations and Poland is trashing Orban.
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