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VolenteHawk

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by VolenteHawk

  1. Just bought a 2018 for the wife. Good vehicle. The one downside to consider is that you either get 3rd row seating OR you get storage space...but you don't get both. With the 3rd row seats up, there's not even room for the boy's baseball bag or a decent grocery run, as an example. This is different than her previous Explorer, which had both (though the 3rd row seats weren't as roomy) or something like the Traverse which is still midsize but a good porno dick longer.
  2. The new COD has some language but it can be censored when you set it up. The story is pretty good, and the online modes can be played purely against bots in a mode...so he could get the multiplayer experience without trappings of true online play. I presume you’re aware of the more cartoony options like Fortnite and Apex Legends?
  3. Their jeans are the best. When I’m in there, I’m usually the youngest customer by a couple decades, though.
  4. I had a couple of buddies that had -3.5. By the way they were cussing at me via text you'd have thought I was involved in the play or something.
  5. Be careful. Double digit favorites are 0-0 ATS on Wednesdays going back to 1959.
  6. In addition to the Ranch, 103.1 Kickin Country out of San Angelo is good. There’s also a specific Texas Red Dirt channel on Pandora if you want to start with that and do like/dislike to customize it.
  7. The idea of a tease in the NFL is to get through 3 and 7 because those numbers are so common as to be valuable and the NFL market is so efficient that both sides pay pretty frequently. Many situations are actually a profitable play long term, teasing short dogs up to past 7 and medium favorites down to under 3. Tonight's game is a pretty good example. Seattle has been bet up substantially (80% of bets) but it hasn't moved to 7 even though it probably should. They've been bet up on the ML also, but there are no barriers to just arbitrarily moving the money line, so this resistance to 7 builds a lack of efficiency into the spread/ML relationship. So, if you wanted to parlay the Seattle ML with some other game priced exactly the same (-6.5/-300), you'd actually be paying a premium to make that bet vs what the spread says it "should" be. Those two -300s parlayed together cost -129, but teasing those same two gives you -1/2, -1/2 and you only pay -110...much better deal, as the possibility of a tie isn't NOTHING but it's not worth 20 cents. In your case yesterday, you had picked two games that generally fit that model and so I figured off the top of my head a tease would be better, you'd essentially be using the above pricing advantage to get Chiefs points at the same payout...specifically (if the Chiefs had been -3 at the time), instead of ML parlay 20/34, you could have gotten a teaser at roughly those same odds but having the Chiefs +3 instead of PK and having to lay 1/2 or 1 in the other two games. If you win, it doesn't matter, of course, but long term you're trying to turn those close Chiefs losses into a winning ticket and risking the occasional downgraded payout for Browns winning by one and pushing or actually losing to a tie Browns or Giants tie. Teasing through 0 isn't long term profitable, you're just going through a bunch of low likelihood numbers...but you'd already landed on the teams. If you're ML parlaying those examples like tonight in the 6-7 range, it's always worth pricing it both ways to either confirm you're getting the best deal or see if there are free points laying there. Hopefully that all makes sense. Google "Stanford Wong teaser" for more than you've ever wanted to know about this.
  8. I like the whole board today. That’s never good, so I’m preparing my anus for a pounding. Titans +3 and +135 Cardinals PK Bucs +3.5 Chargers +4.5 Vikings -3 If the opponent scores first and I can get any of the following at -3 or better in game I will...Giants, Dolphins, Rams, Browns.
  9. Did you consider a tease there? Give up a couple dollars of return but could get Giants PK, Browns -1, Chiefs +3. Edit: Actually the Chiefs are 3.5 all over the place now, so it’d either be +2.5 or more than a couple dollars...so less compelling.
  10. Me too. Was supposed to be delivered next week but showed up yesterday.
  11. Requiring sanitizing of the benches between games was a clever way to fix the stupid, impossible 2 hour tip time schedule at holiday tournaments. Shout out for the strong work there, Covid.
  12. I saw him a county fair in Southeast Kansas right as Small Town Saturday night was blowing up. He was probably too famous to be there, but we had a hell of a time. I would have been 14 or 15. RIP.
  13. Patriots -2 Titans +6 My numbers also make Detroit a play, but I don’t trust it with so many players missing.
  14. Walmart? Yep. I had it done by 2:02 going as fast as possible.
  15. I got a confirmation number on a series X today. We’ll see. Had shipping and billing loaded up and smashed the next button.
  16. Last year I went 3-1 on NFL season long bets but still managed to lose a little bit overall, because the -1 was the biggie (fucking Raiders).
  17. I'm in good shape this year, pretty much stuck to the stuff from my post in the thread below. Steelers over for shitload at slight plus money, Steelers division for medium at 4/1, Dolphins over for a lot, Dolphins division to win a decent chunk at 9/1. I have 3 limit bets on that Jayhawk under. REALLY need them to play all their games.
  18. Alright look here, Covid. KU has to play all their scheduled games for this bet to pay instead of push, and there is a bunch of money at stake. Stop fucking around.
  19. VolenteHawk

    NCAA 14

    Operation Sports is your Huckleberry. https://forums.operationsports.com/forums/ncaa-football-rosters/964552-ncaa-football-14-2020-2021-roster-update.html
  20. Me too. I’m just wondering when you think Tuesday is.
  21. My son just turned 12, isn’t particularly big, and the intermediate stuff works fine (Marucci). The inside of the leg guards are adjustable, and the chest protector is cinched up as tight as possible plus a zip tie, so he’s got room to grow in this set.
  22. Yep. Dumb line move, IMO. Titans ML -101 for me.
  23. That was 2 generations ago, and it was such a dumb design mistake the industry laughed at them and they hired some legit hardware experts. You're probably good.
  24. I didn't see any of the artists formerly known at the Redskins game...they were -4 on TOs and still in it? Holy hell, that might have been my best handicap of the day. And I picked a nice week to suspend my love affair with the Panthers. Betting the NFL, man.
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