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Skipper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Skipper

  1. Sankey is looking to (i) maximize $$ and (ii) maximize SEC playoff teams. Networks need marquee OOC games for $$. Networks (and everyone) want playoff expansion for $$. This committee just gifted Sankey a ton of leverage. SEC has dominated the TV ratings this season and Fox/NBC are similarly desperate for SEC teams to play on their networks OOC (again, Fox had TX/OSU which was highest rated game of the year). Now he doesn't have to threaten to "take his ball and go home". But what he'll say is that if expansion isn't acceptable to us, we'll just keep it how it is and I'm directing all my teams to cancel ND and any P4 game at their discretion given it's clear there isn't any upside.
  2. Didn't they just extend deadline to negotiate playoff expansion? Now Sankey is going into those negotiations with this card (and legitimate threat) of pulling the mandatory P4 OOC game and directive to cancel any scheduled games.
  3. It's beyond clear the SEC ranking of OU, Bama, Texas, Vandy is honoring H2H. And somehow ND/Miami is completely outside of that analysis. I don't know who is lobbying for ND here but I hope they get every decent game scheduled after this BS. It's beyond clear no upside or downside to scheduling big games OOC given treatment of both Miami and Texas. ND should be behind all of that group.
  4. I think this is exactly right.
  5. Slotted above Miami tonight, Tech wins, OSU wins, UGA wins big + Simpson gets hurt and backup ineffective invoking FSU precedent. That's probably the only path. I just can't see this committee that has been in love with ND somehow moving them out.
  6. Wouldn't surprise me. It's pretty amazing how well we've played the last month despite the injury issues. Really need to start getting others back.
  7. Thank god I found the ignore feature. Makes this board infinitely more readable.
  8. I think this will just end up driving playoff expansion and networks incentivizing it. There is just way too much money to be made (i) marquee OOC games, (ii) auto-qualifier "play-in" games replacing championship weekend and (iii) expanded playoff inventory. After this committee there is no chance they piss all 3 of those buckets of money away. They will cut a deal that somehow doesn't significantly penalize the marquee OOC (likely more guaranteed spots for SEC/BIG).
  9. Fan Duel playoff odds are strongly implying (i) Bama will be in regardless of outcome and (ii) Notre Dame is in as long as BYU loses (and out if ND wins). The odds strongly imply Bama at 9, ND 10 and BYU 11 tonight. And less strongly imply Miami at 12, Texas at 13 and Vandy at 14.
  10. I'll still be shocked but both Sark and the SID did a great job making our case.
  11. I hadn't seen that drop yet, but if correct, I'm pretty sure that means Texas-OSU and Texas - Aggy are top 2 rated games of the season. As others have noted, ABC does not want to lose future rights to Texas/OSU, Michigan and ND. That is why you see Herbstreit and others beating the drum.
  12. Exactly. Every relevant program needs to tell ND to fuck off. If they want a gifted path to the playoff every year playing the service academies and other shitty teams for an incredibly boring regular season, that's just fine. But if they want to play marquee games, they can join a conference like everyone else.
  13. Bichsel needs surgery and out 6 weeks. Probably good news. I was at game Sunday and was worried he was done for the season given his reaction.
  14. You are talking about a committee comprised of former coaches that appreciate the calendar is a mess which is causing the changes before the playoffs + AD's who appreciate their school could get f'd if their team is in a similar position with a hot coach and would never want to set that precedent. I don't think any chance a committee with that background punishes Ole Miss regardless of whether they should or not.
  15. I would love to see what they do if Bama is completely non-competitive and the game is essentially over by the 2nd quarter. Would be interesting for sure.
  16. It's one thing we are definitely good at. Just ask Aaron Rodgers.
  17. Assuming we don't have a realistic path once rankings released tomorrow, I'm absolutely rooting for BYU, Bama, and Duke. Let's just have mass chaos and blow the current structure up.
  18. Slight movement within the playoff seeding should be obvious and expected. But as much as I have questions about Bama, I don't think they should get punished and pushed out for winning the SEC tiebreaker and playing an additional game while A&M and Ole Miss sit at home. I think that would set a terrible precedent and likely end the concept of Conference Championship Games (which I think is inevitable regardless). I can't imagine a scenario where the SEC gets 4 or 5 teams in but the team that finished 2nd in the league is left out. If we have an expanded playoff with 4 AQ, I hope this weekend turns into SEC #1 and #2 are auto admits and then #3 plays (at home) against #6 and #4 plays (at home) against #5 for the auto bids. Or have 4 play-in games (1-8, 2-7, 3-6, 4-5). That would make this weekend must see TV.
  19. What's funny in all of this is that BYU actually has a strong SOR (#6) and a better SOS than ND, OSU, Indiana and Ole Miss. I wouldn't have thought that but they drew a bunch of the good not great Big 12 teams. If they get beat by Tech in a close game this week, BYU probably still has a better resume than ND and yet ND is already slotted above them. So they do in fact ignore the loss column for Big 12 teams LOL. I wonder if Tech could end up getting bumped if they lose because their SOS is by far the worst of anyone in the conversation.
  20. It's never made sense where the committee has had them ranked. They did it to create a H2H buffer against Miami hoping it would all work itself out and it hasn't. I don't know how the committee can walk it back now but ND should feel uneasy as their resume doesn't stack up.
  21. The dumbest thing about it all is that they start the ranking shows way too early with limited data (for TV reasons) and then end up backing themselves into corners because they can't even be consistent week to week much less year to year. But I agree they do whatever they want and at the end of the day will always try to find the path of least resistance. As someone mentioned, it wouldn't shock me at all if they put both Texas and Vandy ahead of Miami for the sole purpose of creating a fake buffer to continue to ignore the H2H with Notre Dame. They will decide who they want in and then reverse-engineer the rest for their talking points.
  22. WTF does this even mean. If you don't like national media, talk shows, narratives, politicking, etc. nobody is forcing you to consume any of it. But of course people care about the games. Were you at DKR Friday night? Because I was and it was fucking awesome. And what you are bitching about is what makes CFB the complete opposite of "just another professional league" in every way imaginable. Pro leagues don't leave playoffs up to fucking random committee. Pro teams don't have calendars that make zero logistical sense where you are roster building during the playoffs. College Football and the shit show that it is is about as unique of a sport that exists.
  23. I think bumping the SEC runner up out of the playoffs because they played an extra game against a top 3 team would set its own horrible precedent. The reality is, however this goes, it's giving Sankey tons of leverage in negotiating playoff expansion. It's not a coincidence that the SEC went to a 9 game schedule the day after the playoffs announced SOR would be a a big factor. And now the committee is just ignoring this. Particularly with respect to Notre Dame. I actually think Notre Dame is one of a handful of teams that could win it all so I get it, but placing them as high is they are is just willfully ignoring their shitty schedule. In the committee's defense, it's an extremely unique year where there just weren't any upsets the last few weeks so there are more playoff worthy teams. I think last year a 9-3 Texas team would have gotten in rather easily over SMU.
  24. What do you not understand about it? The calendar is completely idiotic and should be item #1 to be addressed when it comes to fixing college football, but it currently is what it is and you really don't have a choice but to make hires now to have a chance at setting yourself up for 2026.
  25. This is essentially his attempt at a poll or committee based approach and then he says he would adjust for head to head. I still think he weights losses a bit too heavily for my preferred approach but haven't dove into this model in detail. He has all kinds of interesting stuff though that is fun to follow over the season.
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