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henrygandorf

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by henrygandorf

  1. the candidate? the ides of march? i've been plowing through west wing s3/s4/s7 (the elections).
  2. i think the media is just now figuring out that r's voted early and are cannibalizing their ed vote. there is also very little chatter about registered r's - we already know they're not 100% trump votes. i'd be surprised if they're 90% trump votes. last i saw, kamala was leading the loyalty poll like 92-87 which would be great. if everything is truly "tied". those numbers alone will finish the job. (this is not a georgia specific post, it's an everywhere post)
  3. i don't know enough about polymarket. predictit will cap you at $850. robinhood now is taking action, selling shares like predictit. they don't "cash" until certification, but if she wins, those shares will be 98-99c like predictit. that's where i would go.
  4. their echo chamber is still confident in a trump blowout. betting markets are pretty even, maybe have ticked up a bit for trump (they all lean right). no good reason, and the market will be closed by the time the bad news hits. get your put orders in now.
  5. not sure who said it first, but it's been all over twitter the past few days.
  6. ok, i just sent my 2 work emails i planned on sending today. also, like a sign from above, my noon zoom got canceled by the other person, which never happens when i need it to. just spoke to my sister who is phone-banking in atlanta. i feel good. unrelated, when is a good time to start blowing lines and sipping weller full proof? i'm asking for a friend in, let's say, western europe.
  7. wrong thread.
  8. men, women, black, white, none of it will matter as much as the crossover voters. kamala has been leading on these, if she gets her margin, that’s the election.
  9. the west wing ep based on dixville. on max if you’ve got 42 min to kill.
  10. if we hit all the chilis at once, they’ll never catch us. it’s the perfect crime.
  11. night crew checking in. ready to make a mess and leave without cleaning it up.
  12. seriously. if she cared at all, she'd be a big part of his campaign like his wife and ivanka. wait.
  13. with all the practice they get lying to people i guess i just assumed they'd be better at it.
  14. they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1. what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.
  15. rip q.
  16. this would be amazing. trump having to go beg biden for a pardon, like a child, his hands sticky from candy...
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