Jump to content

TKthunder2

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    3921
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by TKthunder2

  1. Tell me that you don’t know much about a Texas politics without telling me…fuck it https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eighty-seventh_Texas_Legislature Bicameral means every two years. 87th Legislature ran until May 31st, 2021 The SEC move didn’t leak until July 22nd, 2021 (this was intentional, the circle was kept on a very small need to know basis until the Regular Session ended in May). The legislature was in on a special session, however… https://texasscorecard.com/commentary/what-is-a-special-session/ So the legislature could call its dog and pony show since they were technically “in session” but without Abbott (like it or not, a UT grad) putting higher education review or something similar on his agenda they could do anything until Jan 2023. Will anything happen? I’m sure some new bill will pop up trying to force tech or cougar high into the PUF but as long as aggy doesn’t fuck it up those will fail like usual. There will be some unkind words at the higher ed committee with legislators trying to get easy layup sounds bites for their constituents, but at this point the genie is likely not going back in the bottle for two reasons: #1 everyone can now see the endgame (Thanks USC/UCLA/B1G) and having two schools in the cool kids club when certain states may soon have zero is better than the status quo. Plus if there is a chance to get Tech in, it will only come with both UT & aggy pushing for it from within. It’s basically been settled and the public has moved on, trying to turn back UT to the B12 will not happen. Our legislators will be armed with prepared talking note about how aggy left without a big fuss or how UH just ditched SMU without a big hoopla and how this an “opportunity for all” which leads me to… #2 Most of the state of Texas D1 outside of came out ahead in these last few rounds of realignment. aggy then Texas> SEC, TCU then UH > B12, SMU then Rice/UNT/UTSA > AAC, and SHSU > CUSA, TX St > SunBelt, SFA/ACU/Tarelton/UTRGV > WAC, TAMU-Commerce > Southland. That’s only baylor (rape), tech (bad market/bad timing/bad decade), and UTEP (incompetence) stalling out/not advancing and those three don’t really have enough pull to do much other than kick and scream a little.
  2. Correct on Sony, incorrect on Hulk. Marvel owns Hulk 100%. In the early days of the MCU it had distribution partners like Paramount and Universal for its films. They bought back all the rights from Paramount but didn’t think it was worth buying back Hulk from Universal. Disney can make as many Hulk movies as they want, Universal simply has the first right of refusal to distribute any film (not TV). Seeing how Disney owns both production and distribution it would be easy to make the deal extremely unattractive for Universal which will allow them to distribute.
  3. That seems incorrect…it’s 2022 shouldn’t it be “2th Person”
  4. I could see ND getting guaranteed slotting on NBC for their home games for slightly less revenue for the duration of this next contract (assuming their NBC deal remains). ND’s away games (think ND@Rutgers) will increase the value for the Big Ten’s contract which would allow them to add Stanford/others and increase their west coast/late night presence. ND gets to keep its NBC relationship (for this contract), makes more money than staying independent (but not full Big Ten shares if their NBC deal is worth less), has access to premium bowls and the CFP, has locked in games with USC/Stanford that frees up availability on their OOC schedule, and more local travel for other sports. Big Ten gets more money to spread out to add more West Coast footprint for late night features and gives these one off deals setting up the standard relationship for all in their next contract. FOX/CBS gets ND away games (currently under ACC/ESPN) NBC gets better ND home game content, and FOX gets more quality late night content.
  5. https://awfulannouncing.com/fox/six-questions-espn-big-ten-split.html So ESPN could end up with the SEC’s tier one game next year if CBS cuts them a deal. Could see ESPN going all in and working with the Big 12 to renegotiate early and help them pull PAC10 schools in exchange for early release of Texas/OU. ESPN to Big 12: Let Texas/OU go, add 4 more western members to give us late night inventory and we’ll give you a solid contract with a guaranteed regional broadcast at 11am on ABC in the Western half of the country and member states/metros and ESPN2 in the Eastern half with the ACC having the opposite setup, a permanent Late showcase on ESPN and a chance at a national broadcast on ABC prime time when you have a great matchup that can beat out the #2 SEC and #1 ACC game (or a chance at ESPN in the afternoon slot when you can’t). Noon: B12/ACC on ABC/ESPN2, SEC on ESPN Afternoon: SEC on ABC, Big12/ACC in ESPN/2 Prime: Best remaining games on ABC/ESPN (most likely/often SEC #2 but could be something like FSU/Clemson or ACC/ND away game or solid ranked v ranked B12 teams) Late: Big12 Western member on ESPN and ESPN2 SEC: 1-2 on ABC (Afternoon/Prime), 1-2 on ESPN(Noon/Prime), 1-2 on ESPN2/U (Noon/Prime), and 3 on SECN (Noon/Afternoon/Prime) Big12+4: 0-1 on ABC national (Prime), 1 on regional ABC/ESPN2 mirror (Noon), 1-2 on ESPN (Afternoon/Prime/Late), 3 on ESPN2/U (Late and whenever) 2-3 on ESPN+ (Whenever) ACC: 0-1 on ABC national (Prime), 1 on regional ABC/ESPN2 mirror (Noon), 0-2 on ESPN (Afternoon/Prime), 3 on ESPN2/U (Late and whenever) 3 on ACCN (Noon/Afternoon/Prime)
  6. Yep IF true (early reporting is often very one sided). Yep, even if you look at it from the water park’s POV, they still fucked up in how they handled the situation.
  7. https://www.kansascity.com/news/local/article264300966.html Looks like they booked (and the park staffed) for 250 and over 500 showed even after it was canceled.
  8. Umm this is America man. Most people always want more money. I don’t think your second statement is true. Conference distribution sure, but add in the LHN and if Texas made less I still wouldn’t says SEC/B1G we’re making ‘much’ more.
  9. It was reported that they were taking over that game in that time slot. “The deal will establish ABC as the new broadcast home for the SEC’s flagship Saturday afternoon football games, as well as selected Saturday primetime fixtures and the annual conference championship.” https://www.sportspromedia.com/news/sec-espn-abc-football-tv-rights-cbs/
  10. Now that ESPN/ABC have the SEC game of the week, that 230 window will no longer be regional. I assume the 11am window will become the regional time slot and TX/OU will have more 230 kicks going forward.
  11. You’re assuming they’d get the 4th one but we don’t know the distribution of their 1st tier rights yet. Tier One doesn’t necessarily mean only one game. They could have bargained for 1st that includes 2nd game options (think the once a year SEC on CBS double header) with CBS/NBC rotating 2nd/3rd/4th and 5-8+ going to FS1/BTN. The upper tier of Michigan/Ohio St playing the worst teams would justify at least FS1 and then you’d still have the mid tier of USC, Penn St, Nebraska, Wisconsin, and Michigan St as draws as long as they aren’t playing an unranked low tier. Also now that in 2021 for 6 weeks FOX only has an early and midday game, I think lack of a prime time game mostly coincided with MLB playoffs but that’s not all of it. For the other 7 weeks of the regular season FOX has games in all 3 windows and did 4 with a Friday night game once and 5 on thanksgiving fri/sat. That’s 36 games on their flagship channel. I was roughly estimating 39 for my analysis. https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/college-football-tv-ratings/ My point is that if we assume FOX is only getting a single Big Ten game each week, then they still have 20-23 or so games to fill and then they’d still have to put something on FS1 or it’s going to get dropped from cable. So I’m guessing we’ll see 2 Big Ten games on FOX during early OOC season and after the conclusion of the MLB postseason.
  12. That’s how much ESPN paid for the SEC game of the week. It doesn’t make a lot of sense that CBS didn’t pony up for what was commonly the best game of the week in college football that they made bank on for decades, and now they do for what won’t even be the best game in a conference. If they pull it off, it just once again proves that the Big Ten has the best front office people in the business.
  13. I’m assuming that the Big Ten and FOX gave at least one exclusive window but I doubt they gave 2. I’m leaning towards CBS got the exclusive opposite the SEC game of the week on ABC and ND on NBC; and NBC will be competing directly with FOX during prime time. No way does FOX only get a single Big Ten game on its main broadcast network and still have to fill its midday AND prime time slots with B12/PAC content.
  14. Nah, Notre Dame would be the 2-3pm start on NBC for their 6-7 games a year assuming they get $75 million/year. Obviously not 100% on how they are divvying up the right but if an 8-10 team conference had a single tier 1 game I assume a 16 team conference would have 2 tier 1 games and 2 tier 2 games. Tier 3 All day: SEC t3 on SECN, ACC t3 on ACCN, B12t3 on ESPN+, B1G t3 on BTN, PAC?? 11a: FOX B1G tier 1, ABC/ESPN ACC/SEC tier 2, B12 tier 1???, PAC n/a Midday: NBC ND, CBS B1G tier2, ABC SEC tier 1, ESPN ACC/SEC tier 2, PAC/B12???, FOX??? Prime: NBC B1G tier 2, ABC/ESPN SEC/ACC tier 1, FOX B1G tier 1, CBS n/a, PAC tier 1??? B12??? Late (cable or streaming only no broadcast networks): FS1/BTN B1G tier 2/3, PAC (likely ESPN), maybe B12 What this means for the Big 12 and PAC10: FOX still needs inventory. If they gave away the tier 2 games from the Big Ten they’ll need filler for their midday on FOX and all day on FS1/2/+ plus a need for a late night spot. Guessing it’s about 3-4 games. NBC could still use some good rights to offset ND’s away games (which will mostly be on ESPN/ABC). Half of the B12/P10 t1 rights could be worth something to them especially if they partner strategically with ESPN for scheduling since they basically already share ND. CBS has likely spent all they are going to spend on college football. ESPN will need more inventory, they basically have 14 spots to fill with t1/2 rights (3 on ABC/ESPNU, and 4 on ESPN/ESPN2). They have rights to the Sun Belt and the American and a few late night Mountain West games but those are only good for 3/4 games a weekend on ESPN2/U mostly. If we assume the SEC/ACC will fill 8 spots that still leaves a 2-3 game gap that they’ll want to fill with a need for Late kicks. I could see ESPN/NBC sharing tier one rights 50/50 for the B12/PAC. Prime time is going to be crowded. B1G t1 on FOX and t2 on NBC. SEC/ACC on ABC/ESPN/2. Not much room for B12/PAC they’ll fill the lesser FS1/ESPNU channels or go with a non traditional streaming partner. I see why the PAC schools like Arizona are far more valuable to the B12 right now, and if they can’t make that work I think SDSU and Boise might be #13/14 for the B12 for them to make their TV contract more valuable, since LATE kick will be extremely valuable for both ESPN and FOX. Giving ESPN 11am t1 content opposite FOX’s Big Noon and at least 1 weekly game inventory set for LATE kick, plus locally interesting midday filler is where the Big 12 can make it’s money. The PAC is hamstrung with only midday and LATE kick as it’s real value play. They should be selling the Stanford/ND game hard for that NBC spot plus any other angles they can play like Cal/UCLA or the Rose Bowl story line. If they don’t land NBC their best bet is getting their t1 inventory on FOX opposite the SEC game of the week and ND (which won’t look good for their next contract). Unless something drastic happens the Big 12 is going to win out…eventually.
  15. It is, it’s also one of the greatest accidental copy/pastes of all time.
  16. 5yo said to my 2yo who is going through potty training “If God wanted you to watch your poops come out your butt he would have put your eyes down there”
  17. Selling my 2 for $60 a piece in section 11 above 13 on the other side of the concourse.
  18. Yep, when they know they’re already dead the butthurt has a scent of a woman quality to it.
  19. Doc Brown really fucked some shit up gunning it to 88 that time.
  20. If the Big 12 had first 5 picks, Stanford would be #3 after Oregon and Washington I don’t see the need to pretend otherwise just because they wouldn’t join unless given no other option. You get a school in a major media market that is semi competitive and brings acclaim in academics and across multiple sports, AND they are private so you don’t have to deal with don’t travel to states we don’t agree with laws (no CR). Colorado (market/history/geography) would be #4 An Arizona school would be #5. Arizona/ASU are just blah in football. ASU is bigger but Zona is the flagship, a better basketball school, and has higher academics which can be used as a tie breaker. Then ASU would be a duplicate market and unnecessary to the B12. Utah while a duplicate market with BYU is the most competitive team remaining after the PNC schools. California is tied for next to last with Wazzu (better on paper than most realize) and the 2nd AZ school because they are a public school in CA which makes it difficult to for them to travel to states like Texas and Oklahoma. Lots of baggage. 1/2 Oregon/Washington 3 Stanford 4 Colorado 5 Arizona 6 Utah 7/8/9 ASU/Cal/Wazzu 10 Oregon St Oregon, Washington, Stanford, and Cal would rather hang around and ride out the new PAC10 knowing that they will likely be rescued at a future date (not sure why Cal would think that but they seem to); and Utah seems adverse to joining up with BYU again. So it seems like the Big 12’s best efforts should be on Colorado and the Arizona schools if they can peel away 2 then that’s the end of the PAC10. They can try to reload with SDSU, Fresno, UNLV but the writing will be on the wall for anyone who doesn’t think they have a future pass to the Big Ten.
  21. So as far as the PAC10 is concerned, they and their media mouthpieces are now openly admitting that the Big 12 will likely pull in more TV revenue and openly discussing giving Oregon and others a “bigger piece of the pie” aka unequal revenue sharing, while the Big Ten is saying no further raiding today (without ND) but maybe soon… So Arizona and Colorado are sitting here hearing that they’ll make less money than the Big 12 with equal revenue sharing… and even less than that when they go to unequal revenue sharing… and that the league could still collapse during the next Big Ten raid and there is a real possibility they lose their spot at the big boy table when the music stops and they are stuck in a Frankenstein version of a conference that is half PAC12 leftovers and half MWC wannabes. Or they can join the Big 12, make more money, and secure their spot in what will quickly become the #3 or at minimum #4 conference. This doesn’t sounds like a very difficult choice especially if I’m Zona and you think you or ASU will be left behind.
  22. I don’t think the B1G could pull off 3 tier one broadcast level games regularly with their current lineup. If they added ND, Oregon, Washington, Stanford to go to 20 that would be doable. This sounds like leaked propaganda to get a streaming service to up their bid. I can see FOX and CBS or NBC (not both) getting tier one content but tier 2 is likely going to be shared with FOX and ESPN or a streaming partner unless NBC thinks tier two B1G content is better than anything they could get from the B12/P12 (which it might be as Ohio St/Purdue might be able to outdraw their game of the week). I don’t see CBS settling for tier two. This is the only way that could make sense: FOX/CBS - tier one FOX/NBC - tier two FOX/BTN - tier three
×
×
  • Create New...