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closetojumping last won the day on September 23
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80624 Surly 1%About closetojumping

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Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - Full Roster Weaponization
closetojumping replied to closetojumping's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Part of my skepticism on the coaching changes front is that no one is hearing anything about anybody. Sarkisian keeps a tight lid and all, but nothing on anyone? Hmmm. -
Hopefully the people on the staff and some additions in the film room to help out. I do want to remind folks that a high amount of skepticism should be applied to what I'm posting on stuff like this. a) I'm wrong a lot. Shit changes when you're managing people, and talent acquisition and retention are mercurial issues in organizations. Also, I don't ask many questions, and sometimes I make assumptions when someone is bullshitting with me and I end up drawing the wrong conclusion accordingly. b) I think people do their own wishcasting when it comes to staff changes. Half the time over the last 15 years I've heard people speak definitively about so and so coming or going and then nothing happened. That said, I feel good enough on the player side to post what I posted. I remain from Missouri on the notion that all of Akina, Flood, Jackson and Scott will be seeking employment elsewhere.
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My view on it is that Sarkisian holds each side of the ball to different standards and he's either really pushing the defense on their evaluations, or giving them total freedom to handle their allotment of scholarships and they're doing a better job. Whatever is going on, either they don't know what they're doing on the evaluations on the offensive side of the ball, or they've gotten lazy. Perhaps turnover on the staff has also impacted things at RB and WR. In short, yada yada yada and Flood looks like he fucking sucks at this point and zero excuses for the dishevelment in the OL room.
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I hope at least one is back soon because, even though they're playing great, this feels unsustainable and the harm of continuing it could be felt in March. It didn't look like they had any dead legs last night, but that shit can happen at any age if they take things too far.
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Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: Boulevard of Broken Bagmen
closetojumping replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
I don't disagree, but I also don't see the harm in Texas throwing their hat in the ring and being mentioned a team vying for that kind of talent. Also, it tweaks the fuck out of some of the dipshits on this board, and that is its own reward. -
It's a combination of a few things: 1) Guys think they're worth more than Texas thinks they're worth and the replacement value on each price tag would be better talent from the portal. Some guys are getting bad advice. 2) Bad evaluations. There are multiple position groups with guys who are never going to contribute, including signings as recently as last year. 3) Texas sees 2026 as a year in which the whole shooting match can be won. That means there's a tradeoff for going big now with the portal for guys who can contribute or even make a huge difference in 2026 at the expense of continuing to invest in every player that might have some promise, but is unlikely to be showing that during meaningful snaps in 2026. Somewhat educated guesses below. OL: 3-6 guys. TSome guy could be younger players that they'd prefer to see not leave, but they might be pricing themselves outside of the investment range for this cycle and are not expected to win starting spots either. Connor Stroh can go dismantle an offensive gameplan at UTEP or something. If you find yourself wondering "why doesn't this guy ever play when we've heard good things?" it's either due to Flood playing favorites, which is allegedly a thing, or the guy "doesn't love football", which makes him a terrible evaluation. WR: 3-5 guys. One evaluation is a bust from 2025. That one will go get money and be fool's gold somewhere else. One dude may leave for the NFL and good luck to him and his UFA or 7th round pay cut. There's a guy that just might not have it emotionally to do what needs to be done in order to meet his potential and could leave even if Texas would rather see him stick for the potential alone. I'm not even sure what to do about Niblett. He just signed with an agent and that doesn't make him cheaper or dampen market interest. Does anyone really believe that Aaron Butler is about to break through here? TE: 2-4 guys (including Endries to the NFL). The emergence of Townsend means that Endries might not start if he returned. A guy like Winston they supposedly love, but that dude could start at a lot of places and might be getting actually good advice if he heads out. That was a great evaluation by the staff. Does Randle actually want to get snaps somewhere? Someone said he did, which, wow. Good luck if that's true. Washington saw his role diminish as Townsend emerged. RB: 3-4 guys. They will probably be able to hold on to Simon. They're allegedly going very big in the portal here. Wisner isn't being run off, but he might be asking for something that doesn't make sense. Clark, Baxter, Edwards (for those counting him still), and Gibson (obviously) get you to 4 without losing Wisner. I guess maybe it could go to 5. Cooper, Walker, Simon and a proven star from elsewhere would be a fine RB room. If Terry is sticking at RB, it's even deeper, I guess. QB: 1 guy. Good luck to Owens. Edge: 1 guy. The hue and cry from the west side of Austin will be something we'll all have to endure, I guess. DT: 1-2 guys. Hills, thanks for your efforts. Is Lavon Johnson good enough to be on the roster? LB: 0, hopefully. DB: 2-3 guys. If you're heading into year 3 and never sniff the field, it's probably time to look elsewhere. Some guys here may have a higher opinion of their worth than what Texas is willing to bear. My low end is 16, I guess. It's pretty fucking easy to see the numbers run right past 20. Is this healthy or not? Not fully. Some of this will hurt and some of this reflects poor evaluations. There's also the healthy element of cutting the bottom 10% every cycle to move the floor up. Even with 105 scholarships, if you know a guy isn't going to play for the program, he's just taking up space that could be allocated elsewhere in both a body and a salary.
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Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: Boulevard of Broken Bagmen
closetojumping replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
I saw that image and thought "man, we're just a hat on the table here". Maybe we're both right? Did this dude ever even visit Texas? -
Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - Full Roster Weaponization
closetojumping replied to closetojumping's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
This reads like one of those old Big Cigar fantasies that Nahlin would conjure out of thin air and have the audience eat it up. At a minimum, I’ve heard different stuff on at least 5 guys from that class. I hope his info is better. Unfortunately, I’ve heard the same stuff from completely different places on a few of them. As an example, Jonah Williams is going to be a one sport player, one way or the other, more sooner than later. That may not be a forced thing, but returning to FB as a 4th or 5th guy on the depth chart would tell the tale anyway. I wrote that post thinking of your head exploding. I have no idea what to tell you, as I have the same issue. They like the dude and he’s likely to be getting a raise. -
Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - Full Roster Weaponization
closetojumping replied to closetojumping's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
No idea. It might be a situation where they’d prefer not to, but that’s just a guess. One thing seems apparent, nobody is knocking By Gawd Spencer Shannon out of that second starting TE spot, so there’s only going to be one other starter. I’ve developed the opinion over the years that every program must have some stupid form of personnel adherence they have to stick to somewhere even when better options are slapping the HC in the fucking face. It can’t just be regime after regime at Texas with these idiotic tics. -
Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - Full Roster Weaponization
closetojumping replied to closetojumping's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
On a scale of 60 to 190 proof, what are the odds that Sarkisian actually does his fucking job and shows up for the Junior Days this cycle? -
Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - Full Roster Weaponization
closetojumping replied to closetojumping's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Regarding Baxter, if the guy has good people around him and has managed his money well, he’s a millionaire as he heads elsewhere. He made that money while not knowing the difference between being hurt and injured, then having a sidelining injury and not playing, then being a shadow of his former self and being a net negative when on the field. He will now go somewhere else and collect a paycheck while likely again shattering into a million pieces and not doing much to improve that program’s record. He writes a nice article though. OL, I won’t be surprised if 5 guys leave. 3 minimum. WR, there was at least one costly poor evaluation last cycle that is unlikely to be reupped. Moore can also go be average somewhere else. No one wants to see Wingo leave other than clowns on this site. It would have to be a gamechanger for someone to be a portal priority, apparently. RB, ton of turnover. If they don’t land a very big prize in the portal, shame on them. The emergence of Townsend as a true potential unicorn at TE creates the luxury of wishing Endries well to the NFL and the downside of potentially losing some other promising guys who simply know they’re not going to play a ton behind Townsend. They know it is a pipe dream to retain Hill, but keeping everyone else, including Spence, is a big deal. Some guys at DB think they’re worth more than the portal likely tells them they are but Texas has a ton of depth and talent, as well as experience. Maybe they seek a difference maker at Safety, I guess. Akina, Flood, Jackson, Scott - they could all be seeking employment elsewhere.- 812 replies
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2025 Texas Coaching/Support Staff Thread
closetojumping replied to RaysBoomBoomRoom's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Whether or not Flood is back is a bit irrelevant to the premise of whether or not he actually did his job this year. The answer to that question is that he did not, and that is a belief held within Belmont and among its benefactors. Flood was apparently challenged about using the portal to field his best 5 and he effectively said “my team is on the court (field)” and ended the discussion after last season. His loyalty was not rewarded and it cost Texas. He went late into this season calling Connor fucking Stroh one of his kind of guys. Solid work. That dude is walking and the portal is being used heavily this cycle and none of that is because Kyle Flood has done his job and deserves to continue to draw a salary from Texas.- 1691 replies
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Most of the names in the rumors are nothing more than potential or already proven to be lacking. There is going to be some pain, but they’re not showing the door to starters or promising contributors and they’re looking to upgrade. People are going to tweak because that’s what they like to do. People were handwringing in the WBB thread last night when Texas was up by 18 against a top 11 team in the 3rd quarter. It’s what people do.
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No. I just gave it to you. Or I made it up as an example of the options. Who knows?
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