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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. A hostile admin, success in other sports, underachievement, fickle fan base... It's a California thing. At least UCLA went for broke when it hired Kelly. I'm not sold that he's a flame-out just yet, but the school should be able to go out and get another good name if he moves on. In contrast, the next flashy hire Cal makes will be the first.
  2. I'm not opposed to a few more candidates being let in through the back door in six weeks if they manage better poll numbers. IMO winnowing down to 10 candidates by Iowa is a realistic target while hitting that number five months early is going too fast. There are a lot of white dudes who are carbon copies of each other that need to go, but there are a few other candidates who might bring something compelling to the table that are currently on the outside looking in: Steyer, Gabbard, and Inslee if he had stuck around. At least this way gives us one debate with the anticipated Warren-Biden and Warren-Harris match-ups. I won't mind expanding to two nights in October as long as the Houston showdown tells us something new.
  3. Winning the Dem nomination is no small feat. Doing so without dark money would be quite the show of strength heading into the general.
  4. I wouldn't describe what I feel antipathy as much as apathy. To say that her performance so far hasn't matched the hype would be a massive understatement. She had the anti-war lane all to herself and completely squandered it, despite given chances to debate lightweights like Tim Ryan. There are plenty of anti-war democrats who would have given her a second thought, but she chose to appear in the wrong kind of media. With most of the Left digging Liz or Bernie, she chose to go after the male disaffected anti-establishment quasi-libertarian crowd. These people are an already small proportion of the population. LOL if she expected them ever to vote in a Democratic primary. She has been strangely subdued in debates and at other public forums. Too often she also showed up in the wrong places. Go on Fox News and do a town hall, like Bernie. Don't go on fucking Tucker Carlson and rail against the DNC. She needed to talk to the voters. Instead, she was just another cable news talking head. As far a controversial candidates go, she was downright boring.
  5. Question for the M4A or bust folks. What happens when Congress sends a bill to the president's desk that doesn't go all the way? I can see vetoing one or two of them, but on the flip side I honestly can't see the Senate passing a legit M4A bill. This is especially true considering the Dem's path to control of that chamber involves the election and re-election of several moderates in 2020. At what point does Bernie sign a public option bill? How about Liz?
  6. I don't know whether to think this is good or bad. I'd rather see a room full of pissed off Iowans, throwing at him take-out from any of the district's ethnic restaurants, or rotting ears of corn that they are unable to sell.
  7. I'm heartened that politics is being taken out of the issue, slowly but surely. We have Texas, a red state, leading the way and communities like Georgetown going 100% renewables. State and local governments are taking the lead. California alone deserves credit for getting automakers to adopt its standards as the de-facto national standard, for example. I'll go on record to say that climate change denialism will be politically untenable at the national scale in ten years. It will be one of the things the GOP will try to sweep under the rug. It's certainly true that we'd be well on our way to fixing our growing climate calamity if it were not for the GOP's bullshit. Instead, our great grandchildren will be perplexed at why we let it get so bad, and they'll shudder to think how close we came to absolute disaster before things got better. You should have picked a state that wasn't drowning in sunlight as your example. So regular is the sun in Arizona, that even Li ion battery technology at today's prices would be all that is needed to keep the grid load constant. Seriously, bro, Arizona has no need whatsoever for nuclear power. Your anti-nuclear conspiracy argument is rich when one considers that no other source of energy has received close to as many handouts over the past 5 decades. Nukes are a massive investment. Half of them wouldn't exist if it weren't for our government's strange obsession with too-big-to-fail boondoggles. I was greatly intrigued by the thorium fuel cycle just a few years ago but I've since seen prices for non-nuclear renewables and battery technology fall at such a rate to convince me that's where the money should go.
  8. It's Collins or bust for the GOP. I don't see any other Republican winning an open seat. Maine has really swung left fast.
  9. Hearing this on my drive home from work this afternoon was music to my ears. True, but the 22nd has been gerrymandered to exclude the northern deep blue portions of Sugar Land and Missouri City. It runs east into Pearland as far as Webster and south as far as Alvin. That's a lot of red ground. It's not a R +4. It was drawn up to be more like an R +10 or so, which is what it was prior to 2018. It is eminently flippable as an open seat, like TX-7 2018 flippable. The 2018 Dem, Sri Kulkarni, is running again and has almost $400,000 cash-on-hand as of right now. It's probable that the R who will try to keep the seat red will be none other than Troy Nehls, who is not seeking reelection as county sheriff. Some folks down here have strong opinions of him.
  10. This is correct. Some voters who were reluctant in 2016 were corporatist Republicans who will vote for him again because red team. They are already counted in the equation. This thread should not be about them. A different, maybe smaller group of Trump voters should be the focus: independents who gave him a chance in 2016 but who then proceeded to turn on him and his party in 2018. I see no reason why these people would swing back around and vote for him again. The 538 polling shows a precipitous double digit drop in his approval in his first couple months in office, from which he has never recovered.
  11. The Dem Primary according to Daily Kos readers. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/7/16/1872163/-Daily-Kos-Democratic-presidential-primary-straw-poll-One-year-out-from-the-convention-edition
  12. I hope you looked at #3 or 4 with half as much scrutiny as you did #1 and 2, but I suspect you didn't. Like it or not, all the talent gravitates to the Dems or the Pubs and third parties are full of Whothefucks and Whatshernames. Jill Stein and Gary Johnson are both utter trash. If you really did your homework, you would have stayed home instead of voting for one of those idiots. If you cared at all about third parties, then you would do it all in reverse and closely examine their candidates first and either stay at home or go with the D or R as a fall back.
  13. A party gets desperate as its power starts to wane. Just watch as Texas starts really trending purple.
  14. Wait. How come I haven't heard that Biden, Beto, Pete, and Kamala all dropped out of the race?
  15. It isn't meant for us. Like everything the GOP does, it's for their base stuck inside the matrix.
  16. Because North County >>> East County
  17. How did this happen? I'm not questioning why public sentiment seems to be turning against Erdogan and his party. I'm questioning what happened to his grip on power. First this, and then the protests in Hong Kong and Moscow. Maybe the autocrats aren't winning?
  18. Warren +4 O'Rourke +2 Harris +2 Bernie +1 Edit: It took 25 posts to get Bernie his first vote.
  19. They don't need to be replaced if they don't win the nomination, right? If so, why the fuck are we still dealing with Ted Cruz?
  20. Whatever. Oregon has recruited well since Belotti. Chip Kelly was considered a premier college football recruiter while in Eugene, and he cheated too. They'll win because they're Oregon. They won with Belotti. They won with Kelly. They even won with Helfrich. They only need Cristobal to not screw up management of the program down the stretch like Helfrich did.
  21. I work and have worked with several Iranians and they're all cool people. Sharp as a tack, too. Your average American Christian is more religious. And just like the Russians and nearly everyone else on this planet, they know much more about us than we know about them. This time around we won't have the benefit of a no fly zone in place for a decade. We won't have warring factions to exploit like in Afghanistan. Iran's 80 million inhabitants makes it the opposite of Libya's large swaths of empty desert. The Iranians have hunkered down for 30 years, planned for every contingency, and have had the resources for adventures in Syria and Yemen despite crippling sanctions. No, this is all bluster. There's no way we follow through on this and incur certain casualties, for which nobody in the US has the appetite.
  22. I'm glad I missed out on that earlier shit. Southern Sugar Land was bone dry until about an hour ago. Still plenty of time to get rekt.
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