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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. The truth is on our side. We don't need to lie.
  2. Looks like I'm wrong and CA voters would pass a mid-decade gerrymander according to a poll done by a TV station in Sacramento.
  3. I don't like seeing this thread bumped.
  4. Most blue states have independent commissions. Most red states and many purple states do not. If the commissions went away, the Dems would net a bunch of seats. Everyone is talking about California, but I think eliminating the commission in CA requires a ballot measure because it was enacted by ballot measure and a change in the state constitution. It's not a given that the voters will repeal it, since it's the kind of thing only partisan Dems would vote for. The few Dem states that do gerrymander (NY, IL, MD) will need to go hard to the paint, as will the few more that have commissions set up by laws that can be repealed by the legislature. I don't think CA is the way.
  5. Word is they are assuming 2024 voting patterns to get to a +5 R pickup. Edit: He meant 5ish seats in 2024, not 2026.
  6. We don’t need a third party. We just need one party to have serious primary challengers next year. I think there is enough anger within the Dem base for it to happen. We can’t just accept whomever the Party anoints. Looking at you, Colin.
  7. I believe Texas law forbids counties of low population from being cracked open. This map shouldn't fly for that reason. https://redistricting.capitol.texas.gov/reqs That being said, rule 3 is violated all the time.
  8. I and maybe thousands of others have had this exact quote written on a sign over the past few months. I think Texas Dems are starting to get with it. This is exhibit A. Exhibit B is the Dems making a spectacle out of the upcoming redistricting hearings this Saturday. Nothing to lose
  9. Texas Dems are holding a rally right before the Texas House public hearings on redistricting are supposed to be held in the same general area. Are they learning?
  10. Try to show up if you can. Edit: More details regarding venues to come...
  11. It's early but Jon Ossoff is running way ahead of likely Republican challengers, both in fundraising and polling. Kemp declined to run against him. If he's at 49% with 10% undecided, in a R pollster, this thing is over.
  12. It’s white privilege in a nutshell
  13. All of this. The AI provision banning any regulation for a decade was also scrapped. Maybe responsible governance can address that shit 4 years from now. The Dems need to take the House in 2026 and play hardball with the budget and try to chip away at the edges of this monstrosity.
  14. Yes. Politics is performative. I’d rather the Dems play the game to win if that is how it’s done. He gets a C-/D+ for the semester. At least a damn good final exam score kept him from failing outright.
  15. If this bill can undo prior legislation then there is no reason a future bill couldn’t undo this one.
  16. Yes, on the north side of the highway but out of view. You can see some signs of construction if you look across the airport after passing hwy 6. That's her. In the run-off we were stuck between choosing her or this guy. I'm sorry. Can't trust cowboy hats here in the suburbs.
  17. There are (were?) plans to build a gas power plant here in Sugar Land city limits, by the airport. I have been aware of petitions that have been going around, and the issue came up in the local mayoral and city council elections last month. The anointed candidate ended up losing the mayoral race to some current council member known locally as "Ms. No" who literally is against everything. I went along with the fervor even though I reflexively dislike NIMBYism and have been telling people I know that this is a problem at the state, and now federal level, and not a local issue. But after this bullshit, turns out the NIMBYs were right all along, and a new strategy needs to emerge where the fight occurs at the local level. In my dream, it would also entail neighboring communities helping each other out to the point of encompassing the entire state. People are waking the fuck up.
  18. YES, the pressure actually worked. I am very much relieved and energized this morning to read this after going to bed last night fearing the worst! And you know what? This bill isn't done yet. It now goes back to the House where they'll need to iron out the differences. For starters, the House bill cut $800B from Medicaid. The Senate version cuts $1 trillion AND MAKES CUTS TO MEDICARE. Yes, Medicare. For old people. Retirees. What that means is that some chickenshit GOP reps who were counting on the Senate being the sane ones and watering this thing down somewhat, as is usually the case, now need to start feeling the heat from their constituents. This is probably not something they are normally used to, as this third rail of American politics has never been touched. People need to get on the fucking phone and call their reps. Call their Senators too. If nothing else, make their staffers walk into work Monday morning with hundreds of messages on voicemail. (202) 224-3121 gets to the congressional switchboard. They will connect you directly with your rep's or senator's office if you don't want to find the number directly.
  19. I'm happy a progressive won but the real learning here is that the Dem establishment can't just shove any candidate down voters' throats, especially a rapey has-been. Rejecting Cuomo sends a message that the base has integrity, even if the party bigwigs do not.
  20. They have done nothing to prime the American people for an extended conflict. It's political and diplomatic malpractice. Bold strategy Cotton. There's no way he can wiggle out of this jam...
  21. It is clear now that she was the DEI hire of this admin.
  22. I heard 11 million. No idea where that comes from. Our local protest swelled from about 300 in April to over 1000 yesterday, and I think we were around 3 million nationally for Hands Off.
  23. This was a real shot in the arm today and just what we all needed to get through the next few weeks of bullshit. Look to get involved elsewhere too. It really helps keep the anxiety at bay. Even the voicemails I leave Cornyn's office make me feel better afterward. We had our dozen dipshits. Overall I give everyone an A for dealing with them, like the group of 30-something women all making the sign with the thumb and index finger held an inch apart. The best was the young lady totally decked out in the colors of The Left: black, gray, and dark olive, holding a beautiful illustration of Hitler shooting himself with the phrase "FOLLOW THE LEADER". She just walks coolly past them with the sign held up like a ring girl, and ho lee fuk did it set one of those assholes off. He followed her jawing and she just blew him off. It was great. Only one of the dumbasses brought a sign, written in ball point pen on a folded grocery bag smaller than a regulation 8.5 x 11. Seriously. I walked over kind of close and gave an exaggerated squint. I don't think he caught on. I am delighted there were so many protests out in the burbs and small towns. That is how we bring attention of this idiocy to people's doorstep. We need the cities to turn out, but kudos to all organizers of the smaller events. Five out of five stars, would do again
  24. 1000 people at Sugar Land City Hall, despite the threat of rain.
  25. I saw a great one from maybe a protest in his first term that was like "can't we just skip ahead to the part where he shoots himself in a bunker?"
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