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956 Worldwide

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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide

  1. Not even the weakest of this year’s crop of SEC playoff contenders per Massey, Sagarin, FPI, etc. That honor goes to Ole Miss. But in all objectivity, all the SEC contenders are clustered around the top 25 for sos and there is some subjectivity in any metric you can put together.
  2. Super unlikely that garden-variety birddogging rises to this level, especially if they didn’t invoke it when they canned him. A court won’t look kindly on using the thread of invoking it after the fact to negotiate your buyout down. If he violated the clause, they should have said so and terminated him for that reason.
  3. You can kind of cobble together a case that a lump sum big enough (time value of money) plus removal of the duty to mitigate could let him take a higher paying job that could offset and leave him better than the loss of guaranteed from LSU. But BK is a known asshole who might have trouble landing that good of a gig. It’s a gamble for him and he should for sure force LSU to agree to pay what they agreed to.
  4. Fantastic look for LSU as they are trying to convince a new coach to sign. “No, we will totally pay YOU. That’s different from whats going on with Brian.”
  5. Designing the entire world to function to serve the narrow interests of the generation born after WWII has consequences. Programs have been fucking over their core future fanbases for years in favor of chasing the high-end alum and corporate $$$.
  6. That’s not what “controlling your own destiny” means though, especially since in some of those important games being a favorite is slightly better than a coin flip (like UGA vs Tex). And could change based on things like key injuries.
  7. It was always going to end this way, Dem constituencies are more vulnerable to the shutdown and the GOP was not going to cave. Extremely predictable. And in pure team sports play, fucking people up with healthcare costs that the GOP votes for helps the Dems, too.
  8. Eight games involving SEC teams this year already and Pitt-ND is a cool rivalry with big CFP implications. Also no ACC or ND games this year.
  9. I feel like this has been explained. That was the preseason line and it’s not updated. You can’t lay a bet on it now. If you can let me know. I don’t bet on sports, and I’d take that line. I bet most of the degens on the site would too.
  10. This is what’s going on. 10.5 was the preseason line.
  11. Well, based on how they manage money they can touch, that was probably good foresight to keep it away from regents’ grubby paws. I’m sure LSU would be trying to liquidate its endowment to buy Andy Reid and a few five star OL or some shit.
  12. Also just caught that this is a California pension fund investment which means that somehow UCLA alum retirees are going to be paying UCLA football players and fund managers will be raking a cut. Fantastic system, no notes.
  13. What’s happening is that these schools are taking expensive money from an institutional partner with one ethos: “fuck you, pay me.” Combining that with institutions which need to have a long-term, collective health outlook is a total mismatch. Rewatch The Goodfellas tiki bar scene to see how this goes. It’s insane on its face to put public institutions on the hook for a PE vig.
  14. ND hasn’t played a really bad schedule. Theirs is better than most teams in the Big Ten or ACC. Four opponents currently in the CFP rankings. Only two G5 opponents (fewer than nearly all actual P4 schools). One of those was a CFP team last year and the other was one loss team. Beyond that, ND-Navy has been played since 1927 with only COVID interrupting. A lot of the things people shit on ND for are actually cool things ND does. They could easily replace that game for another bigger payday but it’s one of the older and cooler games in the sport and its awesome that every Middie player gets a shot at Domer.
  15. I was being tongue in cheek. Today is Sunday and I dont care about that format as much as Saturday. For me, anything that sterilizes CFB sucks.
  16. It’s the cumulative thing. In any given contest, the difference isn’t that big: maybe Auburn had a 15 percent or so greater chance to win against A&M than Minnesota did against tOSU (pulled that from my ass, BTW). But over five games those probabilities cumulatively mean a huge difference. This has always been the secret about the SEC, btw. And why it’s so maddening to try and figure out why it is. The bottom and mid teams are just a BIT better than the bottom and mid of others. In indibidual games- doesn’t seem noticable. In a full season it shows up. I think tOSU is in the right spot, btw.
  17. I just wish that someone would create a football format where about 30 relatively evenly matched teams would play each other and about half make the playoffs to crown an undisputed champion. Maybe some form of revenue sharing, and you just openly pay the players.
  18. Very much dependent on how you look in the losses and what the teams do with rest of the schedule. Blowing out UGA at home, thumping Arky, and dropping a tight one to A&M is a good look, or you can swap the results for UGA and A&M assuming they both win out otherwise. Likewise, eking out a win over A&M but losing big to UGA is likely less helpful.
  19. The committee will look for reasons to have more rather than less conference balance.
  20. On every metric A&M’s SoS is far closer to Texas’ than to tOSU. Massey, Sagarin, FPI. Take your pick. A&M and Texas usually within about 5 of each other and tOSU down in the 20s to even 40s. But— as I posted earlier— fans overstate SoS value for the committee.
  21. Would also say that in the portal era, relegating a team down to FCS or whatever will really blow up a roster and make it tough to bounce back from. And you lose a bunch of good home games. It’s pushing factory reset on a program.
  22. I do, but most of that comes from being a legit long-time fan of the DII/FCS ranks and seeing how tenuous it is to get engagement and how hard they work to move their programs up even when it will be harder to win. FWIW, being engaged at that level of play also plays a big role in my continue CFP agnosticism. Not just for the fan experience but the resources that come in when playing at the harder level. In the streaming era it’s very hard to get someone to show for a perceived B-league contest.
  23. Invitation to a death spiral for lots of programs. It’s hard to make it work now for most of the NCAA, sticking half the teams in a consolation league will not help and drive fans away. It is not good for college football to make seasons less meaningful and fun for mid-tier teams.
  24. SC is a team to watch. A 10-2 SC and 10-2 Oregon would be a pretty compelling to the committee. People don’t want to talk about it but OSU is a team with a lot of bread on the schedule outside of Texas. They have, however, won convincingly most games. Fans and talking heads overvalue “big” wins (and overly punish big losses). And they undervalue consistent winning when teams are moderate favorites or moderate dawgs. You’ll look at 5 game stretch where a team is at 75% chance to win and think its a walk; but each of those dogs has a better chance to win than the favorite to emerge unscathed. Drop a game or two to 60 or 55 percent chance of winning and its really a longshot.
  25. I will die on the hill that CFB was perfect and needed no fix pre-BCS and mega-conferences. You got plenty of joy in winning your conference and enjoying wins over schools close to you— needling the people at work, church, the PTA. Bowl games were a fun bonus. The newspaper would crown a MNC and it was a distraction to read about and then move on from. The only NC trophy handed out was a gimmick from Trick Dick as a little dogwhistle for the last all-white teams and their fans. A “real” NC, playoff, etc is something thet talking heads on 24/7 sports media and then the internet created for their own benefit and then convinced fans they needed. Has not made the alum and fan experience at all better.
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