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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
To broaden the aperture: 3/6 of the top half of the bracket are not blue bloods. Add Tech and Oregon in there too. All with key portal additions. It may not happen this year; it will happen one year. Playoffs make it weird. 2023 recruiting rankings are pointless. Who is stil on the roster? Who got brought in? The churn is unbelievable. -
Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
That is a long and well-thought out post. I think the key difference youāre not accounting for is the portal and how it changes the game. The model of āstack five stars, keep them and roll a three deepā isnāt the model. Itās āsign as many 5 stars as you can. Dump the dead weight and rob G5/lower tier P4 for the gems you missed the first go-round.ā And that is a different game that involves money, planning, and timing more like a pro team than the old model. Keeping a 5* mid on roster does nothing when you can go get a former 3* who busted out. You canāt project next yearās roster. In Jan. 25, Texas had a much better WR room than A&M. Now you would absolutely trade for ours straight up. No honest poster on this board will deny that. Will you next year? Maybe. Maybe not. The point is, a smart team and coach can create their own WR room and pass the team who stocked the blue chips. Likewise with OL. Two of our starters are transfers. The unit is a Joe Moore semi-finalist. We didnāt get all those guys in HS. We took nthem from Kansas and Utah. Colin Simmons is a future first rounder you signed in HS. Cashius Howell is a likely first rounder we stole from Bowling Green. It doesnāt make a a shit how they got on the field. What matters is the sacks and TFL they deliver now. There is another Howell out there and someone will grab him. You can shit on Techās recruiting but Bailey is a first rounder. Rodriguez is having the best season for an MLB since Teo. The gap isnāt near as big as you think it is. -
As best as I can tell, ESPN accounts for momentum by updating their model in-game based on previous plays/drives as they happen. What fans and even players feel as āmomentumā is a descriptive feeling of what has happened and doesnāt have predictive power. Which makes a lot of sense, as we all can remember when our team had ALL the āmomentumā and then suddenly the other team āgrabbed it backā with an ill-timed INT, or fumble, or explosive play, or ST mistake, or great defensive stand, or soul-crushing long drive. The models canāt account for momentum but they come closer at explaining how likely it is that the other team does something like the above.
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ESPN has a vast set of data and it updates algorithmically. A huge portion is historical dataā similar scores, similar points on field at gametime, home vs away and also includes FPI data for relative team strength/weakness. 25 percent is probably about right for a team that has trailed most of the game, away, late in the 3rd. I understand the analytics geeks admit that models collapse in tight games late in the 4th through overtime.
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I think youāre right and thatās a good call. Plusā salad bar. Thought about McAllisterās too but donāt recall if they have breakfast.
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Letās be objective: Texas did (and still does) get credit for that. Last week Texas was the highest ranked two-loss team in the CFP rankings, ahead of several one loss teams. Squarely in the field for the CFP, even with the ACC and G5 participants. In fact, it can be fairly said that the tOSU loss wasnāt punishing Texas, although it wasnāt rewarded as a win. Had that been the only L on the schedule Texas would maybe have been the highest 1L team, and in the bye. This week: Texas is the highest 3 loss team in the rankings. Ahead of name brands like Michigan with fewer losses. A small but existent path to the playoff. The 2L teams in front of you have excellent to good wins: USC, Bama, Mizzou, Notre Dame, Georgia, Tennessee, among others. All teams currently ranked in the CFP. They donāt have losses to sub-.500 teams, they donāt have non-competitive losses, they have mostly put away inferior teams in regulation. Thereās no unfair treatment here. Texas is in the mix with teams that have fewer losses and well ahead any other 3 loss teams that are all well and truly out of the convo. They are getting credit foe that schedule.
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NM
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If Iām trying to keep myself alive and decently functional for a year, Panera Bread is a good bet. Breakfast, soups, salads, sandwiches, fruit cups, and they do lots of limited menu items so you can break the monotony. With effort you can design a decently healthy diet. The problem is I donāt ever āwantā anything from there, Panera Bread is just a place I end up sometimes, somehow.
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All these intricate helmets are designed for the insta reveal and not the game. Many such cases.
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I need more Belichek-Jordon storylines. He has to stay at UNC another year. Iām just not done, Iām sorry. I need that OTL.
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Teams and storylines to watch: - Ole Miss: This is a team that seems solidly in the playoffs but Joey Freshwater has introduced a lot of needless drama. What if the distraction leads to a flop in the Egg Bowl? What if he calls a bluff and bails before the CFP? Long shot, high stakes. Ingredients are there for a spectacular explosion but will someone light the fuse? - Bama: Not in dangerā yet. But DeBoer teams donāt have the killer instinct. Bama went from weeks of the most impressive football in the country and Heisman play from Simpson to mortal. There are rivalries where the better team usually wins, and there are rivalries where all bets are off: the Iron Bowl is the latter. Also intriguing is the possibility of a non-competitive CCG loss to drop to three losses. - Oregon and USC: A great race between old and new money to win the PAC-10. Wait, no. A race to be the third Big 10 team in. What are we doing? Anyway, Oregon can finish strong with wins over USC and Washington to maybe angle for a top 5 seed. USC can spoil that and get a CFP appearance for the first time by beating Oregon. Great, high-stakes football between two talented but not quite elite teams. - ACC Chaos: Who wants to win here? Miami has the longest odds of contenders but will be the angriest if a two loss ND gets in ahead of them. GaTech can beat Pitt and get to the CCG. Other teams need help along the way, including the aforementioned Pitt, Virginia, and even SMU still lurking. This race is wide open, and the champ will likely not be the highest ranked team. Such are superconferences. -Texas: To stay alive they have to thumpānot just bestā A&M in Austin. Oh, and also avoid a letdown against Arkie. Should be easy, right? The voices will be loud, but the non-competitive loss at UGA means a showout against A&M is needed; and even then it may not be enough. The loss to tOSU isnāt the killer. Rather, its the Florida game and the UGA result. The committee looks at that and sees a team that had a late-season shot at a top-tier team, and just didnāt match up.
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Rankings out. I thought there might be a chance UGA passed A&M but last week the committee praised Indianaās grittiness in overcoming a struggle against a talented team that didnāt live up to its preseason billingā- so tough to reverse course out of that. I continue to be unpersuaded by anti-ND takes. I can see bumping up Bama a spot, maybe, and if Miami is sitting pretty at the end it will be a discussion. Other than that, no team behind them with a solid argument for a better resume or eye test. Pitt and USC are good wins, their losses arenāt bad, and they have handled business against P5 opponents across the board. And Navy is beginning to look like a top-tier G5 win. 1. Ohio State (10-0) 2. Indiana (11-0) 3. Texas A&M (10-0) 4. Georgia (9-1) 5. Texas Tech (10-1) 6. Ole Miss (10-1) 7. Oregon (9-1) 8. Oklahoma (8-2) 9. Notre Dame (8-2) 10. Alabama (8-2) 11. BYU (9-1) 12. Utah (8-2) 13. Miami (8-2) 14. Vanderbilt (8-2) 15. USC (8-2) 16. Georgia Tech (9-1) 17. Texas (7-3) 18. Michigan (8-2) 19. Virginia (9-2) 20. Tennessee (7-3) 21. Illinois (7-3) 22. Missouri (7-3) 23. Houston (8-2) 24. Tulane (8-2) 25. Arizona State (7-3)
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Gonna be very sad if itās not a possum.
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Everyone dunked on Mike Pence for his āno dinners with women without Motherā but on the other hand people understate how aggressively some young women go after silver foxes with a bit of power.
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
Man, truly sucks when your HC is borking the best season ever by basically checking out at the key moment to flirt with major rivalsā coaching gig. As an Aggie Iām really glad I havenāt gone through that in the past two years. -
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She wants to be Joan Didion, and is failing. And sheās not close to Hemingway.
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It is 2025. The king is gilding the throne room and his physician recommends cures and potions. The peasants are tied to the soil paying rents to the great lords (50 year mortgages). The head of the war council is in his cups. Plagues ravage the land. Medieval ass country.
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Yāall need to be following the Olivia Nuzzi shit. Sheās cashed in on the RFK dalliance, with a book (āAmerican Cantoā) and fawning NYT and Vanity Fair profiles about her complicated and beautiful life. Then her ex dropped that she also banged SC governor Mark Sanford (who she wrote a profile on) and also was Keith Olbermannās sugar baby for years. And she wrote this:
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
Anyone but me beginning to think Lane is supremely talented but has been dialed in these past years simply so he can get back to a really big job and flame out in a spectacular way? -
Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Body in Congress? Oh you mean Marjorie!
956 Worldwide replied to Pancho's topic in Cloak Room
And we should do everything to convince her and others with similar āvaluesā that straying from Trump and being more civil will be rewarded. -
Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
And after all those misdeason sepia tinted pieces about how Ole Miss and family saved Lane. Oh well, they knew what they were getting.
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