Jump to content

closetojumping

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    11841
  • Joined

  • Days Won

    110

Everything posted by closetojumping

  1. I wasn't responding regarding you. Like I said, advanced stats have their place in CFB, but I don't think that place is in player to player comparisons, since that's doable without the statistical noise and the sides will either find common ground or what fans do and keep arguing. Same for the gameday stuff. Sometimes, the coach shouldn't give a shit about national statistics for FG probability at a certain point in the game dimming the positive eventual outcome and just realize that you're fucking playing OU, you have their offense on the ropes, kick the FG and make them comeback by 3 scores with 8 minutes on the clock.
  2. Something to think about is that some of the big money folks communicate with Ketchum on recruiting and transfers, and they speak in certainties. There's a pattern to follow that when rumors pop up like the Alexander thing and then Ketchum talks about it and then the tables turn. That's not karmic. Ketchum has to appear in the know because the notion of being an insider is that blubbering manatee's currency. One of the idiotic things that that tub of goo will do is convey information to others in the business in order to look like he's really standing out. So while posting something on twitter where you do the "nanny nanny boo boo" thing may not actually be a big deal, telling one of the moderators of the USC Rivals site or one of the national Rivals mods a negotiated number might be the kind of bragging that accidentally gives USC the information they need to put the whole thing to bed.
  3. I continue to be of the opinion that "big data" and "data science" as it pertains to college football can be just mental masturbation and ways for consultants and tech firms to suckle off the teat of the CFB behemoth. I say that as someone who completely understands the value of those terms and the work around them for baseball, golf, hockey, basketball, etc. In CFB the sample sizes are too small and the variables in rosters, conditions, injuries (something significantly more impactful on outcomes in game than other sports and not incorporated into any of the data outputs/predictions), etc. have significant beta on them that can only be overcome with sample sizes that aren't going to be there. I'm speaking mostly about individual player analysis/comparisons with advanced stats and the notion of "this is what the book said" as an excuse for determining outcomes in games. I get the uses for gambling and long term evaluation of playcallers and their habits. Idiots who just mindlessly work off of a "book" or a "binder", like Herman, are as bad as the guys who used to only, it seemed, play for field goals.
  4. Two gigantic, lazy fatasses lacking ethics and offering up bullshit opinions. Good lord.
  5. You follow the draft way more than I do, so I'll trust your takes here. That said, I'd assumed both Sanders and Sweat would be punished by 1-2 rounds each for their respective issues this spring. Not that I was thinking that would make sense, but thinking it nonetheless.
  6. First, to be clear, I have not heard anything regarding any specific names transferring, and I haven't asked. I think those will be poorly kept secrets that all, or mostly, get out to folks by this weekend. That considered, there is one player on the team who checks every single common transfer attribute box: a) far away from home, ie., homesick b) helicopter parent who is always calling/emailing/texting coaches and/or involved at practices c) in the doghouse for one reason or another with staff d) not in the two deep on the depth chart e) dealing with chronic injury or conditioning issues f) currently possessing higher perception value than performance value (someone would throw more money at the player than Texas would care to match) Now, Sarkisian praising Mitchell at his PC is noteworthy. However, that could also be staving off the transfer risk. Regardless, if Texas is bringing in more help to put in front of Mitchell at DT/NT, the warning lights should be flashing violently. Regarding both of these guys, there is no indication that the staff wants to lose either guy. There is likely a sense of inevitability on it, however. ---- As I think about the names that could be coming up, who are the guys that haven't been mentioned while newer/younger players at their position have been spoken of well by the staff? Maybe that's not revealing anything, we'll see, but it's led me to be of the opinion that Austin Jordan could be a transfer candidate. Same for Swanson, Holmes, Roberson, Tapp, Burrell, Robertson, Kirkland, Cojoe, Stroh, Merril, Red, Randle, Shannon, and Niblett.
  7. There are multiple posters on OTF speculating that maybe there are other reasons besides NIL for why Alexander is in the portal. I imagine it’s worse on the other boards. I want to laugh at their idiocy and then cry for the planet’s future.
  8. From intelligence to advertising. That’s quite the redirect.
  9. While this is correct, my personal opinion is going to remain that going after this guy and giving him money is stupid. The new USC defensive staff came in and took a similar approach to Elko. The first guys that decided that the rough stuff wasn’t for them included Alexander. Friends with good access to opinions from the USC end have already confirmed that the USC view is “good riddance and not worth the fucking money”.
  10. You can't move the argument from "Oregon beats us for players in California" to "Oregon has beaten us for players historically from across the land". Since the addition of NIL and the move to the SEC, Texas won the only battle it has had with Oregon. If memory serves, they'd lost to Louisville on Moore and then Louisville had HC turnover and Texas won that NIL battle as well. Oregon is as well-funded as anyone, and that anyone includes Texas at the top. Neither side is prone to insanity, so the circumstances are more likely to come down to preferences/needs beyond NIL. Texas doesn't have Harris as high as like 5 other guys on their board, but there's the need to keep some guys warm in case something doesn't work out, as well as keep up appearances with contacts in California that funnel players to Texas.
  11. Sounds like Texas is going to make their pitch to this fucking mercenary Bear Alexander. I disagree with it and view it as a waste of resources and a potentially terrible move for culture. The guy is a mediocrity to boot.
  12. Deep Water (2006) - Don't look up the story before watching it and then it is kind of absurdly funny and very sad.
  13. The Tech 247 board is currently convinced that they're going to land both Orogbo and Chace Sims, among others.
  14. The 247 mods just posted a write-up about the DTs this spring. They had to do so using the guidelines that The Elk requires for any personnel write-up, so, if you read them often enough, you can see where they're skirting subject matter. What does that mean? 1) No mention of GBD until a poster asked about him. Full write-up with no mention. Tarp comes back and says "Elko says that he's injured" or something to that effect. They've done everything they can to avoid discussing the guy this spring. 2) The SR Wisconsin transfer, Johnson, is physically overwhelmed for the position but he plays better then his physical attributes should allow. Because they're fucked at this position, he may actually be in the rotation. 3) The gigantic fat guy of Pacific Islander descent has lost weight without picking up any quickness or strength advantages, apparently. If he doesn't just lodge himself into the center of a play like a buttplug and stay stuck, he's a huge liability. 4) Albert Regis is their best hope to fill in for McKinley Jackson and Raikes. He can't stay healthy or display the ability to stay on the field for an entire drive, but he needs to really get some advanced shit done this season and play bigger than his size. 5) Jadon Scarlett is a wasted scholarship. 6) DJ Hicks looks terrific and is living up to his highly rated billing. 7) Shemar Turner may be forced to play inside this year, where he should have been all along. They will have to hope for better production than his dogshit numbers over the first 2 seasons. That's if he doesn't transfer. 8 ) They might be proper fucked at NT if they can't find a massive NT in the portal that they can outbid everyone for, which Tarp thinks to be unlikely. There's no one on the roster currently to match the quality that they've had for the last 6 seasons. They lost the wrong guys to portal. I honestly think that last bit might be too much, even though he's trying to be subtle, for Tarp to get away with on The Elk Pravda front. I won't be surprised if he gets thrown into the aggie media gulag for a few weeks. That's where they put reporters, naked, into a pillory and then flog him or her with a horsewhip while forcefeeding them giant cans of store-bought spaghetti until they either die of gluttony and shame, Elko-style, or confess the profound remorse and promise to never cross The Elk again.
  15. I would not be surprised at all if he winds up at ATM or LSU.
  16. Listen, what in the fuck are you doing listing guys that haven't won a national title? And none of them have a tie to the longhorn program? How dare you, sir? If Texas doesn't hire ... Skip fucking Johnson, or moneywhip Kevin O'Sullivan or Tim Corbin then they are by gawd fucking this thing up. Also, David Pierce has taken Texas to 3 CWS and barely missed a 4th. All Texas has to do is win the rest of their series and the Big 12 tournament and they're into the NCAA tournament, hopefully with a 2 seed in the College Station regional. This discussion is ludicrous and you know nothing about baseball.
  17. Yes, it's Helobious who must feel aggrieved that the two of us are aligned on something.
  18. Ethics? Ethics in here? Since when is that a thing. I'm not unaware Blue was 3rd string last year in spite of being rated higher (before skipping his senior year) than JB and true Freshman Baxter named the starter. I thought it was purely on talent eval by Choice/Sark, I missed anything said about his character. Why didn't Sark say bye bye when he announced he was entering the portal? I don't think a RB that wasn't getting the touches he expected threatening to portal was any worse than a starting WR (no names here) doing the same after every season, just maybe a little less publicly? I already said to you that this has been hashed out, on multiple occasions, on this board. You aren't worth the effort for me to type more thoughts on the same subject out for just your benefit. Go do a search and find what you'd like, or continue to be ignorant, I don't care. Either way, since it is all I have, I'm going to start negging your bandwidth draining posts on this thread regarding this subject and your behavior. You've already been publicly depantsed and that doesn't matter. Neg is all we have left. If we were physically in the same room, I'd try farting in your general direction and would then escalate things to grabbing you by the ear and casting you out of the gathering so as to spare us all from further interactions with one of the village's loudest idiots.
  19. What in the fuck does Levon Helm or being born a pauper to a pawn have to do with the 2024 transfer portal?
  20. This forum isn't a thoughtless mob and I don't pull any puppet strings. The reality is that you made an ass of yourself, as you often do, and you have no presence of mind to simply shut the fuck up, take the loss and move on. Thus, numerous people were climbing over each other to mock your bad takes and even worse lack of ethics in the discussion.
  21. When in-person with someone and something brings up CDC and hiring Sarkisian, I just nod and act like, sure, there went CDC getting shit done again.
  22. It always cracks me up when people want to credit Del Conte with the Sarkisian hire. Was he involved? Sure. Was he pulling the strings? No.
  23. I feel like you guys are about to conjure the spirit of Bill In Sinton.
  24. Tenet is dogshit wrapped in catshit. You can't even defend it without prefacing that you didn't know what in the fuck was happening either.
×
×
  • Create New...