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Storm the Field

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Everything posted by Storm the Field

  1. Meh, it's certainly possible, but revisions go both ways. Before this past report, most revisions were to the upside over the last year. Usually a factor of underdoing or overdoing seasonal adjustments. As long as the other metrics stay encouraging (U-3, U-6, prime-age LFPR...), I don't really care all that much about the headline number.
  2. Lollygagged bad during the final week of March and first half of April. Had a 4-day vacation weekend, couple of mid-week baseball games and a bunch of after-work events, and ended up only working out probably 5 or 6 times during that 3 week stretch, along with too much booze and bad dietary habits. Been back on the routine the last 3 weeks and pretty much back to where I was when I made this post. Gonna stick with my current gym routine probably through Memorial Day, but my big project this summer is going to be doing a lot more core exercises and really focusing on trimming down the gut/waist. I'm very happy with where my arms/shoulders/chest are these days, but I've got a lot of work to do below the sternum.
  3. It's likely that tomorrow, at the hottest part of the day, I'm going to go jump in my pool, and come up with teeth chattering and immediately get out. Water temp is still a few degrees below "comfortable."
  4. Beat Trey to starting the thread again! Anyways, we're getting a sneak peak of summer this weekend, with sustained temps in the low 90's today and tomorrow, though it shouldn't stick around long. Supposed to be an extended period of clouds and rain chances starting next week to limit temps to 85 or less through 5/20. After 3 years of an extended La Nina, we'll see if we actually get a milder, wetter summer this year with the El Nino that is being widely predicted. Fingers crossed.
  5. 13th!!! straight "stronger than expected" jobs report. 253K vs. 180K estimated U-3 "headline" unemployment 3.4% (50-year low) U-6 "real" unemployment: 6.6% (30-year low). Black U-3: 4.7% (all-time low) Prime-Age (25-54) participation rate: 83.3% (15-year high). About the only metric that hasn't fully recovered or hit new records is the overall participation rate (currently 62.6% vs. 63.3% in February 2020). Boomers that quit working during COVID ain't coming back.
  6. Pump prices are far more correlated with RBOB gasoline futures than with Crude. RBOB has fallen from $2.81 in mid-April to $2.33 today. Pump prices tend to SLOWLY head in the same direction as RBOB. Should bleed off a couple pennies each day over the next week or so. Always worth a quick search on gasbuddy to find the cheapest station in your zip code. https://www.gasbuddy.com/home
  7. As expected, Fed raises 25 BPS and then signals a likely pause.
  8. Getting comically oversold. Shorts get aggressive every time the word "bank" gets uttered in financial markets. Had stabilized pretty well around $75 the last 2 weeks. Then FRC, who's been shaky since the initial bank panic in March, finally gives up the ghost and gets their bones picked by JMP and it's time to panic. Inventory reports still consistently showing solid crude draws, and it's not even summer driving season yet. Of course, traders wipe their asses with inventory reports lately.
  9. Oh nice, Cloak has a new album coming out in a few weeks. First since 2019. They've released a few singles already.
  10. Coming soon? to the far north pocket of the Heights/Shady Acres. Noticed that demolition of the existing houses (RIP Throughgood) and crumbling warehouses on 26th recently got started.
  11. Spring Branch Karen thinks actors playing characters of other genders is the exact same thing as a drag show. I'm not joking.
  12. To move up 9 freaking spots?!?!
  13. AMZN going ham after hours. Blowout earnings report.
  14. Anyone besides me excited for Season 2 of Sweet Tooth, which drops Thursday? Been almost 2 years since Season 1. Currently done with first 3 episodes of Beef. Enjoying it thoroughly.
  15. If you were a fan of old-school JRPGs back in the SNES days, definitely pick up Chained Echoes for Switch. Currently $21 on the Nintendo Store. Easily 50+ hours of gameplay. Fun, but challenging. There's also another much-hyped retro throwback RPG coming out in August that looks promising.
  16. Hah, was just joking with some buddies at work about how there's probably gonna be well over a million angry boomers that don't follow Twitter or anything settling in to get their Tucker fix this evening and blowing a gasket.
  17. Guerrilla Games rather casually announced over the weekend that there will be at least one more Horizon game. In a press release about internal promotions, they said
  18. She arguably caused more damage to FNC in the Dominion case than anyone.
  19. On the opposite side of the coin, CNN just shit-canned Don Lemon.
  20. He signed off what ended up being his final show on Friday saying he'd be back this week. Apparently they were still airing promos for his show this morning. Something happened in the last few hours.
  21. Yep, Dusty addressed this in his presser. Stanton was talking about during one of the inning breaks too.
  22. This is honestly one of the funniest things to ever happen in politics. I mean, this is "Arrested Development in its prime" caliber comedy writing.
  23. Games like last night are what make it all worthwhile. Hell of a night at MMP. Best version of Garcia I've ever seen. Abreu's Houdini act was incredible and then the 2-out rally in the 8th to put the game on ice was so much fun. Lots of high-fives to strangers. I was literally shaking my client I took, yelling "that's fucking gone!" on Pena's dinger.
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