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Kyle

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Posts posted by Kyle

  1. 4 hours ago, Snake Diggity said:

    So olds 60+ make up ~8% of the cases but still account for ~50% of the hospitalizations.  I will take that as a good sign.  There should be an all out blitz to find every person over 50 and hassle the fuck out of them until they get the shot.  Unvaccinated old people are officially keeping this problem from being almost entirely solved.  

    Correct. An intelligent, data-driven response. Hence why I have a much different POV around my parents getting vaccinated vs. me getting vaccinated or my kids. Also why the bar shut down is sort of silly - olds are more likely to be at Home Depot or Wal-Mart than a bar. Armybrat noticeably the exception. 

  2. 2 hours ago, cabowabo said:

    Took three years for someone to “convince” her that she was raped. Scary stuff. 

    I genuinely struggle with the time frame issue, particularly around "date rape." I do not have a great answer but we need to find a common, agreeable way to balance the real trauma faced by a rape victim with some respect of the rights of the accused. I do tend to be a little suspicious with long-delayed (> year) claims ...

  3. 38 minutes ago, Lobo said:

    Yeah, we haven't learned much about proactive measures to prevent Covid-19 infection in 15 long months.  I would at least have thought we might at least have learned some perfunctory geographic knowledge about country along the way. 

    The concept of a "State" is important to Federalism and the Constitution, but not terribly relevant to an airborne disease.  It's not about states, it was about a national plan to be deployed in every corner of the nation.  It was never about people per square mile, it was about people per square foot.  If it was, Boston and Miami and Dallas would have decimated.  Instead, it was simply about where are people gathering in ways they shouldn't---and every state of whatever size or political tilt has things called homes and things called buildings and things called stores.  We have proved time and time again, the heat didn't kill this fucking thing.  North States, Blue States, Warm States, Cool States, Red States, South States.  States just fucked this up because they had no direction from above and they had disparate implementation below them at the county/city levels. 

    And here we go with another binary factor---Uh, States with stricter measures are seeing spikes, that must be why.  Well, then South Korea would have had the worst surge of anywhere on Earth as it had the strictest measures of any nation on Earth---by far.  And the most casual restrictions, or no restrictions, would lead to declining cases then right?  I would think the most lax place in America for restrictions was the White House in the Autumn of 2020.  And wasn't there a few dozen cases out of just a few hundred people?  

    The continued mitigating factor in all of this is not about fucking state boundaries.  How can it be?  It's about the individual behavior of people.  You can talk about mask mandates, % restrictions on bars, bike rallies, nursing homes, sporting events, curbside pickup, whatever you want.  The end-all, be-all of this thing was "Are people being stupid and gathering in mid-size groups indoors and/or large-size groups outdoors?"  Places where people aren't being fucking assholes, the rates go down.  Places where people are being selfish, the rates go up.  Thankfully, different parts of the country took turns being stupid...so we weren't completely fucked in every single corner of the nation.  But make no mistake, we were all selfish and stupid and certain points of this pandemic.  And the vaccine process is the final question on the stupid exam.  

    Like limiting international air travel at the onset? Interesting ... 

  4. 4 hours ago, Chewbacca said:

    It seems to me that some here want the numbers to be wrong because it doesn't fit their desired narrative.  I don't know enough about how they calculate them or how often they revise them to speculate on where they should be.  But based on the numbers published by the CDC, which as far as I know is the place to get them, the data just doesn't fit the narrative.

    Been dealing with WAAAY too many people in the past year+ who seek out data to fit their worldview and I'm done with it.  I'm all for the science based approach, and by that I mean real science, not Youtube and Facebook science.

    This has been the most frustrating component of this episode from government officials to polite conversations - the tendency to ignore data in favor of ultracrepidarian "experts" as well as to engage in at best mental gymnastics and at worst wild conspiracies to explain away data in lieu of a desired narrative. "Science" has been redefined as "desired narrative" rather than demonstrable data. 

    On this particular suicide issue, I can be both approach the CDC data with some skepticism given contradictory (admittedly much smaller scale studies) and the CDC's hardly infallible track record record; however, I do not doubt the date prima facia without clear reasons to believe the data is incorrect ... and of course there is no "desired narrative" that would ever make me celebrate additional suicides among children.

  5. 9 minutes ago, rage-a-holic said:

    nothing to worry about anymore, the HEAL initiative is here to fix everything

     

    https://www.kvue.com/article/news/local/homeless/austin-heal-initiative-blueprint/269-87e567c1-db50-403b-b186-6875eb752cb2

     

    “What we’re seeing now is our community coming together to put the resources behind the proven housing and outreach strategies identified in Austin and across the country,” Grey said. “HEAL is, by design, an iterative and collaborative initiative that will not only have an immediate impact on the lives of people living in unstable and inhumane conditions but will also build the entire system's capacity to make homelessness rare, brief and non-recurring.”

    Translation: When we homeless advocates got together at the Four Seasons last year we had wine at Eddie V's and came up with some gobbledygook to spend tax dollars and to continue to justify our big administrative costs.

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  6. To return to the mental health topic. Data from one hospital, but hard to imagine all these single studies may not point to a trend:
    https://dfw.cbslocal.com/2021/04/06/suicide-leading-cause-traumatic-death-young-patients-texas-hospital/

    NORTH TEXAS (CBSDFW.COM) — Suicide surpassed car wrecks and child abuse as the leading cause of traumatic death in 2020 at Cook Children’s Medical Center in Fort Worth.

    The trend doctors described as ‘alarming’ when it emerged last year, is happening at an even more frequent rate in 20

    In March, the hospital admitted 43 children after suicide attempts. The new record broke the previous high of 40, set in January. Many of the patients are girls, between 14 and 15 years old, although pediatricians have reported impacts to children as young as seven.

    The isolation, loneliness and stress of the pandemic is leaving children feeling hopeless, doctors say, and ready to just give up.

    “It’s hard to see that things are going to get better, if you’re only in your room doing virtual school,” said Dr. Kristen Pyrc, the co-medical director of psychiatry at Cook. “You don’t talk to anyone else. You’re so isolated it’s hard to see things will ever change or get better because you only see what’s around you.”

    The children’s health care system first noted the trend in August, after admitting suicide patients at the rate of almost one every day. It was happening as school districts debated the safety of students returning to classrooms.

    Doctors said the delayed return to a normal life, left some children with a sense of hopelessness. It was heightened they said by social media that filled the lack of in-person connections.

    By the end of 2020, seven suicide patients had died at Cook. That number does not include children who died before being admitted to the hospital.

    Those same pandemic pressures are likely largely to blame now, Pyrc explained, with children who are isolated often seeing some aspects of life that have resumed, happen without them, in real time on social media.

    “Their friends are so important for their development and for their happiness, and then all of that’s been curtailed or changed,” she said. “They’re just very here and now in their thinking and so for a lot of teens, here and now is terrible and they’re feeling hopeless and they just give up.”

    The 118 suicide attempts among the hospital’s patients through March, are closing on in the 2015 total of 144. 103 of those patients so far this year, have been girls.

    There have been 442 consults for children at risk through the first three months of the year, 60-percent more than during the same period last year.

    At the same time psychiatric care resources for children continue to lag behind the demand, according to the health care system. It’s not uncommon for a dozen patients to be waiting for room in a psychiatric facility. The waitlist just to see a counselor at Cook can be as high as 250 days.

    Cook Children’s plans to launch a campaign this month, aimed at slowing down the trend. The JOY campaign, an acronym for Just breath, Open up and You matter, will try to impress on children that the pandemic experience is temporary. It will also address over-the-counter medications, social media and the impact of suicide on parents and siblings.

    Dr. Pyrc said while it’s normal for teenagers to be withdrawn, parents should be aware of warning signs like a lack of engagement or interest even in the smallest things they typically enjoy.

    She is hopeful the trend can be reversed.

  7. 22 minutes ago, Lobo said:

    It's not really the masks or the elevator thing in this case.  The girl seems like she's just wired that way.  She would gotten like that had it been about a parking space, or a shopping cart, or a comment she overheard you make at a coffee shop, etc.  99% of us spew stuff on here anonymously...but in the end...if we felt boxed, we'd just quietly hop off when that person got on and wait for another car.  As we enter month 15 of this shitshow, I'm genuinely surprised, and even a bit proud of our nation, that more of these instances haven't occurred.  

    100%  above and below ... definitely a broader cultural problem where narcissism seems to be our key value.

  8. 3 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    I saw that update today and laughed out loud as well. Holy shit, these fucking guys.

    There's something naively aggy-howdy about this guy just blabbing innocently about his stupidity for all the world to see. Part of it I actually find refreshing as its so counter-cultural. 

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  9. 25 minutes ago, Zeus said:

    bruh this was exactly what I was getting ready to do here

    Stupid question ... I obviously never ran track ... wouldn't she shave off a few seconds without all that shit on her face, nails, jewelry? 

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  10. 21 hours ago, Randolph Duke said:

    jon boat repair.jpeg

    I've become invested in this tale of bravery and exploration ... basically like the Enterprise of Harris County. I'm actively considering taking off Friday to go to Houston to see the wreckage of the Santa Maria and lay a wreath. #ripjonboat

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  11. 20 hours ago, shadow_operative2.0 said:

    He’ll probably wind up being decent for them. And we still have to watch Solak everyday. 

     

    He's going to have a bitch of a time finding a place to keep his horses. Those blue bloods frown as messicans in the Polo Club unless they're scooping poop and combing ponies.

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