Snake Diggity
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2023-2024 avg fWAR vs 2025 vs 2026 projection (FGDC): Diaz 2.7 : 1.6 : 2.5 Walker 3.5 : 1.1 : 1.6 Altuve 4.0 : 2.1 : 2.8 Pena 2.7 : 5.7 : 3.8 Paredes 3.8 : 2.5 : 1.9 Correa 3.0 : 2.6 : 3.6 Meyers 1.5 : 2.3 : 1.3 Alvarez 4.3 : 0.5 : 5.0 Of their top 8 position players, 5 of them are projected to outperform 2025, and 6 of them should be expected to outperform 2025 if they revert to their 2023-2024 mean. Those 8 guys currently project to be 4 wins better than last season combined, and that’s with Paredes and Meyers ceding a lot of playing time to lesser players. Yordan is one of the 10 best hitters in baseball. No team can plan around missing a guy like that for a big chunk of the season. Dodgers ain’t winning shit without Ohtani, Blue Jays aren’t in the WS without Vlad. 2025 was fucked because the Astros lost the one guy (Alvarez) they couldn’t afford to lose, and the problem was exacerbated by other guys getting hurt and/or not performing.
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I do think that by July Houston’s SP could be dramatically improved with internal options. I’m really high on Blubaugh, Pecko, and Brito, but there’s another half dozen guys I’m not that high on that a lot of other people really like: Ullola, Nezuh, Tredwell, Hicks, Mayer, Santos. Houston hasn’t had this kind of upper level minors pitching depth in a few years.
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Houston could’ve gotten it done but the equivalent would have been Spencer Arrighetti and Ethan Pecko. I wouldn’t have liked that for Houston, especially considering it would have left them with less than $10M in payroll flexibility still looking for another SP, a backup C, and potentially a LH bat and 7th inning RP.
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Pretty even trade, probably good for both sides. Cards ate $20M but get back a graduated fringe top 100 SP prospect and a SP prospect who was top 5 in Boston’s system. Sox get a rental ToR and only have to pay him $20M, but gave up 2 good young pitching prospects.
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That goes both ways. Using war to evaluate any given player is just as fallible as using prospect grades to evaluate prospects, so evaluating trades in the moment is always extremely subjective. But I don’t know what your intention was in tagging me, alluding to the idea that prioritizing maintaining a healthy farm system runs contrary to winning. It doesn’t. Teams that don’t prioritize the farm might have a stretch of winning, but the only guarantee is that they won’t be winning much longer.
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Job hunting - A different kind of happy ending
Snake Diggity replied to Macanudo's topic in Can You Help Me With This?
I absolutley agree with you but I’m doing a very shitty job preparing. I’m in professional services consulting/project mgmt and I can’t really envision a scenario where there isn’t a 50%+ reduction in total jobs in that sector within 8 years. So I know I’m max 2-5 years away from a very likely axe but feel paralyzed on what to do, because I’m worried effort spent upskilling will be in vain (like I will spend a bunch of resources learning some shit only to find out it became obsolete) and a total career transition in my late 40s feels impossible. At this point I’m resigned to riding my current gig out as long as I can and hoping I can quickly figure it out once it ends. It’s really really hard to look into the medium term future and see where the good jobs will be. -
Yeah prospects have no value and teams with the mentality that the farm system can be bludgeoned and ignored usually win a lot.
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Going to be interesting. Far too many unknowns. If (significant “if”) Trump doesn’t run for a 3rd term, the GOP nominee will be either Rubio or Eyeliner. Especially if it’s Rubio, that makes it even tougher for the Dems to win with an establishment moderate like Newsome or Beshear. I think people are hungry for a dynamic/anti-establishment (straight white male) candidate. I don’t see that player on the roster, but I suppose one could emerge.
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Hard to envision who that could be. Al Franken?
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This is the way. Anyone not responding like this is missing the mark.
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Stearns has not been nearly as good in NY as I expected. Bringing in a 35 year old 2B coming off a terrible season and paying him $75M?! Bad idea jeans.
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Usually once you get southeast of Gonzales there’s a steady flow of maga signs all the way to the coast. One ranch just north of Cuero has always had a huge Trump flag out on hwy 183. Wasn’t there yesterday. Like I said it’s the first time in almost a decade that I haven’t seen a single sign on that trip. Not reading too much into it and I’m sure I’ll see some fucking Paxton signs starting next year. And I haven’t been to the speedy stop in POC yet, that’s usually the hive mind of the poorly educated and the purest pool of maga in the world.
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Anecdotal observation: for the first time since at least 2017, I did not see a single Trump/MAGA sign on the drive from Austin to Port O’Connor.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Body in Congress? Oh you mean Marjorie!
Snake Diggity replied to Pancho's topic in Cloak Room
This is like in that movie Deep Impact when the Sec of Treasury resigns abruptly because he knows about the pending Extinction Level Event. -
Not bad. I’d want NY to toss in some money or throw in a prospect but it’s close enough in value and it makes sense for both sides.
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