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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. Yea, but when almost everything is pointing to Biden winning PA, if you’re really searching for a sign that it will go to Trump, that line item in the Monmouth Poll released today is about the only straw to grasp at right now.
  2. The assumption is that the Democrats aren’t going to show up tomorrow. The support for that line of thought is that 65% of Dems told pollsters that they planned to vote by mail and only 1.5 million did. If assume that the equivalent portion of Dems vote in person, they end up with 2.4 million total votes. Since only 15% of republicans planned to vote by mail and 500k of them did, it can be argued that there is going to be a massive Trump lead in in-person voting tomorrow. I think there is some validity to that concern, but it seems more likely that more Dems are going to vote in person that were scared of Trump fighting the mail in ballots.
  3. Appears to be the audio from this video from 2017 dubbed over that voting video.
  4. The southern states all stay red, Dems turnout lower than expected in PA after mail in voting, and polls are wrong on Arizona. its a slim path but 538 has him with a 10% chance. Their chosen media outlet has them convinced that it’s the most likely outcome because the polls were wrong last time. also, in their mind, Trump winning with 270 EC means that it was actually a landslide but the Dems couldn’t cheat enough to pull it off.
  5. Hopefully the Dems turn out in PA tomorrow. because with 1.5 million votes cast by mail, and 65% of Dems saying they intend to vote by mail, 2.4 million votes will not be enough to win the state. It’s gonna take at least 3 million, probably closer to 3.2 or 3.3 to win the state.
  6. Hillary won centre county 36.5k to 35k. As soon as you leave state college you’re in mountains and farms. Sparsely populated, heavy trump.
  7. You just show up to your polling place. The record will show that you requested an absentee ballot. You fill out a provisional ballot. Those get counted last and are cross referenced to make sure the person’s vote wasn’t already counted.
  8. Trying to ban fracking on that federal land in PA will set up a major court battle. 95% of the subsurface/mineral rights on that land are privately owned. And it’s definitely heavily (sort of) drilled for gas. Was previously drilled for oil and the major reason the subsurface rights are privately held is because that was a major oil producing region when it became a national forest.
  9. The two biggest counties in the state, Allegheny and Philadelphia are starting the count at 7:00am Tuesday. Those two counties account for almost 1/3 of the mail in votes in the state. I’m sure they are doing everything they can to get the count done as quickly as possible but at the end of the day they have to feed the ballots into a machine to count the votes so they can only go as fast as the machines they have will allow. The other thing to keep in mind is that they have to keep accepting and counting ballots for 3 days as long as they have a Tuesday post mark. So some people may think PA has 3 days to count the votes, there is no time limit (as far as I know) on counting. The time limit is on how long they can receive legally cast ballots. it took a week to count the primary votes.
  10. The Post-Gazette's once liberal editorial tone shifted more conservative following the 2018 consolidation of its editorial department with that of longtime sister newspaper The Blade of Toledo, Ohio, and the appointment of that paper's editorial page editor Keith Burris, a frequent defender of Donald Trump, to direct the editorial pages of both papers.[3] Burris assumed the additional position of executive editor of the Post-Gazette in 2019.
  11. Where did the concept of the shy trump voter come from? It seems like it has to be nothing more than a creation of the trumpers to allow them to square their insistence of a trump landslide with polling that shows anything but that landslide. the polling underrepresented the uneducated whites in 2016. That makes sense and the polls claim that they’ve accounted for that (I’m hoping that they over corrected by a couple points). So we’re to believe that there is 5-6% of polled respondents are either embarrassed to admit or intentionally being deceptive about voting for Trump? Seems like bullshit.
  12. Think it was about 1,500. No public tickets. Just family of players and staff.
  13. Losing to Indiana will do that. Tough when you win 11 games in 3 of 4 years but you’re consistently the 2nd best team in the division. What coach out there is going to suddenly be able to make you better than Ohio state?
  14. Inaccurate.
  15. Interesting that in 48 hours after Butler county started making national headlines for losing thousands of ballots, the returned mail in ballots have gone from 24% returned to 66%. Most other counties have gone from the low 70s to upper 70s in that time.
  16. You’re overthinking it. I went to penn state. I’m drunk. The football team lost to Indiana for only the second time ever last week and looks really bad tonight. I won’t believe Trump loses PA until Biden’s inauguration.
  17. I turned on the psu-osu game thinking it started at 8:00. Thought I was watching the opening kickoff. Look down and realize it’s halfway through the 1st and osu just scored to make it 14-0. Chug the rest of that beer. Crack a new one. I’m locked in on doom and gloom for the night.
  18. Record through 66 games: Jim Harbaugh at Michigan: 48-18 Bo Pelini at Nebraska: 48-18
  19. So just to be clear, now that we’ve hit the weekend before the election, we’re just gonna roll the freaking out and negativity straight through from here to Wednesday morning, right? Im in the heart of Trump country for the weekend with the booze and pessimism cranked up to 11.
  20. CSB: I saw my first demolition derby at the Big Butler Fair.
  21. My French ancestors left France for America 40 year before the revolution, but I’m not gonna let that stop me from wanting to see some treasonous heads roll.
  22. Just came upstairs from my office or you’d have had it tonight.
  23. By my fuzzy gorilla math, it’s possible for Biden to overcome as much as a 1.2 million vote deficit on election night, but realistically, anything more than a million seems highly unlikely.
  24. My hope is to have it in my veins by the 2021 masters.
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