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Snake Diggity

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Posts posted by Snake Diggity

  1. 47 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

    Listened to a lot of complaints today on talk radio.  (Warranted)  

    What do you think about this line up change (a few people suggested this)

    1. Bregman 2. Pena 3. Altuve 4. Yordan 5. Tucker ............

    Altuve is having an MVP caliber season leading off.  Bad idea jeans to mettle with that.  I would be ok with Pena moving into Bregman’s spot for an experiment.  But mainly, Meyers and Singleton need to play every day.  If Dubon needs playing time, take it from McCormick or Bregman until they wake up.

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  2. 24 minutes ago, Goredho said:

    I have a friend like this, a guy I played sports with and did all the sporty esprit-de-corps things with.  So we've been tight, almost lifelong friends.  He's a self-described libertarian that has gone way down the conspiracy rabbit hole and is now basically working to try to bring about the downfall of the US.  His legitimate business failed and he is rebounding by starting a podcast and writing two books simultaneously "with the help of AI."  It's all aimed at promoting conspiracies and at least indirectly undermining confidence in our governmental institutions.  His social media used to be full of stuff about sports and his kids and real life.  Now it's just a stream of conspiracy nonsense that no one reacts to.  It's like he's posting in a vacuum.

    Last time I saw him, I just hugged him and told him I loved him and said that if he ever wants to come back I'll help him.  He just blinked in surprise and said, "I love you, too man, but... what do you mean?  Come back from what?"

    It is very depressing to see good people who you once admired start to believe stupid, crazy shit.  And there’s nothing you can do about it.  For anyone reading this who is just now encountering loved ones buying into MAGA/QAnon bullshit, LET THEM GO.  Write them off.  Only pain will come from trying to engage with them.  Sad but true.

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  3. 7 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

    Bringing up Whitley and his 12.00 ERA is like betting it all on red because it was black the previous 8 turns.

    It's like 99.925% to hit red next, obv.  It's science.  Analytics, if you will.  Whitley's due for some shut-down innings, and we wouldn't want to waste them in the Minors, see?

    Jesus tapdancing Christ.

     

    20 minutes ago, kevwun said:

    He hasn't been setting the world on fire in AAA.  I wouldn't get real excited.

    He’s only pitched 3 games in AAA so his era is pretty meaningless.  His last game he only threw 13 pitches with a k and a walk.  He got 2 swings and misses and only one pitch was contacted.  It looked like he was nibbling outside the zone but he only threw one really bad pitch.  His pitches had very good movement and his fb was up to 98.  At this point I think he’s probably similar to Dylan Coleman, he has elite stuff but the command varies.  He could come out and walk a bunch of guys and give up a homer or he could look dominant.  Knowing him he will almost surely throw 100 mph, just depends on how it moves and where it’s located.

     

    https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/player-scroll/game?gamePk=752109&player_id=666215#pitch_speed_SINKER

  4. 2017: 1st round pick

    2018: #1 pitching prospect in baseball

    2019: suspended for adderall, hurt shoulder, control regressed

    2020: pandemic

    2021: TJ surgery 

    2022: TJ recovery

    2023: lat strain

    Hes got the innings of a 21 year old, the maturity of a 14 year old, and the injury history of a 36 year old.  But the velo and pitch mix of an ace.

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  5. 31 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

    Astros Hitters by wRC+ (>20 PA)

    1. Jose Altuve (217)
    2. Yordan Alvarez (190)
    3. Kyle Tucker (156)
    4. Yainer DĂ­az (146)
    5. Jeremy Peña (139)
    6. Jake Meyers (114)
    7. Jon Singleton (103)
    8. Alex Bregman (89)
    9. Chas McCormick (87)
    10. Mauricio DubĂłn (76)
    11. José Abreu (3)

    Considering Bregman and McCormick have been affected by injuries and Abreu is dead, that’s a very solid performance as a whole.  (Caratini has a 174 wRC+.)

  6. 10 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:


    4 game hit streak , up to .250 ba

    Singleton’s wRC+ now stands at 103, which means so far this season he’s been an above average offensive player.  Usually a 1B is expected to be 120+, but he’s not been bad this season, especially considering the context of his opportunities.  I really hope he is allowed to continue to play almost every day over the next 3-4 weeks.

  7. 41 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

    @Wulaw Horn 

    200.gif
     

     

    Sugar Land is 9-4.  Loperfido has been historic.  Cabbage, Leon, Hensley, and Bastides (who?) have all hit like studs.  VanWey and Gaither have been extremely good in their pen.  Blubaugh was lights out in his first start.  Whitley gave up some runs but his stuff has looked great.  There’s talent there.  Their High A and A ball teams are .500 or better and have some really exciting young guys.  It’s their AA team that is the main place their overall weak farm is exposed.  Corpus is 1-7.

  8. 3 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

    Loperfido hit his second and third HR in the same inning.

    His k rate is too high to project him to mlb success but goddamn 9 hr in 12 g shows a pretty high level of dominance in AAA.  I say give Singleton 2-3 weeks of consistent time and if he doesn’t hit well and Loperfido keeps hitting them out then you make the move.

  9. This series sets up as a potential rebound.  Nothing about the pitching matchups favors the Rangers very heavily.  France/Dunning, Blanco/Heaney, and Javier/Eovaldi all seem winnable for Houston.  They need gutsy performances from those guys and more timely offense.  A sweep this weekend would put them at 7-10 and 0.5 games back in the division.  At that point all would be well.  Getting swept to go to 4-13 and 6 games back would be fucked up.

    I want to see Singleton play every day for the next couple of weeks.  He looked good yesterday and Abreu is clearly hapless.  Espada can spin it that he’s just giving Abreu a reset; if Abreu comes thru with a clutch pinch hit or if Singleton sucks shit, they can always go back to the $20M black hole.

  10. 3 hours ago, WBT said:

    His stock is down based on 14 games?

    Edit - didn't mean to be critical, I appreciate the exercise overall.

    It’s probably down a bit.  The return I listed doesn’t reflect a huge drop in value, but he hasn’t done himself or the Astros any favors in the early going.

    3 hours ago, Chuckie Finster said:

    I appreciate the thought behind this, but many of these (IMO) are overvalues rarely seen outside the confines of texags.  Outside of absolute superstars, sure feels like the prospect return on baseball trades is almost always less than anticipated.

    Meh.  You’d have to give me specifics.  Otherwise you’re just being a dick.  A lot of the returns would be market dependent and obviously hinge on how each of those players perform between now and the deadline.  But really I only listed Tucker (a borderline MVP caliber player with another year of control) and Valdez (an ace with another year of control) as realistic trade candidates even bringing back Top 100 prospects.  The Org Top 10/30 types would just be guys like Pedro Leon, Joey Loperfido, Arrighetti, Whitley, etc.; those prospects aren’t that valuable and saying a player isn’t worth that is basically saying they don’t have surplus value.  Dylan Cease had less value than Framber (and a smaller market given the spring financial constraints) and he brought back 3 of SD’s top 10 prospects (from a very good farm), one of which was a Top 100 guy.

  11. Just now, Guadaloopy said:

    IT'S FUCKING APRIL 11th!

     

    Just now, David Dennison said:

    I like to overreact to clown show losses as much as the next guy, but we won't really know anything about the season until the break.

    This really, really, really sucks, though.

    I don’t think the season is lost.  I’m speculating about if this continues.  It’s damn hard to win 100 games when you start 4-10.  The odds of Houston making the playoffs have gone from like 85% on opening day to like 60% after today’s shitshow.  When that gets down to 40%, it’s time to start talking seriously about the season being lost.

  12. Trade values:

    Diaz: multiple Top 100 prospects

    Abreu: would have to buy down $30M just to get rid of him 

    Altuve: don’t even think about it

    Pena: a Top 100 prospect plus a couple org top 10 types

    Bregman: at this point it’s probably one org top 10 type; hopefully he turns it around

    Tucker: a top 100 prospect plus a couple org top 10 guys, his stock is doen since he started slow

    Meyers: an org top 10 and a throw-in

    McCormick: 2 org top 10s and a lotto

    Alvarez: don’t even think about it

    Dubon: 2 org top 30s

    Caratini: 1 org top 30 plus a lotto, may have to throw in some money

    Kessinger, Singleton: no value

    Framber: 1 top 100 type assuming his medicals clear; if he comes back healthy this could increase

    Verlander: 2 org top 10 types assuming his medicals clear; if he comes back healthy this could increase, could also increase if Houston covers salary

    Javier: 1 top 100 type plus 1 org top 10; could get another org top 10 by adding money

    France, Brown, Blanco, Garcia, Urquidy, Martinez: value unknown

    McCullers: they’d have to throw in $25M just to get rid of him 

    Bielak, Mushinski, Scott, Coleman: one lotto

    Montero: one lotto; they’d probably have to throw in some money

    Abreu: 3 org top 10 types

    Pressly: one org top 10, assuming Houston pays in some money

    Hader: Houston could get a big haul but it wild depend on how much money they paid down

     

    If the season is lost and they do rebuild, it will be much quicker than 2011-2014 and if it goes well they should contend again in 2026.

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