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956 Worldwide

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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide

  1. A lot going on here.
  2. Really like this graph: wins above expectation based on post-game probability. Probably as close as can be to “are you as good as your record.” Ideally you want to be dead-center and undefeated. That means you are winning because you’re consistently playing winning football. The further away you get, you begin seeing the impact of bad/good luck and opponents blowing games, and maybe coaching idiocy. A few interesting things: voters are right to be cautious of GT and UVa, but add BYU in there too. Not to say luck can never last (it does) but they’ve already had a lot. Likewise, the belief that Tenn is better than their record is somewhat justified. Mizzou and Miami too, for that matter. UT and A&M are slightly above expectation but not tremendously so. Most years, some good bounces separate great from good from average seasons. Scary for everyone: OSU’s great record appears entirely earned and justified.
  3. This is legitimately radicalizing to me. It’s just delivering bad governance so that buddies can profit off the failure. And it’s directed at anyone who pays taxes, just a “fuck you, we want to make money off you coming and going.” You can’t even pretend about the national interest or constituents here. And on the flip side, there were four years to direct— with no excuses— the IRS to roll out direct file. For everyone, everywhere. No years long pilots and phases and shit. Truly emblematic of the collapse of American governance into right-wing grifting and effete, process-centric consensus building exercises.
  4. To clarify— I don’t think it’s an ATC problem. The fallout will be general jitters, demands to do crazy things like pay the NTSB that responds, etc. It’s a little jolt of “the government does things you need.”
  5. I’ve told some people in person that it might take a plane crash to reopen government. Tracking the fallout from this.
  6. I’ve told some people that it lay take a plane crash to get the government reopened. I wonder what caused this.
  7. 2011 Alabama too.
  8. There’s really not much of a case for them as places like VCU, ODU, GMU, JMU invest and grow, and similar places up and down the coast. Going to Tech or UVA or William and Mary is clearly better but no one gives a shit anymore if you go to “commuter” schools, in fact it’s probably better in the market than some tiny obscure college. Those that have some nominal affiliation with a religious tradition have mostly stripped that part of uniqueness away so that’s not even a case for them.
  9. Knew some girls from Mary Baldwin. Virginia is odd, every hillbilly Scots-Irish holler town has a college that costs 55k a year in tuition that no one ever heard of. I heard Sweetbriar was going under a few years back, not sure if they saved it.
  10. I was friends in HS with a girl who did some sort of summer science program for smart kids at UTMB Galveston and she convinced her parents to let her do Greyhound from Galveston to the RGV. This was 1999, she had a cell phone, and spent most of the trip narrating the trip to me in fear/hilarity. Not really a “smart kid” move.
  11. Today MTG is hanging out with The View ladies and talking more about the need for affordable healthcare.
  12. If you’re a Texas fan, you need to hope for an ND loss and for UVA to play well and win out, staying in the top 10.A 10-2 Texas is in comfortably. A 9-3 Texas around the 11-12 spot would be sweating if the ACC and G5 champ are behind them, cause they will move up and bump.
  13. And all the incentives here are for bad decisions: these donors have no skin in the game beyond the satisfaction of a winning team. Once your NIL or buyout contribution is gone— it’s gone. You’re not making it back. You only get “paid” if you see the team in the CFP. The risk is all on the institution for the future. If you decide you’re done paying for buyouts when the coach you demanded falls flat— you can just walk away clean. The next buyout is someone else’s problem. I do think this all comes crashing down. Big Beanie Baby vibes. All that has to happen is for people to decide “a football trophy doesn’t really matter that much.” We haven’t seen a real bear market since NIL came along.
  14. The theory is that a hire like him will immediately unlock booster cash and excite the portal to make an immediate run at the whole thing. And that conversely donors will not be energized by an unknown.
  15. Beginning to think that Lane is calling the dumbest big booster at every SEC school and tell them he’s always dreamed of coaching there (or going back). Also, the funniest possible outcome will be if Auburn hires James Franklin and pays him more than Penn State did. Low probability but not impossible.
  16. Really entering the wicked stepmother/mad king era.
  17. Nancy Mace posted a 20 minute video of airport security cam footage with Hans Zimmer-inspired AI music overlay to prove….something?
  18. I have just learned that a ND linebacker spells “Drake” as “Drayk” and I’ve changed my mind; under no circumstances can they be allowed in the CFP.
  19. UVA replaced Georgia Tech as the “gotta put them up there till they lose” team. Tony Elliot has done a great job and this can be a good launch point to do well in a pretty wide-open ACC in future years. Their schedule sets them up to maybe be one loss headed into the ACC CCG, although they should be careful with Duke. The win over Louisville was good. Other than that they haven’t even beaten an OK team. 5-4 Cal is the closet. Most computer models have UVa with a weaker slate than Texas Tech, although Tech has outclassed their opponents.
  20. DeJean isn’t the Eagles return man this year, right? I think of him as a legit really good CB and Wetjen/Dwight as pure return specialists.
  21. No they didn’t. They had a slow start and missed some kicks. They never trailed, they outgained BC 458-281, picked them off 3 times, and Love looked like a Heisman candidate. The kicking inconsistency is one reason they are a T2 and not T1 team.
  22. MTG is passenger rail posting and talking about affordable health care. She’s on track to becoming the MAGA Fetterman.
  23. I watch a LOT of games, will admit I don’t follow GT as closely as you. My own take is that Vandy and Tech can play pretty well and still likely go down against ND. They need hero ball or some serious ND mistakes. Maybe both. Texas and ND both playing well against each other is a much closer run thing, maybe edge Texas. Georgia has looked uninspired for long stretches and never really dominant. They better come to play against Texas. They can’t just out-athlete y’all.
  24. I tend to lean on serranos over jalepenos simply because the heat is more consistent than jalepenos at the grocery store. I save the jalepenos for stuffing or just grilling and serving on the side.
  25. Arbol is an OG hot pepper, no need to seed them. That’s what South Texas cooks would use. A few fresh chile pequins will turn it up, too. Anything above habanero is a novelty pepper, IMO.
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