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Bateshorn

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  1. In theory, it shouldn't fuck anything up if they just put up a rando arc in the middle of the traffic circle. People will just drive around it as they do now. But knowing that asshole, he'll pave over part of the Arlington National Cemetary and put in a traffic lights and a special moving walkway so people can go see it.
  2. I stood next to him at DCA a couple of months ago. He's old as fuck. The Arc D' Trump he wants to do is in a traffic circle just across the Potomac from the Lincoln Memorial at the end of the Memorial Bridge. In all fairness, the Obama Administration briefly considered an Arc over Independence Avenue for Eisenhower, instead of the hideous Frank Geary design they settled on, but it was tasteful and appropriate. I'm sure Trump is going to build some giant fucking eyesore, which btw, is one of the entrances to Arlington National Cemetary.
  3. I count from 50. Green won 59-38 in 22 and 24, so I over counted (working from memory) but that’s an R+9 district. From your math it looks gonna about a 9 point win as oppossed to a 22-ish point win in the last two election cycles.
  4. It’s an R+11 district. If it ends up being R+4 tonight that’s a bit of a Dem over perform relative to Virginia last month, where I don’t think they took anything higher than R+5
  5. Kind of feels like in addition to a constitutional age and term limits, an amendment to make the pardon subject to disapproval by joint resolution of congress should also occur.
  6. You don't *have* one of these, do you Jack?
  7. That's close enough to Silver Spring. LFG!!!
  8. I gotta take an inherited RMD and I’m gonna do it today.
  9. So, is the Nividia print gonna keep the Jenga tower aloft or what?
  10. I think it's more likely the elections will go off, he'll declare them fraudulent and try to seize the capitol and prevent Congress from being seated. Which is like a mile and half from my condo, so that's fun. As a reminder, Congress expires at the end of next year. A new one has to be sworn in for their to be a Congress.
  11. Anywhere in Farm country outside of OK is going to be possible if the economy is bad enough and the Chinese don't start gettign serious about their Soybean purchases. It won't be a case of people becoming Democrats as much as just staying home/punching out of the politcal system for a while. THat Florida Senate seat is ENTIRELY dependent on candidate quality for the Dems, if they run a turd, no amount of tailwinds will push them across the line. I think any Southern/Red state that has elected a Democratic governor in the last decade will potentially in play, except possibly Louisiana. Again, it's just people having a "Fuck those guys" moment. That's why I put Kansas as potentially at play, if they have a good candidate.
  12. I thought I read that no GOP seater greater than r+6 fell in VA a few weeks ago, so if I had to guess, right now? I think everything from r+8 is possibly in trouble. If Nividia doesn't print after hours today and the market sells off 2+% tomorrow, I think the base is Everything GOP+10 is shakey and the trendlines are getting worse for the Republicans. If we do really get to GOP +15 seats are in trouble, the Senate is going to look real interesting. AK, ME, NC, OH, and IA will be in deep trouble, with KY, KS, MT, and possibly SC or AL coming into play. I won't believe TX is going to flip until the Democrats can win literally anything statewide, even with Ken Paxton on the ticket.
  13. Reminds me of when I read Collapse by Jared Diamond and he's talking about environmental degradation in Montanan and points out that it's ridiculous to assume Anaconda was going to protect the environment and how people were shocked when they poisoned the groundwater. That's not their job. Of course a corporation is going to bribe a law maker if it's legal. That's like asking a hyena not to eat an injured antelope. It's the job of the body politic to set a regulatory environment that provides guardrails. If you don't want the hyena to eat the antelope: shoot the hyena or save the antelope. But the hyena is just behaving as hyenas behave.
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