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sushihorn

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Everything posted by sushihorn

  1. @bschoolprof we could still see the residual effects of the mismatch between scheme and personnel this past season. The guy most likely to miss a block either zone runs or pass pro was Vahe. When we ran QB power / QB counter he got to shine. Vahe was at his best hitting someone in confined spaces with a head of steam. Contrast that with Cosmi who would get hands on to control the defender every time and then choose whether to seal or kick out depending on the flow of the defender.
  2. I'm pretty sure he meant prepuce. That makes a lot more sense in context and he also misspelled aggy.
  3. Why not? It looks like the same passive-aggressive routine we get from Connally. I mean in one breath he talks about the limitations of his model. In the next he whines and plays the victim card because other people question it.
  4. I think zone stretch might have been the fan base's most hated play of 2017. That same blocking scheme with Sam carrying the ball was nearly unstoppable on short yardage in 2018.
  5. Offseason doldrums are in full swing and my hands are shaking from withdrawal. For those like me who need a fix, here's a little taste of actual football discussion. ------------------ Texas is building an Offensive Line that emphasizes mobility and brains over pure size and strength. The concept is to optimize for zone blocking and engaging defenders in space. The 2018 OL was undersized by FBS standards: 300, 325, 305, 305, 295 across the front from the official roster. In reality Sam Cosmi was down to 286 by season’s end. You have to keep in mind that the model here is the Mike Shanahan Denver Broncos who were even more undersized compared to their peers. The 1998 Superbowl champs had an OL that went 285 lbs (Texas’ own Dan Neil), 287, 286, 291 and 300. Zone blocking also uses different types of RBs who might not look great on paper but are very productive within the scheme. See the long list of whodat backs who became stars at Denver. https://www.hogshaven.com/2012/5/31/3054498/digging-deeper-mike-shanahans-one-cut-and-go-running-backs With Herman, like Shanahan quickness and agility are required to beat a DL to the spot on a reach or cutoff block, to maintain balance and leverage in outside zone blocking and to engage LBs and DBs in space. Good footwork and proper weight distribution are required to ride a defender in the direction he chooses to move. This blocking style is a lot like Judo – help the guy keep going in the same direction with technique. It’s a sharp contrast to the typical blocking scheme which is more like Sumo Wrestling and the ideal body types are just as different. Basic gap or man blocking runs to a defined gap and tries to block the play accordingly. The OL engage their assigned defender and try to push them away from the hole. They sometimes have an angle advantage when blocking down but they must move the defender in the correct direction to make the play work. One big advantage Is that gap blocking does not usually require the ball carrier to read and pick a hole. QB power and QB counter are the primary examples of gap blocking in Texas' offense. Zone blocking also assigns a defender to block but the requirement is to engage them and push them in whichever direction they choose to go. This allows the OL to create an angle advantage with the flow on most plays. Helping someone to move requires less power than opposing their movement so smaller linemen are acceptable if they can use balance and quickness to gain leverage. The RB must have superior vision because there is no defined hole; he must pick a gap, make one cut and hit it decisively. Shanahan made a living off of backs with that set of abilities that were not highly valued otherwise by the NFL (see Selvin Young). Tom Herman’s OL at Ohio St was not particularly large: 311, 305, 291, 303 and 305 on the 2014 team. His recruiting at Texas shows he will take a few guys over 300 lbs but not if they are carrying a lot of bad weight. For reference, Javonne Shepherd was down to 318 per the NSD press conference. Herman asks his OL to get directional leverage on DL and pick off smaller, quicker defenders on screens and swing passes. They MUST have good feet. This contributed greatly to success on screens, the tunnel screen in particular. One underappreciated advantage of zone blocking is that OL accustomed to executing it in the run game tend to do a better job of executing zone protections on passing plays.
  6. How about: "Wow aggy really sucks and we should probably stop running our mouths." OK but a man can dream, right?
  7. Yes but tectonic uplift may delay the inevitable for a couple billion years.
  8. With Cali you need the option of Tesla with Bitcoin.
  9. Murray's recent press release to NFL GMs: "Me love you long time!"
  10. It's right there in the second headline if you bother to look. Connelly conflates "math" with his model. That is empirically wrong, incredibly arrogant and terribly grating. The outliers show weaknesses in Connelly's model, not problems with mathematics or some arcane powers on the part of certain coaches. That is exactly what Huck is saying about the way the guy writes. Even if he later admits the need for adjustments, leading with a statement like this just leaves a bad taste. And that attitude is a perfect match for his defensive behavior whenever someone questions his model.
  11. @katfid has no trouble seeing they're both brothas.
  12. Agreed and they should be very familiar with him. Gubrud lit up WSU for 474 yards and 5 TDs in 2016 with FCS talent around him. Leach would certainly remember that.
  13. The Leach coaching tree has produced arguably the best QB in the last 3 NFL drafts. Mayfield was the #1 pick overall. Mahomes was 2nd QB drafted at #10 but is clearly better than Trubisky. And Jared Goff was also an overall #1 who was developed by Sonny Dykes and Tony Franklin. And while I have questions about how effective Kyler Murray will be as an NFL QB, there is no question of his development at the college level. Eventually, even the NFL was bound to notice a trend of this magnitude.
  14. I consider it important as part of a pattern of always getting it wrong in the same direction. If half the deviations were positive then I'd excuse the smaller ones as mere randomness. Combine that with his real outlier of 7 wins for 2019 and it's a pretty strong pattern too.
  15. Herman has outperformed his S&P expected wins every year. It just happened to be by less than a full game on 2 occasions (0.7 and 0.5 IIRC). The other 2 times it was a much larger deviation. IOW he's been wrong about Herman and in the same direction for all 4 years as a HC. He only gets it REALLY BADLY WRONG 50% of the time. This year should be a good test case. 7 wins sounds very low to me. If Texas doesn't have a massive wave of injuries and only wins that many I'd say Connally will be partially vindicated. If Texas wins 9+ it's further proof that his models are really bad for Tom Herman teams.
  16. They also have more victories against the B1G than Texas...
  17. Damn you Huck. I was drinking coffee when I read that.
  18. "You should go out with her. She's got a great personality..."
  19. But it's not great at predicting individual game outcomes beforehand. It's slightly better than a coin flip ATS.
  20. The ultimate goal is to predict the results on the field, right? Otherwise it's just a meaningless theoretical exercise. It has to tie back to reality somewhere.
  21. aggy can spin. It's one of the few things they do well. That said, getting outbid by Rocky Top goes very poorly with their tycoons of the SEC narrative.
  22. Sounds like he was getting a lot of questions from GMs about his commitment to football.
  23. Looked at objectively, Texas has not been able to feature the RB position yet. In reality it relates to limitations of the O-Line rather than scheme. Having a mobile QB enhanced the RB numbers at OSU and UH. But there are indications that the "QB will take your carries" is being used against us by negative recruiters. OU already had a good OL heading into the coaching change and spreads it out enough to get good YPC for their RBs. It's an easy sell.
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