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Gravy Train

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Gravy Train

  1. Not reading the LoS, someone has to pick up the blitz
  2. FNL is the Northern Colorado Regional airport, in Loveland. It used to accomodate light commercial travel, but was shuttered through Covid. Last year, it received Federal infrastructure grants to widen the runways (accomodating 737 bodies), opened two new gates in a freshly-renovated terminal, and has a project underway for an advanced, semi-automated control tower. There's a ton of tilt-wall commercial construction going on around the airport in Loveland, along with a massive, new, and mothballed Amazon Warehouse. If it attracts commercial and business commuter travel, I can see the area blowing up if/when economic conditions ripen. For now, the same job pays 20% more in the Denver Metro area, despite home prices fetching similar money. You'll want to be in Fort Collins or Loveland for tax diversity. Windsor and Timnath are going to be built out 90+% residential with most new neighborhoods adding a metro (MUD) taxing district, tied to a 20-year bond package. Fort Collins proper is already 70% developed, and with I-25 opening the inner tolling lanes, I can see future development fill out the Front Range from Berthoud to Wellington.
  3. I think that's a better idea, she'll have a chance to start fresh before high school, and you have a robust UC-Health system nearby for her future career options.
  4. I'm shopping Fort Collins right now and you might want to bring that timeline forward a bit... or buy sometime in the next three years. Opening FNL will be massive for the area.
  5. I like the ring of Riley Leonard vs Quinn Ewers.
  6. Anyone on the agent side have experience with assumable mortgages? I'm interested in a Colorado property and want to explore terms with the seller before originating a 30-yr at 6.85% or whatever cockery is being written today. The home presents a location upgrade and lifestyle improvement, so the math isn't there by walking away from my 2.85% in DFW, but this is what I want for myself. Pretty shitty time of the year to make a contingent offer.
  7. Anyone else seeing 60-90 DoM before the listing is removed, then later relisted at a similar or higher price? Sellers have a 5-month window to act (when cyclical buying activity peaks through summer break) and if they don't get the price they *need*, it's often easier to park the property or rent it out if it's being floated on a 2.89% 30-year mortgage. Better price indicators have been noted from homebuilders recently, where, in some markets, it's more cost effective to build than to buy an established SFH.
  8. Fair to assume Cam Williams will return, allowing Goosby to backup? The Peach Bowl seemed to fatigue a number of players, while Ohio State played a clean and quick Rose Bowl game. I'm hoping there's enough rest for those who need it.
  9. Crazy to think Ed Orgeron's raging boner pills offered Freeman the opportunity to take the reigns at Notre Dame. Now we know who was holding the Irish back all those years.
  10. Looked like Karl Kirby Junior Junior. Hope it's Kirby next.
  11. I'm with you but detest Arlington and ATT. Need to see the BO&W show up though
  12. Well good for them because they fucied up a whole lot of missed holds and ball spots to convert third downs in regulation.
  13. I can’t watch this shit. Every fucking game
  14. Gravy Train

    Landman

    The windmill farms track for that locale but we haven't seen the Olney cattle ranches or their orange/red dirt. Apparently Sheridan's home ranch is outside of Weatherford and he likes to shoot in their town, while the landscapes are somewhere nearby in Young County.
  15. "Higher for longer" can go fuck themselves. The market will remain dead as long as the forces of affordability remain high, relative to income: high price plus high cost of capital. The Median Multiple between 1990-2002 plateaued at a level between 3.5x-4.0x, where 3.0 and under is considered affordable, and 3.1 to 4.0 is mildly unaffordable. Today, that figure is trending close to 6.0 or worse in many markets. Inventory in many markets has returned to 4 month averages, with 1/4 of the top 200 DMAs now returning to 2019-era inventories, and the NAR is marking down 2024 as its worst year in sales volume since 2008: Homebuilders are fucked too-- they've posted more new, unsold inventory than any time since 2009. They're running out of land near our largest employment centers at a time when enterprise executives and political incumbents are enforcing RTO policies, most of which seem to be leveraged RIF functions and do not offer relocation expense. I don't know how this trainwreck ends, but price, the US10Y, and wages seem to be immovable objects, and the average homebuyer is already broke and can't afford another dollar in their monthly coupon or rent check.
  16. Nice post, Eddie, that video was suggested to me in my feed, then I noticed you posted it here. Part two will undoubtedly explore the "absurd" coupon codes of 30% off and retailers who have been impacted by not participating in PayPal Honey. This invokes a number of questions, including merchants sharing coupon codes and E-commerce platforms like Shopify. Not surprised by the referral link stealing scheme. Can't believe PayPal spent $4B on a fucking browser extension.
  17. I've been hooked on Curra's Oaxaca's blend for nearly a decade and make a point to pick up two pounds of their whole bean every visit I make to Austin. It's my go-to for the drip maker, on rotation with La Colombe Nizza. Intelligentsia's Black Cat Espresso is in the Breville Barista at the moment.
  18. Rare Books, inside J Theodore? Good bar program and they're happy to share allocateds. Possibly the easiest (and most reasonable) place to get a pour of Weller 12.
  19. Sounds like you need some Google Pixel in your life-- Samsung hardware underneath, no bloated launcher on top, nor a bunch of redundant brand-only apps locked into their ecosystem, and best of all, better dedication to system updates.
  20. Surprising-- what were the CELs for? I'd like to think you previously logged 30K miles of aftermarket-tuned V8 power without a hiccup. Hold on to that 2021 Landcruiser, it's the last of the solid and reliable Japan assembled examples.
  21. It's still slow, but makes all the right noises and is easy to care for. I can appreciate coveting one of the last GS-Fs (the last attractive sedan Lexus made), then moving on to the IS 500. Analog experiences (with a warranty) are quickly becoming extinct.
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