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TXSooner518

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Everything posted by TXSooner518

  1. Nah man you gotta treat fair food like bad players treat poker hands. Do I want to see the flop with this hand/eat this item? If yes - how much to see the flop/purchase this item? Then pay that amount. It’s just coopins! Not even money! Wheee!
  2. I'm gonna need a wetter board to fold AA with a SPR of less than 3. It doesn't take many straight/flush draws in his range to give us a reason to go with it. Also we have literally the top of our range here, the best hand we can possibly have, as I'm assuming we don't make it $12 here with 55 or 77 OOP, and even if we do, we aren't ever leading 775 is my guess. So if we are folding this, we are folding 100% of our range. Can't fold it against a player who is "splashy." Give me OMC in a WWII veteran hat and yep. Or maybe someone jamming over the $100.
  3. Yeah, the best thing about the 11am kick is all the vendors are open by 8am. When we had the afternoon kick a while back, lots of them didn't open til 10, and then there were lots of lines and rabble. Our plan every year: Park at the fair by 7am. Drink in the parking lot til 745 to create a solid base. Corny dog at 8am. Fried butter with cinnamon and honey at 820am. Food court at 830am, assorted foods and beers. Enter stadium at 1030am. Leave stadium at 3pm, head to the far corners of the fair away from the shitshow on Nimitz. Hang until 10pm, consuming a minimum of 5000 calories and a hunnerd dollars worth of coopins.
  4. If one leg of a parlay pushes, it is usually treated as if that leg didn't exist (so on a 2 team parlay, you would basically just have a standard bet on the other leg).
  5. Some of y’all are reaching bigggg time. He didn’t even offer any major critical testimony and wasn’t a key cog to the prosecutions case. So instead of killing a juror or prosecutor or judge or BJs family for outburst at verdict or whatever, they retaliate against the random testifying neighbor? Get a fucking grip.
  6. If he has the flush draw on the QQ hand, he’s not shoving turn because he has literally 0 fold equity (obviously). He will just call the 55 on the turn and get in if he hits and fold if he misses. Also we can’t build a turn strategy around what the actual river card came. Sure, if we check back, we are calling this river. Other rivers we would fold. Other times it goes check check and we lose but save the $55. On the 88 hand, do we think they have better than us and we are making them fold it? If not we are just winning when we had the best hand anyway and losing a ton when he has an ace.
  7. Almost all just absurd run bad. That said, I don’t like bet-calling QQ on 453-A. What do we think he called flop with then jams turn for a minraise that loses to QQ? I also don’t like betting 88 on A hi into 3 people and when we do and get called, betting a K turn is usually just torching money. If you bet a K hi flop and A turns then we can be repping an A to fold a K.
  8. I find it hard to believe that everyone is aware you can get six coupon beers at the Six Coupon Beer booth sir.
  9. Ha yeah this. We have a pair of people going with us this year who just love sports, especially football, and aren't OU or Texas fans, but knew this game is on any real sports fan's bucket list.
  10. Can't lump those properties in with Hooters. Trop and Bally's specifically have both had major renovations done. Actually feels modern and clean in both casinos, and the renovated rooms at Bally's are completely fine, with a perfect strip location.
  11. My first ever OU-Texas game was in Row 0 on the 50 behind the Texas bench. 1995, so everyone left with a touch of the blue balls.
  12. Ehhhhhhhh. I think they have different goals. Hurts is currently 109th in the country in pass attempts. That doesn't sound like a team airing it out to get him that trophy. He's thrown 85 passes this season. For comparison Mond has thrown 181, Tua 148, Purdy 147, Ehlinger 140, Lawrence 136, Bo Nix 125.
  13. Just found out this girl's big sister is my daughter's cross-country teammate. Just horrendous. And everyone needs to read and understand wood's post, hands-free eliminates a bit of the risk, but not the majority. Study after study confirms that. Just get off the goddamn phone while operating a car, period.
  14. Right, and manslaughter can be 2-20. Murder can be 5-99. What that indicates is that some offenses that are "murder" are worth 5 years and some are worth 99. I think, and I think most agree, that in the overall scope of offenses that fall into the "murder" bucket, this is pretty far to the lower end of the "awfulness" spectrum. Obviously, anything that is murder will be "awful", that's why it's a first degree felony. But if you were going to compare this case to another murder conviction drawn at random, chances are very high the other case would be more heinous.
  15. Well if you are so willing to speak with such authority and conviction for what is appropriate for a given offense, you should be able to place that offense within the scope of the rest of the criminal justice system. Reggie Stephey drove drunk, killed 3 girls, and subjected Jacqui Saburido to some of the worst torture alive. He got less than 10 years. If you give Guyger 40 years for a 90 second flash of horrendous decisionmaking, what the fuck do you give her if she plots, premeditates, and kills Sex Cop's wife so she can have him to herself? What do you give her if she was sick of Botham's noise upstairs so she comes upstairs and shoots him in cold blood? It's horrendous that Botham was killed, but you still have to consider the totality of the circumstances, and also what the purpose of prison is, and it isn't (or shouldn't be) just to satisfy reactionary bloodthirst and vengeance.
  16. You never answered my questions earlier. If you think this is a 25-40 year case, what cases would fall in the 5-15 year range for murder, in your opinion? How much $$ would you have to be paid to start a 10 year prison sentence today? What is an appropriate sentence, in your opinion, for someone who is smashed drunk, goes the wrong way on the interstate and kills someone? For someone who looks down and reads a text, and in that moment, rear-ends a car, killing two kids in the back seat? For someone who is in a hurry, guns it through a red light, t-bones and kills someone? For someone who holds a drunk girl down at a party and forcibly rapes her?
  17. Similar to the Absolute Poker scandal, you wonder how long that shit could have gone undetected if they hadn't decided to get greedy and make it obvious. You can't call off on the river with ten high when they jam it with nine high. Get em later.
  18. For those of you who think this should be 20-40 years, what fact pattern that constitutes murder would you think justifies the lower end of the spectrum of the punishment range? Also, how much money would someone have to pay you to accept a 10 year prison sentence starting today? It's just funny because I leaned very heavily to the state's favor in this case, but I think putting her in prison for a quarter century would be insane, counterproductive, and pointless.
  19. KQ hand is fine. Folding is fine against a good reg, we have decent offsuit big cards out of position. 3betting is good against someone who loves to ISO limpers. Don't build strategy around what would or would not have worked against your opponent's actual hand. Can't fold river as played here. JJ hand, I actually think calling is OK pre. Again, we are here to make money, not win pots. We can play our hand in position, and we are under-repped. If it comes two big cards on the flop, cool, we check-fold and on to the next. We aren't ENTITLED to win the pot just because we have jacks. Also, being concerned that people will call pre with Kx or Ax if we raise smaller is OK. We want our opponents to make a mistake, and calling 3bets with raggedy aces is a mistake, esp since we aren't paying them off when they flop an ace. What hand is the reg making it 11x to open first in the pot? He went 7.5x over a limper with AQ. You also imply that he is shoving AK pre, and that you are folding if he shoves pre. If you make it $120, he jams for $450 effective (you don't say but I assume he covers?), and all others fold, we now have to call $330 to win $655, so almost exactly 2 to 1. We have over 36% equity against a range of QQ+, AK, so folding is now a mistake even if his range is that tight. We also are just turning our hand into a bluff if we are going to raise big enough that only hands that beat us stay in, and wasting the value of our hand. I also think 3b to $80-90 is good/fine, as it lowers the SPR and has people calling without proper odds, but doesn't make everyone fold everything we beat, and doesn't lock us into calling off if the original raiser rips it. Also, him checking KK 3 times there is almost surely terrible, depending on what the board is. Are you really checking back AA or QQ twice there? T5 hand bet bigger on the flop. River changes nothing, she doesn't have T8 there (tight lady isn't calling T8 on 557r ever never). I dunno what card is a spade on the flop, but she isn't calling the flush draw on turn then checking when it hits on river, she would bet. Bet river.
  20. Sheds some light on the obvious self-esteem issues illustrated where she was sending pics posed on demand to a married dude that she wasn't even carrying on an ongoing relationship. Also obvious self-esteem/insecurity stuff on the posts.
  21. Her social media posts and texts are deplorable. That said, ever hear someone say "boy I'd kill some sumbitch if I caught em fucking my wife"? Even if someone said that, and they then subsequently did walk in on someone fucking their wife and shot them dead, they would very likely get convicted of "sudden passion."
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