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Pancho

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Everything posted by Pancho

  1. #7 Ohio State also lost in Vegas to USC (who is also ranked). If we take care of business, the UConn game will be a top 10 matchup
  2. The Cover 3 podcast made a case that Oklahoma State could lose at UCF this weekend, and I can see that. Coming off of an emotional win, you have to wonder where OSU’s head is at. The line is only -1
  3. First off, no one is panicking. I want us in the CFP, but I realize that window is closing and we are probablyheaded to the Cotton Bowl (which is still good for this season but would be disappointing overall) While something being plausible means it’s believable, it sometimes doesn’t account for how probable it is. You (and others) keep confusing probability and possibility. Your first scenarios, yes, it is possible some (if not all) of that happens. Based on the season so far, the probability is low that they happen but still greater than 0%. The only path (so far) that I see is Florida State losing to Louisville in the ACC title game. I just do not think they lose to Miami and the line is FSU -15 (although it’s possible, technically). It’s possible UF beats them as that game is in Gainesville and they would love nothing more than to ruin FSU’s dream season. So I agree with you that FSU losing along the way is probably our #1 bet both in terms of possibility and probability. Oregon—the only game I see them losing is Oregon State, but that game is at Oregon. Now, Wershington plays at Oregon State and that might be something to watch. I can see something where OSU plays out of their mind because they are being left behind; however, with what Wershington did to USC last night at USC makes me wonder if they are hitting their stride at the right time. Let’s be clear—Alabama isn’t losing to Kentucky or Auburn. Auburn is worse than aggy. I guess with that rivalry you *can* say Auburn would love nothing more than to ruin Alabama’s season. And Alabama will have the SEC West rapped up way before then. Of your scenarios, that might be #2 and not #3. We just need to keep winning and see what happens. What makes me angry about the CFP (always has) is it’s so, so subjective. The phrase “eye test” makes me cringe because that is the most subjective thing ever. TLDR: Yes, it’s possible for everything to work out but the probability of Texas getting to the CFP gets lower every weekend as long as those other teams keep winning.
  4. Who is thinking that? It’s also dumb to just expect that Texas is “automatically in” if we just win out and win the Big 12. That is equally as dumb. What is even more dumb is not recognizing that we may do our part and still get left out because of other situations. This fanbase needs to be prepared for that just as much as some are prepared for us to win out and get our first bid. That’s all.
  5. CFP playoff predictor has us at 39% today and that’s 5th. Alabama is at 41%
  6. Starting next season we'll get the Beth Mowins gauge of suckitude and/or irrelevancy. Never thought I'd say it, but I'll miss Fox. You’re trying way too hard. Fox had 1 good team, and even then, Gus’ shtick is/was getting old. There is no #2 or #3 team for Fox worth a shit. (Huard should have stayed with ESPN but I think he was cut) Pasch/Dusty Fowler/Herbie McDonough/McElroy These are (to me) the top 3 ESPN teams, and they are miles ahead of the #2 and #3 teams for Fox.
  7. Why would they just magically drop Texas if Oregon stays ahead of us the entire time and we both with conference championships? Some of y’all are thinking emotionally and not rationally.
  8. You are not on the committee. You have no idea what they would do. That committee uses the most subjective reasoning to justify their selections. Alabama beating Georgia on Championship weekend would be way more recent than our September win in Tuscaloosa. So no, there’s no 0% in that scenario, especially considering Alabama will have just beaten the likely #1 ranked CFP team in Georgia. That would be fresh in the committee’s mind. You cannot sit there are make guarantees when there’s nothing in writing guaranteeing anything. So yes, there is a situation in which a 1-loss Texas gets left out. It’s possible—the problem is the probability is unknown because the season hasn’t played itself out.
  9. No it does not. There is no guarantee clause in the CFP. Nothing is guaranteed.
  10. idgaf what happens in other games from here on out. We win the rest of ours plus CCG and the playoff committee will have to do some real fuckery to leave us out. Fuckery how? Michigan or Ohio State (undefeated or 1 loss) FLorida State (undefeated) SEC Champ (undefeated or 1 loss) Washington/Oregon (undefeated or 1 loss) Texas (1-loss) Who would the 4 slots go to?
  11. Pancho

    8-1

    It feels like everyone is just going on “eye test” so don’t be surprised if we are stuck at 7 come Tuesday. It’s why saying shit like “win and we are in” should only apply to the B12 title game because there’s no way anyone knows if “win and we are in” is applicable to the CFP. SEC, B10, and Florida State are a lock so….who is left?
  12. How Greg Burks still remains the Head of Football Officials for the Big 12 is beyond me. The product is just incompetent on all levels.
  13. Yeah, I actually like him and Danny Kanell together on their show. He’s pretty complimentary of Texas too.
  14. Pancho

    8-1

    The thing for me is this— This is a game we would have 100% lost in the last 13-14 seasons. Sure, I was angry we gave up a 27-7 lead with 4 min left in the 3rd, and you can be angry that Maalik isn’t the best QB right now, but one thing you can’t be mad at is this team doesn’t seem to give up easily. I saw the defense pounding their chest telling everyone to get a stop during K-State’s final drive of regulation. It’s little shit like that that we didn’t see before, at least I don’t think I did. We may not make the playoff and we may not win the last B12 title, but damn I think we can say Sark has changed the culture here for the better.
  15. No, we should be worried about playing at Iowa State. Late November, cold, last time going to Ames, they are getting better. TCU will be nearly 40% Longhorns
  16. It’s Euro Horn. His life is centered around being eternally pessimistic a la Greenspoint
  17. Yup, I’m doing California Sober for this month at least—no alcohol but plenty of edibles
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