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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. Why? So that the game could completely suck, everyone could have shit all to watch (instead of bama v Michigan in OT in the rose bowl) and Michigan could essentially have a bye? It was a billion percent the right decision.
  2. Let them make their decision at the end and see what it looks like. I agree for now. I don't think it ends that way, potentially.
  3. This is 100% spot on. What I would also say is this- 1, 2 and 3 don't all need to happen. It is plenty fine enough for us if any of 1, 2 or 3 happen. If 2 happens for example then it's SEC-5, Big 10-3, ACC, Big12, Little sisters and domers each at 1. Texas is in. If the Domers lose then it's SEC 5, big 10, 3, big 12-2, ACC, little sisters 1 each. If the SEC only gets 4 teams in 9-3 Texas can be one of them if Ole Miss loses another game (Florida, MSST), OU loses another game (alabama, blah blah blah) aggy loses 3 (@missou, SCAR, us), Bama loses 2 more, etc etc. We get to 4th place in the conference pecking order and it's also automatic regarless of what else happens.
  4. At the end of the day if Texas is 9-3 (6-2) in SEC and Ole Miss is 10-2 (6-2) the committee will be tasked with figuring out who is more deserving basically from scratch. If what they say is true that they aren't going to penalize Texas for scheduling up at Ohio state then the non conferences should be a push (Ole Miss played a bunch of shitty schools and won them all- Texas beat all their shitty schools). That leaves a comparisson of Conference records: Big Texas Wins: Aggy, OU, Vandy Texas losses- GA, Florida Big Ole Miss wins: OU, LSU Ole Miss losses- Ga (florida or MSST). Texas draws more eyeballs and has Arch Manning. They have much bigger wins. The losses might actually be identical- if they aren't identical than Ole Miss will have a worse loss in MSST than we do at Florida. The only argument for Ole Miss over Texas in that scenario is the loss column bias. Texas will be higher ranked in all the computers and the logic will be on their side. If Ole Miss under those circumstances were to go before Texas than you would NEVER see SEC blue bloods schedule actual blue blood games. This is a TV product. Which makes more money today- Texas or Ole Miss. which makes more money in the future- Texas playing Ohio state or texas playing Rutgers. I'm not guaranteeing it goes to Texas in this scenario- but I think it's likely it does. Unless we get blown out by GA or something like that which seems disqualifying.
  5. Which is exactly why I said we were probably 65% to make it at 9-3 and why espn and the other predictors have us at 67%.
  6. Hey dickhead- it’s almost like other things will happen around the country. we are in at 9-3 with either a domer loss, or only 1 big 12 team getting in. The good news is we are ahead of OU, Vandy and everyone else we should be ahead of. I would also say 9-3 Texas absolutely goes before 10-2 Ole Miss. Your inability to apply logic to this situation is almost Helo level stupid.
  7. So- I was right in the first half of what I said (we are going to be favored in every game but maybe Georgia) but yeah- rather you than me at 11-1 or 10-2 I said before the season the entire thing hinged on Florida. Only way to redeem that is to beat Georgia. I suspect it won’t happen.
  8. Maybe. But that would be a 4-1 record against top 10 teams at the time we played them- and in that scenario even after we put losses on them aggy and Georgia would still likely be top 5, and PU if they got through Bama might be top 10. It would be really hard to say that’s not good enough. NCAA tournament would give us a 1 seed for that.
  9. Holy shit dude. No. Just no. SMU got picked because of the loss column not who they played and then TV made a huge fucking deal out of “we want quality games- play 9 in conference and play big games out of conference and you won’t be punished.” SMU isn’t capable of that bc they are a nobody that’s nobody cares about. Texas is. If they don’t take Texas at 9-3 bc of number of losses teams will never schedule up again. Son of a bitch this is not hard to understand in the slightest.
  10. By ignoring what I was saying about big non conference games.
  11. No youbsrenmissingnthebpkintband I’m not sure if it’s because you are intentionally obtuse or what, but by definition SMU can’t be involved in a big non conference matchup like I’m talking about because nobody but nobody gives a fucking shit about SMU. Theres like 20 schools that move the needle TV wise. TV wants those schools playing each other preseason. Thats the point. Thats why the idea of punishing Texas for losing a 1 score game at Ohio State is absurd. Texas should be treated like a 10-2 team that scheduled shit teams for non conference purposes. This isn’t hard. Ole Miss doesn’t get in before us if they go 10-2 bc they scheduled Washington state while we scheduled Ohio state. That would be retarded. The TV people aren’t retarded.
  12. Nobody gives a shit who asMU plays in non conference. Nobody. people care who Texas and bama play in non conference. Not letting in Texas at 9-3 bc they lost to Ohio state is dumb.
  13. Also- the entire point of this thing is to put on a TV show and make lots and lots of money. All things being equal. what makes more money- 9-3 Texas with Arch as QB coming off a win over a top 5 aggy, or 11-2 tech coming off a big 12 loss to BYU? Do you think it’s possible that when they took 11-2 SMU last year over bama and they got blown out with shit ratings that the people writing the check for this thing said- hey assholes- how about you don’t give us shitty games from non helmet schools AND further incentivize schools to schedule a bunch of shitty out of conference games?
  14. This is a good and rational take.
  15. Pretty sure the answer is getting back our starting safeties.
  16. Also obviously how you get to the record matters. If Texas loses a one score contest in a well played game to Georgia and wins looking good against arky and aggy that’s different than getting blown out one time and barely pulling out 2 victories.
  17. Sure. I happen to think Tech probably wins the Big 12 so I’m operating under that assumption. Here’s the thing though- I KNOW Texas loses out to a 12-0 BYU team that loses the big 12 title game. I think Texas has a shot against an 11-2 tech. If it were to play out that way.
  18. Obviously pretty unlikely but I think that would make Texas slightly more likely to get in. It would definitely be more likely in the NCAA hoops tourney as the committee always puts a lot of emphasis on quality of wins and Texas with wins over OU, Vandy, Georgia and Aggy would probably have more then anyone in the country. this all gets really simple if BYU goes undefeated and wins the big 12 or loses 2 games. Also- if Florida beats Ole Miss I think 9-3 Texas is basically a lock. Ditto if MSST beats Ole Miss.
  19. Rooting interest next week (if you want a 9-3 texas in): Northwestern over USC Oregon over Iowa Tech BIG (lopsided score) over BYU Wake Forest over Virginia Vandy over Auburn Tech BIG over BYU probably most important. if BYU wins that game better hope BYU wins the big 12 or we’d be in trouble
  20. We don’t want an undefeated BYU (regular season version) because then we would be sweating buckets that they lose on the championship game and get an at large spot. you can worry about an 11-2 VA of you want but I’m not going to- it’s not going to happen. If it did happen I still think we’d be in over them.
  21. About as good a day as you could want as a Texas fan.
  22. Only thing that could be. Better was an ole miss loss. Probably not necessary but of Florida can beat them it’s basically a done deal at 9-3 Texas being better than them. Or MSST over ole Miss.
  23. Yall are literally insane if you don’t see a 9-3 texas in the playoffs now- absent big 12 nonsense.
  24. And with GA tech making as long as GA beats them The ACC is a 1 bid league.
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