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956 Worldwide

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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide

  1. Texas fans, before going all in on “shitty OOC schedules are the way,” take a beat and note that a 10-2 SEC (Vandy) team is almost certain to miss the CFP this year, and a second one (Bama) still might. As of now, you’re ahead of Vandy to sneak in. There’s really no way around an unbalanced super league occasionally producing a jumble of teams with 1-2 losses in conference play and the SEC is simply not going to get half or more of the field. All you are doing is guaranteeing yourself a shitty slate of games in exchange for a perceived benefit that might not exist at all. There’s not a lot of hard evidence that the OSU loss is really hurting Texas here and quite a bit of counter evidence that it isn’t. And on the flip slide: winning that game would have placed you as the safest 2 loss team in the field.
  2. This is a real tweet from the Miss Highway Patrol. College football fucking rules.
  3. lol, the way they describe it makes it seem like Heupel sat down and wrote a dickish email to the PSU AD after interviewing. In fact, he’s just offering some quotes to the UT faithful to sooth hurt feelings. He didn’t write Pat Kraft and say “I’ll pass cause your expectations are too low.” I can’t say enough how dumb sports journalism is, especially the closer you get to school-focused outlets like the On3 stringer.
  4. I’ll tell you with a straight face as an Aggie fan that I’d rather catch Bama than ND again. DeBoer teams plod at times, get unfocused, and are capable of just not showing up against lesser opponents. ND is slightly less talented but Freeman is simply better at getting them ready for high-stakes games. Those two teams are on opposite trajectories late in the season.
  5. Counterpoint just bring back the BCS. This year the winner of tOSU-IU would most likely face either UGA or Tech. Or with real chaos maybe Ole Miss or Bama. Anyone could live with that even if not perfect. Everyone else has fun at their NY6 game. Much more satisfying than squabbling over which 10-15 ranked teams that almost certainly won’t win anyway need to be in a playoff. NY6 games were fun and prestigious and most times the BCS got the matchup or at least the eventual winner correct (LOL not you Auburn).
  6. There’s a lot of wriggle room in “won’t punish teams for playing in the CCG.” Under strictly legalistic terms, you’d say “no team should slide even one slot no matter the result of a CCG.” But that seems fairly stupid and by that reading Ohio State-Indiana has no meaning whatsoever save the conference trophy. A less legalistic reading might be “if you were in the field before the game, losing won’t make you drop out.” (Which explains more of Bama’s rise than the bullshit “we did it cuz we felt like it.”) But even that hardly seems sustainable long term.
  7. lol at this one. I mean yes, that’s clearly what the committee thought because that’s what they did. But it’s a long fucking way from an explanation. “We felt that was enough. Because….metric?”
  8. Lots of head scratchers here for me and questions. - I saw nothing on the field that would justify swapping Bama ahead of ND. Not that this is wrong, but last week ND was ahead and this week they are behind despite a tepid Bama game against Auburn and a typical ND blowout of Stanford. I have to think they are leaving some cushion to keep Bama in but drop them after a close CCG loss. - Moving Ole Miss up after losing their HC and some staff is a surprise. I almost think they just didn’t want to face the media firestorm if they dropped them. - How far realistically can IU fall if they get blown out by OSU. That’s entirely possible. It seems impossible to drop them past Oregon but….how do you not given their pretty weak SOS and SOR compared to SEC 1 loss teams. I think the committee really is hoping on a close game there. - How far can you drop Tech if they lose? I’d guess at least past the other one loss teams, but then does BYU vault all the way ahead? I think that BYU is out though. - Surprising to see two rematches in the first round. Of course one way or another Bama moves. But that could have been solved by simply keeping ND and Bama in the same order as last week. Goes back to my idea that they REALLY want a way to leave Bama in and now they have more cushion to drop them past ND and maybe even an ACC rep.
  9. I admittedly don’t bet on this but I think it’s more likely it’s SOP to shut it down a set time before the rankings start getting released.
  10. I agree, and at the same time a 16 seed will never win March Madness or likely even get to a FF. But we really like the fun of giving them a shot and no one wíll argue their presence makes that tourney worse. We go nuts when they win just one.
  11. Here is how to read it. And I caution you at using betting odds as a proxy for probability when it comes to something like the CFP committee decision. Remember: they want to balance books. A (-) implies favorite. A common very slight favorite is -110. You must bet 110 dollars to win 100. Your total payout would be 210: Your original 110 back plus 100. A slight dog would be +110. You bet 100 to win 110. Your payout is 210: Original 100 plus 110.
  12. A bookie wants the money to be even on both sides of a bet. They don’t make money by picking winners. They make money via the fee (vig) for placing a bet. Ideally, half of their customers bet one way and half another way and they collect their fees. They want long term income and not big payday. When too much money comes in on one outcome, they will lower the odds for the popular bet and increase the odds for the less popular to attract more money there and balance the books. Vegas wants more people betting on UT to miss the playoff, so it’s increasing the payout for betting that way.
  13. Boise/OU, Utah/Bama, NIU/ND…I mean this happens all the time and it’s great when it does. It is harder in the transfer/NIL era, and enforced G5 apartheid makes it worse. The transfer rule is another parity and excitement killing development.
  14. My point is extremely simple: if you like football as a sport, you want to maintain a healthy pipeline and youth participation. A key to that is maximizing opportunities to participate in as many levels as possible. Shunting the G5 into some special lower division absolutely goes against that, and unless/until the NFL decides to subsidize the game, will absolutely reduce interest and participation. The NCAA tournament is a great example. If the NCAA suddenly announced that mid-majors got their own tournament and wouldn’t get Cinderella shot at Kansas, does that help or hurt CBB? All for the sake of adding two more teams from the middle of the SEC and Big XII? Of course not. It makes it all worse.
  15. It’s a prestige thing and a overall recruiting thing and they make the numbers work by scheduling these big games. At some point that does take you only so far. And if you’re paying attention, the talking head push is for super-conferences that only play each other and that’s where all these solutions being floated go. The media companies would love it if their contracts didn’t require them to carry the G4 and FCS games as part of SEC/Big Ten media rights. So they are working to get system that disincentives that from being scheduled.
  16. I mean, the NFL relies on college football to be its minor league and every other major sport directly subsidizes money-losing minor and youth leagues for exactly this reason.
  17. The economics of this are such that landing a FBS or P4 game or two is literally what keeps the lights on at these programs. So yes, long-term cutting them out of that will harm the sport and that will trickle down. We saw this with wrestling which nearly collapsed until the addition Title IX girls programs and a push to add back some men’s programs resurrected it. If you like college and HS football, you want as many scholarship programs solvent as possible. ACU and Sam Houston dont enjoy getting their shit pushed in just for the fun of playing at a big house. They do it so they don’t go out of business. There need to be incentives to schedule a couple of those games, not drop them. Totally splitting them from FBS pushes things that direction. Again, this only applies if you care beyond the next few ratings cycles. People paid by the Mouse do not. They love a world where they get a cut of a decade or two where only helmet schools play each other each week.
  18. The NCAA has done an abysmal job at protecting and promoting the sport but it’s clear that conferences and media conglomerates are doing much worse. Fewer teams taking bigger slices of a slowly shrinking pie can only be camouflaged for so long.
  19. No one wants to hear it or think about it but cutting half of the teams out of even nominally being in big-time football will not be healthy or sustainable for the sport long-term and should be fought at every opportunity. It’s a short-term boost that will lead to fewer people watching and caring about CFB, fewer HS athletes aspiring to become CFB athletes and fewer incentives for a shrinking pool to care about football. These programs already exist on the margins. Not directly analogous but similar to the rise of traveling teams slowly killing off baseball as a youth sport for future generations. As I’ve said, the inventors of the playoff don’t really like college football. If you like college football you want the G5 to be healthy and on sustainable footing. You want more D1 programs not fewer. Shrinking a sport doesn’t help it.
  20. Whats gonna be funny is when all these teams schedule dogshit opponents and then still don’t make the playoffs, that’s surely hugely good for fans and donors and alums. No playoff and you are watching your team play Rutgers as your big OOC matchup. I don’t see the downside. The playoff was designed by people who don’t like college football and it keeps making the game worse in new ways.
  21. Yeah, Mormons are by and large thinner and more attractive than GenPop despite the sugar addiction. Carpet basketball, church dances, and clean living balance that out.
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