Snake Diggity
-
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Snake Diggity
-
-
-
3 hours ago, HtownHorn said:
Career seasons from Pena and Meyers. They could revert to average to below average like they did when they returned from their injuries. Alvarez has never played 150 games in a season, expecting him to finally get healthy as he approaches 30 is what retards do. Altuve and Walker both showed signs of age related production drop-offs. We can expect Smith to get better in year two, Diaz has become a dependable 3 WAR player, and Paredes is likely in the same area as well. Doesn't seem like the lineup is solved, not too mention the imbalance of it and the health of it going into the ST is also in question as both Alvarez and Paredes are behind schedule.
2023-2024 avg fWAR vs 2025 vs 2026 projection (FGDC):
Diaz 2.7 : 1.6 : 2.5
Walker 3.5 : 1.1 : 1.6
Altuve 4.0 : 2.1 : 2.8
Pena 2.7 : 5.7 : 3.8
Paredes 3.8 : 2.5 : 1.9
Correa 3.0 : 2.6 : 3.6
Meyers 1.5 : 2.3 : 1.3
Alvarez 4.3 : 0.5 : 5.0
Of their top 8 position players, 5 of them are projected to outperform 2025, and 6 of them should be expected to outperform 2025 if they revert to their 2023-2024 mean. Those 8 guys currently project to be 4 wins better than last season combined, and that’s with Paredes and Meyers ceding a lot of playing time to lesser players.
Yordan is one of the 10 best hitters in baseball. No team can plan around missing a guy like that for a big chunk of the season. Dodgers ain’t winning shit without Ohtani, Blue Jays aren’t in the WS without Vlad. 2025 was fucked because the Astros lost the one guy (Alvarez) they couldn’t afford to lose, and the problem was exacerbated by other guys getting hurt and/or not performing.
-
29 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:
i have faith in our young arms
I do think that by July Houston’s SP could be dramatically improved with internal options. I’m really high on Blubaugh, Pecko, and Brito, but there’s another half dozen guys I’m not that high on that a lot of other people really like: Ullola, Nezuh, Tredwell, Hicks, Mayer, Santos. Houston hasn’t had this kind of upper level minors pitching depth in a few years.
-
19 minutes ago, UTPhil2006 said:
Ergo sounds like we couldn't have done it even if we wanted to
Houston could’ve gotten it done but the equivalent would have been Spencer Arrighetti and Ethan Pecko. I wouldn’t have liked that for Houston, especially considering it would have left them with less than $10M in payroll flexibility still looking for another SP, a backup C, and potentially a LH bat and 7th inning RP.
-
11 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:
Sonny Gray trade is official:
Red Sox get:
RHP Sonny Gray
CashCardinals get:
LHP Brandon Clarke
RHP Richard Fitts
Cash or PTBNLPretty even trade, probably good for both sides. Cards ate $20M but get back a graduated fringe top 100 SP prospect and a SP prospect who was top 5 in Boston’s system. Sox get a rental ToR and only have to pay him $20M, but gave up 2 good young pitching prospects.
-
16 minutes ago, LCHorn said:
Oh come on, I wouldn’t put the value at $0, my point is that presuming a prospect rated at “50” on a bunch of prospect lists has value worth $20m or whatever and therefore should be seen as a match for a 1.5 WAR MLB player isn’t always a good way to evaluate player acquisition merits.
That goes both ways. Using war to evaluate any given player is just as fallible as using prospect grades to evaluate prospects, so evaluating trades in the moment is always extremely subjective. But I don’t know what your intention was in tagging me, alluding to the idea that prioritizing maintaining a healthy farm system runs contrary to winning. It doesn’t. Teams that don’t prioritize the farm might have a stretch of winning, but the only guarantee is that they won’t be winning much longer.
-
On 4/18/2025 at 10:06 PM, Handcruser said:
I think everyone in the generic non-licensed space (sales/marketing/project mgmt, etc) should be working hard on alternative shit that you can lean on when you get laid off. Cuz it’s coming.
I know this one guy that makes 175k pressure washing and snow blowing. Nets 100k.
Learn to do something.I absolutley agree with you but I’m doing a very shitty job preparing. I’m in professional services consulting/project mgmt and I can’t really envision a scenario where there isn’t a 50%+ reduction in total jobs in that sector within 8 years. So I know I’m max 2-5 years away from a very likely axe but feel paralyzed on what to do, because I’m worried effort spent upskilling will be in vain (like I will spend a bunch of resources learning some shit only to find out it became obsolete) and a total career transition in my late 40s feels impossible. At this point I’m resigned to riding my current gig out as long as I can and hoping I can quickly figure it out once it ends. It’s really really hard to look into the medium term future and see where the good jobs will be.
-
2 hours ago, LCHorn said:
That very much remains to be seen-moreover, it need not be one or the other. We have a lot of innings that need to be replaced and one of those starters needs to be of the type can follow Brown in a short series.
I don’t think 2025 Verlander is a good bet for that (another way to say it that his declining velocity and pitch efficacy are fine to fill a few innings but aren’t good bets against a team grinding out at bats in a five game series).
As far as the contract, it’s effectively a one year deal for $21m. That fits fine in our budget and it’s just a short-term commitment. @Wulaw Hornis going to come in here and start talking about the value/cost of a win and @Snake Diggity will talk about the presumed value of the prospects, but the cold reality is that the price of acquisition doesn’t truly matter if you don’t have alternatives available.
Yeah prospects have no value and teams with the mentality that the farm system can be bludgeoned and ignored usually win a lot.
-
13 minutes ago, Hermanator said:
Many of trump's voters in NYC voted for Mamdani.
Democrats run these empty suit corporate shill cunts again and they'll screw it up. The democrats need to run on strong democrat socialist rhetoric. Single payer healthcare, reducing costs across the board, taxing the rich at levels required to sustain the country, etc.
A fucking unknown brown Muslim came out of nowhere and smoked the establishment dem candidates in the NYC mayor race. That should be a giant light bulb moment. Democrat voters dont want establishment. Trump voters don't want establishment. Independent voters dont want establishment.
Give the voters the anti establishment, socialist Democrat populist candidates they want.
Going to be interesting. Far too many unknowns. If (significant “if”) Trump doesn’t run for a 3rd term, the GOP nominee will be either Rubio or Eyeliner. Especially if it’s Rubio, that makes it even tougher for the Dems to win with an establishment moderate like Newsome or Beshear. I think people are hungry for a dynamic/anti-establishment (straight white male) candidate. I don’t see that player on the roster, but I suppose one could emerge.
-
1 hour ago, Fudge Nuggets said:
This got me thinking that the Dems need to select a sacrificial candidate during the primaries to go full heel on MAGA. While the genuine candidates do their normal spiel, this person would hold rallies deep in the heart of MAGA country and do nothing but call them fucking losers, drains on society, shitbirds, lean all the way into it. Take the video above about MAGA being the problem and turn it up to 11.
Hard to envision who that could be. Al Franken?
-
-
15 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:
wtf are the mets thinking ?
Nimmo, who signed his eight-year contract before the 2023 season, has already agreed to waive his full no-trade clause, according to a source. He has $102.5 million remaining on that deal, and according to MLB Network Insider Jon Heyman, the Mets are sending $5 to Texas to offset the transaction.
Semien, who signed a seven-year, $175 million contract with the Rangers in December 2021, does not have a no-trade clause. He has $72 million remaining on that deal.
Semien and shortstop Corey Seager joined the Rangers going into the 2022 season and together led the club to the first World Series title in franchise history. But not much has gone right since then.
The 35-year-old Semien is coming off a disappointing year at the plate as he batted .230 with a .669 OPS through 127 games. His 15 home runs were his fewest in a non-shortened season since 2018. However, Semien’s defense remained strong, highlighted by a +7 outs above average, placing him in the 92nd percentile in MLB. He also earned his second Gold Glove.
Stearns has not been nearly as good in NY as I expected. Bringing in a 35 year old 2B coming off a terrible season and paying him $75M?! Bad idea jeans.
-
7 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:
port lavaca, port oconnor, seadrift, rockport, .... that's maga land
Usually once you get southeast of Gonzales there’s a steady flow of maga signs all the way to the coast. One ranch just north of Cuero has always had a huge Trump flag out on hwy 183. Wasn’t there yesterday. Like I said it’s the first time in almost a decade that I haven’t seen a single sign on that trip. Not reading too much into it and I’m sure I’ll see some fucking Paxton signs starting next year. And I haven’t been to the speedy stop in POC yet, that’s usually the hive mind of the poorly educated and the purest pool of maga in the world.
-
-
-
2 hours ago, HtownHorn said:
I saw a suggestion on MLBTradeRumors that the Astros should try to flip Walker for Brandon Nimmo. Makes sense for both teams, gives the Astros a Lefty bat that can hit anywhere in the lineup. Alonso is likely leaving the Mets so they need a 1B. The salaries are only $500K apart, through Nimmo has 5 more years, whereas Walker has 2 more years. The only thing I would worry about is Nimmo saw his BB rate drop from 11% BB to 8%, but his career average is well over 10% and he still plays good defense especially in LF. This would balance our lineup and another OB guy.
Pena
Alvarez
Paredes
Correa
Nimmo
Altuve
Diaz
Cole
Smith
As long as you get 140 games out of both Alvarez and Paredes, that lineup fucks.
Not bad. I’d want NY to toss in some money or throw in a prospect but it’s close enough in value and it makes sense for both sides.
-
- Popular Post
13 minutes ago, HenryJames said:This is bad for the Democrats. - Surly probably
It’s 11+ months until midterms and 3+ years until the next presidential election. This is not bad for Democrats but the risk of the trough of Trump’s approval coming too soon is very real. It boggles my mind that after how the last decade has gone there is anyone left who is willingly stating “oh yea this is it, Trump’s finished.” That fucking piece of excrement isn’t finished until he’s all the way under the ground and his grave is soaked with my urine. And even then there will need to be a lot of care to make sure the remaining roaches don’t start a new infestation.
-
This was not a good trade but the Astros are desperate for payroll flexibility, having $80M committed this season to Walker, Hader, McCullers, and Javier.
I just really hope they don’t trade Jake Meyers for nothing. He’s not making even as much as Dubon will and he’s worth far more. If they trade him it needs to be for a meaningful prospect or for a pitcher who will make a major contribution to the 2026 team.
-
-
-
8 hours ago, HtownHorn said:
I don't think the next 9 months define anything about Dana Brown. He is in a difficult position of having to lie to the media all the time, because that is what his boss wants while having to deal with the boss's constant meddling in personnel decisions with his cabal of HOF players that know shit about fuck about putting a winning team on the field.
I have been advocating trading Pena and Alvarez because there is no money to make a real addition to the roster because Crane has pissed that away to shitty players time and time again. This team is about 2 years away from being a complete dumpster fire like when Crane bought the team. You can course correct and try to avoid that fire, or you can steer straight into it, too many fans appear to want to go back to the 2008-2010 version of the Astros, except MLB has changed the rules to try to negate multiple seasons of tanking.
People keep saying Alvarez is a MVP level bat, but he's never put it together and is now 29 years old. He's never hit 40 HRs, and he has driven in 100 once in his career. I'd sell high on Pena especially in this shitty offseason for SSs.
Yeah you totally lost me on Alvarez “has never put it together”. wtf? He finished 3rd in the MVP voting in 2022. He has 3 seasons of 4+ fwar, as a DH. He is inarguably one of the 10 best hitters in the world over the last 7 seasons.
The reason I said the next 9 months will define Dana Brown is because I agree with you that the Astros are teetering between becoming a dumpster fire and returning to the kind of success they had from 2015-2024. They have a competitive roster but a below average farm. They have an inefficient payroll but no contracts >$20M/yr after 2028. What the GM does this offseason will determine if the Astros are able to have one more meaningful season during Altuve’s career. How he does in the next draft will determine if the farm is able to start producing again and give them hope of being good after the current core is gone.
-
-
2 minutes ago, chainsaw said:
Paxton will get the dotard endorsement, everything else don't make a shit in a gop primary
I don’t think it is at all a foregone conclusion that Trump will endorse Paxton. He will only do that if Paxton is able to improve his polling; Trump will not risk endorsing a GOP candidate who loses a Senate seat in Texas.
-
48 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:
You know Paxton is basically in a 3 way tie with the other two candidates, right? One of which is a sitting Senator with a huge war chest. Why are you anointing Paxton? I mean, sure, I'm cheering for Paxton. But lets not pretend it's fait accompli.
My beef is Talarico seems to be he's following the Colin Allred plan. 10 emails a day asking me for money, and I'm not seeing shit else.I told them they are fucking up with their follow up requests for additional money. Very annoying and stupid to continuously bug your donors for more money before you’ve taken another step in the campaign. I could understand doing another round right before and right after the primary then of course leading up to the election. But they should have a FIRM rule that they do not ask anyone for money within 90 days of their last donation. And if there is some kind of emergency where they are desperate for funds, the request should come from a human being (preferably the candidate himself) in person, not a fucking deluge of texts/emails.
Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, etc.)
in Business and Markets
·
Edited by Snake Diggity
99%+ of people who are heavily invested in bitcoin are doing so as an act of faith, nothing more. It has no meaningful function as a transactional currency. It has no way of returning value other than price appreciation. It acts as a store of value for believers. You can pretty much say the same thing about gold and silver. So whether you buy it or short it is determined by whether you think the faith will grow or collapse. It’s purely a speculative investment.