Getting realignment news, at any level, is just a crap shoot. From a school-specific point, I have gotten several realignment "scoops" at the small conference level just from those I know in academia and various college administrations. That being said, most of them were things said as a mistake or things entrusted to me by those that I know via personal relationships from over the years. You just aren't really going to find that level of access for college sports reporting. Finding PhDs that are passionate about sports, willing to follow up on conference realignment with their peers, and then also willing to share that with people that aren't in that circle to the point that it filters down to the likes of Mhver and Swaim are few and far between. Most information then is going to be 3rd or 4th hand if it is coming from a specific school and should be filtered accordingly. Mhver has some contact at WVU and Swaim at OSU, but it is obvious they dont have a direct tie to the real decision makers.
The only way to end up with this much shit to throw against the wall is then to get it from the conference, the media partners, or the consultants/lawyers that are the go-betweens. It is pretty obvious his "sources" are more slanted in that direction than at the school level.
I am not going to say that Mhver is a super accurate source at all, but he has done more than just 2. The problem is that he reports as fact what pushes his narrative of that that WVU and therefore the B12 by necessity is going to end up in the haves when it is all said and done. Everything else is just fluff and are most likely thrown to him to help push a narrative by his contacts.