
GW Hayduke
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Posts posted by GW Hayduke
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Any advice on finding a decent realtor for someone looking to purchase a residence in north Austin? Feel free to PM me suggestions. Would be appreciated.
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35 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:
See the Economist piece I clipped on the CR thread -- the best strategy for the rest of the world is to 1) accelerate disengagement from trade with the US to the largest extent possible, and 2) seek new, rational trading partners/relationships to fill the gap. The US economy is big, but on the actual global scale, not so big that it can't be somewhat isolated, with engagement reduced to the bare minimum.
A trade war is not the best play for the rest of the world. Slowly walking away is a much better play.
So as the US becomes further and further isolated from the rest of the world, which of our foreign adversaries will benefit?
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47 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:
Well, here's the thing. Marc Elias and the team democracy lawdogs are very good at this and on top of it.
Had there been provable election shenanigans, I fully believe we'd have heard it in the context of a lawsuit by now.
However, and here unfortunately is a sanctions defense for Sidney Powell and their ilk, but challenging an election may well require that you file suit before you have the necessary facts in-hand.
So, even as good as is Elias, there may not have been time to develop this before it was too late. Or the facts don't exist.
If evidence of these types of things are uncovered once it is too late for legal action, investigative journalists at the times or post would vet and bring to light.
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1 hour ago, Fastbreak said:
For decades the GOP has gerrymanderd every district they could. Then they made rules to prevent "cetain" people from voting. Then I am supposed to believe they didn't "rig" this election?
Cheaters never quit. My dad still claims a bogey after 3 in the water. It's in thier DNA.
Tldr: elections mean shit...Voter apathy is exactly what the GOP, Bannon, Trump, and Putin want from their opposition.
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7 hours ago, Fudge Nuggets said:
Peaceful protests don't work. Boycotts don't work. Elections don't work.
What the hell else is there?
Elections work. You just have to win them.
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7 hours ago, hayden_horn said:
Uhhhhhhh
sorry but that dude is the only target as a ceo because people can't hunt down shareholder value.
share holder value is destroying society
We have laws and a criminal justice system to hold people accountable for inappropriate conduct. We shouldn't want and shouldn't honor those who commit assassinations and murder.
If what the CEO was doing broke the law, then he should have been prosecuted. If what the CEO did wasn't against law and people feel that what he did was inappropriate, then they should change the law.
We don't want random dumbasses running around town who are stuck in weird information bubbles conducting assassinations against people they feel are "bad" and should be murdered. That is stupid. That is gross and immoral.
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An hour long video to listen to the CEO of Vigilance Elite. I think I'll pass.
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This thread is dumb
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On 11/17/2024 at 9:13 AM, troph said:
Change mandated elections are here to stay until one party actually does real and lasting work for the working and middle class. I think Biden was on his way but inflation and not enough time and terrible messaging got in his way.
look I think trans rights are human rights and I’ll not ever change my position but we need to lead with a more populist message for the working and middle class and then things like climate and civil rights are secondary and not forgotten but not at the core of the platform. Education, healthcare, childcare, unions, taxes all have to be messaged well - and we have to run against oligarchs and the political class. Kamala tried to but she was too focused on the disaffected Republican and should have been all over the working and middle class.
Warren, AOC, sanders are the standard bearers and then message the shit out of us vs them, create the messaging around our enemies. Be bold and colorful with language (avoiding messages that promote violence). Our enemies are the billionaires and multi hundred millionaires. Demonize them, don’t take their money per se don’t lock them up but promise enforcement against them (IRS, SEC, etc) and promote benefits for the middle and working classes.
learn from Trump - you MUST identify THEM and US and blame THEM tirelessly.
benefits for the middle and working class?
Children of families under a certain income or first time college? Free.
healthcare bankruptcies? Eliminate for those under a certain income. Single payer would be much better.
taxes? Increase zero tax brackets substantially (not zero SS/medicare), increase highest rates, create new Uber wealthy tax rates, including something like a 25% cap gains rate for those with millions upon millions in cap gains.
Childcare - make it free for those below certain income levels so the second wage earner in a family often the woman isn’t effectively working for a penance.
Social security - above extreme incomes in retirement (say more than $500k in retirement jncome) eliminate SS benefits. Probably a drop in the bucket but it would message well.
unions - we need more of them, plain and simple. Labor has to be able to negotiate with leverage against the oligarchs. Promote them with improved legislation.
Abortion is likely a dead issue - voters are voting for republicans and for voter led initiatives to make abortion legal in their red states (not all).We MUST create an US versus THEM approach and beat it into the populace. Without it, we will continually win and lose in change elections as the working and middle classes vacillate between the parties.
This is good. We should shift almost all of our energy and policies into economic issues and put culture war on the back burner. The hurdle though is that culture war is a winning issue for the GOP, they have dark money and twitter, etc. to keep it at the top of everyone's social media feed, and the people in our society most affected by the proposed economic policies (higher taxes on the wealthy) are the ones feeding the dark money propaganda that give the GOP their culture war power. I'm not saying we shouldn't do it, but the more we double down on "tax the rich" the more the rich will feed the GOP propaganda machine.
Hopefully it isn't too late - but I think somehow we will need fix the playing field and address things like campaign finance, citizens united, misinformation, a fairness doctrine for the digital age. There should be no way that a political actor like Elon can control a social media site. There should be no way that single billionaire can contribute $50 million to elect someone in the US. We would need a new supreme court to make it happen though.
It feels like there are too many hurdles.
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On 11/11/2024 at 9:17 PM, TwiceHorn said:
That is why the GOP fights the fight in the culture war arena and not the economic arena. Guns, gods, and gays allows the undereducated and non-wealthy to vote against their economic interests. The democrats need to leave the culture war arena and make the fight in the economic arena - affordable healthcare, affordable childcare, affordable housing, access to higher education, and tax the rich. Identity politics is loser politics when the economic policies are on your side.
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42 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:
He didn’t link to his source but the one link in his c&p was to Fox Business so that may have been his source which, unsurprisingly, would’ve been slanted and biased.
I’m still waiting for someone to explain to me how Biden’s 2021 stimulus caused inflation but Trump’s 2020 stimulus wasn’t a factor. (Or how Trump’s $28 Billion giveaway to farmers to offset the cost of his tariffs wasn’t socialism but that’s beside the point…sort of.)
I don't believe facts or anything real controlled the outcome of this election.
The things that seems to matter these days are people's perception of reality, their feelings and vibes, and messaging. It isn't about policies or what actually happened in the past. It is about what people feel happened in the past and people's vibes on a candidate. Maybe that has always been true to a certain extent, but today's propaganda tools have turned it up to 11.
Elections these days are controlled by the billions in dark money unleashed by Citizens United and the use of that money to maximize the effectiveness of algorithms and AI to target voters to craft alternative realties and nudge voting blocks in various directions - to turn up at the polls or to suppress turnout. There is a reason Elon purchased twitter. It wasn't so he could turn a profit. It was to exert power within our democracy.
Hopefully, democrats aren't too far behind in being able to exert influence within all the information bubbles out there. The fact that inflation was working so hard against Harris gives me some hope. The notion that Trump somehow is a generational con man and when he is gone MAGA will die, gives me a glimmer of hope. But when I look at how buffoonish Trump is, at how obviously corrupt he is, and how morally bankrupt MAGA is, and the fact Dems couldn't use all of that effectively to win, makes me think Dems might be too far behind to catch up.
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19 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:
on the trans issue, I'm just not sure what the Dems could do other than agree about sports which they effectively do as a group. I'm just uncertain how a political ad would communicate that.
I don’t know what Dems should do either. I just know the GOP used it to totally fuck Dems.
The potential exists that it might not matter what the actual policies or issues are. The possibility exists that the GOP has perfected the use of social media targeting tools and combined it with billions of dollars in dark money and now have the whole population control thing perfected with AI or something. I’m looking for answers
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27 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:
to me that was the platform. I didn't see Kamala call for more trans women in women's sports.
This is bigger than what just Kamala did. This is about the what the democratic party needs to do.
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18 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:
what do you want Dems to do? Do you want them to lead the charge in requiring chromosome tests in order to play women's sports?
This is like saying that both political parties should have outlawed 1960s civil rights because there were many racists in the country. (I didn't say Dems here because Dems were heavy on the racist side and eventually became republicans.)
One idea is for the Dems to move away from culture war and identity politics and stick to winning positions like - affordable chidlcare, affordable healthcare, affordable access to higher education, tax the rich, worker's rights, consumer's rights - stick to winning economic issues and drop all culture war issues.
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20 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:
Yeah, this was very much NOT a contributing factor to this election. Trans girls in sports are like 10 total in the country. Nobody gives a shit that Riley Gaines came in 5th instead of 4th. Dems fucked up messaging on this because they should've hit Republicans for wanting to inspect kids' genitals, which is something they very much want to do because they're fucking pedophiles.
It was a cornerstone of the GOP campaign ads. Campaign ads that contributed to capaign that dominated. Why would you think the cornerstone of the GOP's campaign ads didn't contribute to the outcome of the election? Trans issues are political losers for the dems. It sucks, but that is reality.
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I haven't been keeping up with this thread. The economoist's data guy thinks Trump is leading.
"Our presidential forecast currently gives Donald Trump a 56% chance to win the presidential election. That’s about a ten percentage point shift from where we were last week when it was Harris who was nearly a 5545 favourite. So you could still say that the race is pretty close to a coin toss, but it’s gone from one that was slightly weighted towards Harris to one that is slightly weighted towards Trump, and a ten percentage point move is meaningful."
https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2024/10/24/the-economists-election-model-puts-trump-in-the-lead
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1 hour ago, tx 3 putt said:
Probably because no one told the secret service about the guy on the roof. I'm not sure why there is confusion.
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34 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:
"Biden is old as shit" was already baked in with undecided voters so them seeing that maybe a little more clearly than before just doesn't really change much, especially given his opponent. At this point I do think Biden's chances of winning have been seriously harmed, but more by the panic within the party than by his actual performance.
No way we are gonna fall for the old Hillary’s emails in a tailpipe trick again. This is why Elon purchased Twitter. The really shitty thing is seeing the times and cnn partake.
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7 hours ago, Loch Ness Monster said:
What a dumbass. A middling no-name senator fucks up and says some stupid shit in a closed door setting and then goes on TV trying to fix and then and says some more stupid shit. I'm often amazed how someone with such incompetence becomes a US senator.
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3 minutes ago, Red Five said:
He's clearly not as sharp as he used to be. Because he's old. That's normal.
Can he operate as president now? Sure. For the next four and a half years? I'm not sure how anyone can suggest that with a straight face.
He just needs to make it past election night.
He has built a huge apparatus that will continue to run no matter what happens to him - no matter if Kamala takes over. They will continue to appoint judges, help Ukraine, implement policies like drug reform and education, and depending what the legislative branch does - hopefully pass some legislation. That will all continue if elected. If he loses - we get the dismantling of our government and democracy.
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12 minutes ago, Texaus said:
If only we had known then what we know now. Do you honestly believe the result would’ve been the same? We were misled. That should piss you off
Biden's cognition is fine - no matter what a couple statements at a single debate when he had the cold shown over and over on ticktock/twitter tells you.
His cognition is so fine that he was able to build and manage the best white house administration this country has seen in 50 years. That is the metric of cognition that matters. Everything else is just twitter BS.
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5 minutes ago, JohnnyRage said:
Not even close.
In case you are unaware: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries
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Israel vs everyone war thread
in Daily Texan
Posted
Below is part of the wiki description of the steele dossier. It was raw intelligence and many of the allegations were confirmed by Mueller. There is real journalistic criticism towards Buzzfeed concerning their decision to release the document.