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disgustipated

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  1. Then it follows more nukes equals more peace, kinda like more guns equals less gun violence. Green light for NK and Iran, right? Just asking the question.
  2. Are you assuming that the lead up to resolution doesnt involve the use of nukes? If it does, do we abide by the 1994 Budapest Memorandum? 2-23-22_ukraine-the_budapest_memo.pdf (harvard.edu)
  3. I have seen several assessments that indicate that Putin has no political off ramps at this point. If that is true, the question is longer if but when we will take military action. Talks of chemical weapons is driving more ambiguity in US responses. And new airstrikes into western Ukraine is upping the ante. Shouldn’t we be mobilizing a credible response on the Poland border in the event entry into Ukraine is warranted or at least as a credible counterattack deterrent to Putin? Btw, anyone remember the time, the US undertook a military operation that entered the airspace of another nuclear power?
  4. Yeah but the gangster in Russia also has nukes. Not saying it excuses the distinction, but it's the reality. Ukraine is also better at marketing.
  5. I wish we could pull a page from the Putin playbook and carry out some expanded NATO defensive exercises in Poland.
  6. I finally saw a story regarding Moldova (not Mulva), apparently it was on a map pictured with Belarusian President.
  7. Every map I have seen shows Moldova (also the birth place of Bianna Golodryga), as a non nato country and yet no one seems to talk about it.
  8. in today's world where almost everything is a conspiracy, occam's razor has lost almost all usefulness.
  9. It's amazing how Biden can be blamed for Putin ordering the invasion of Ukraine, but dont be surprised if Ukraine prevails, they will say it's because of Trump.
  10. Just the tip of the spear. America's version of the Taliban is firmly in control in Texas, subverting the fundamental elements of our democracy, coupled with an uncaring populace happily accepting its demise. With national out of touch progressives trumpeting socialist agenda, centrist democrats hand wringing and scared to use the marginal power they have, gotta give Texas republicans credit; they aren't scared to use power. In this day and age, hyperbole may only be the language of the the day, but what happens when hyperbole ceases to be hyperbole and becomes reality. At present course, we need only to look to Afghanistan to see our future. Brisket is right.
  11. I agree. Hedges come at a cost, and that adds to house edge. I concede on the math of the game, otherwise casinos would not offer it. Long term, the house is playing the grinder strategy, so betting with them makes sense, in the long run. But, I also think there's a lot of information beyond the math that can influence decisions at the table in a single session.
  12. I agree with the stats and assessment of getting past the hard part mathematically, however, whether it is dumb or wise may depend on factors beyond the math, such as an assessment of the shooter, if you give any credence to shooter patterns or dice control. I know there are exclusive dark and light siders. I have seen light siders go after dark siders at a table. That said, most dark siders know the strategies to hedge dont pass bets against come out rolls (hop 7's 6-1, 4-3, 5-2, big red / any 7, whirl/world bet (big red and horn bet combined) , yo bet, laying a number, playing pass-line also). I actually do give some credence to dice setting/and dice control or at least shooting patterns. I typically use a hard way set with 4's on top and aces facing back and 5's and 2 on the sides. My seven outs on a 5-2 is at most 20%, and 6-1 up to 50%. This makes sense to me because both dice have to go off axis to get a 5-2. For me to seven out on 6-1 or 4-3, one of the dice has to double pitch (show the opposite face from starting position) relative to the other die. As a corollary, I also rarely throw hard 4's or hard 10's from this set.
  13. I apologize if this was said, but they have had this at Winstar for a while (2 in fact). It has its pros and cons. Rolling on the hard plastic top may seem a bit bouncy for the dice controller enthusiasts, but if you are on one of the middle slots its a really short throw. There are some weird things on bets, like you cant pull down a dont pass bet after point is made. So if you like playing 6 or 8 from the dont you're stuck. But you can do a lot more betting strategies without getting a dirty look from the dealer. For example,I like laying all the numbers on the come out roll. I like it because if a seven hits you get paid lay odds on your bets (ie 1 to 2 on 4/10, 2/3 of 5 and 9 and 5/6 on 6 and 8. If a point hits, you only lose whatever you put on the point, 2,3,11,12 nothing happens. I am hesitant to ask this of a dealer on a live table, though the first time I saw this bet was on a live table. On this machine, the vig is calculated in cents at a true 5% and taken out of the win as opposed to upfront, both of which can help or hurt in certain cases. But since the vig is typically rounded to a minimum of $1, that is that is another reason I wouldnt do it on a live table. Also, Winstar live tables dont have hop bets save the basic horns bets. The ante is only $.50 cents a come out roll, as opposed to $1, though it wouldnt shock me if they raise it, if or when they can. Someone buying in, in the middle of a roll is not as disruptive to the game (trying to put it nicely but I hate that on a live table). You can play the don'ts more discreetly as people rarely look at the best on the table screen (at least i dont). From a social perspective it doesn't compare to a live table as its hard to get as excited on a hot shooter when everyone but the shooter is usually sitting. And since it is a computer it is susceptible to crashing and or operator error which can really slow down the game. One of winstar's table was down recently for a couple days. Also recently, I was playing when the stick person entered 7 out when a 6 was rolled. Let's just say, it took awhile to get everything sorted.
  14. I have seen some folks that have a really soft toss and tight grouping on their dice throws, typically shoot stick 1 or 2. I dont quite understand throwing the dice backwards against the closest wall before making a throw.
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