Jump to content

956 Worldwide

Full Members
  • Posts

    11478
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    26

Everything posted by 956 Worldwide

  1. The thing that needs ryto to be taken into account is that SEC and BIG teams this year aren’t playing for top 12. They’re playing for top 10.
  2. This is what I posted on the DT on this topic: You’re not interesting or clever. You spoil every thread you post on outside the Food Forum. You’re so contrarian and broken that you can’t begin to have a coherent discussion, it’s just endlessly playing the same shit that you think is somehow enlightening.
  3. There’s a chance but it’s not at all a good one.A 9-3 Texas is likely around 11-12 in the rankings. If the ACC and best G5 champ are behind you, Texas gets bumped. Put it this way: You have, right now, a bit better than even odds to make the CFP. Those odds factor in 10-2 pathways. If you take away the 10-2 pathways, the odds slump well below .500.
  4. *Anastasis* why did they do that, are they not getting paid or something. I’m posting in a shut down thread and know things *anastasis*
  5. Is this bit or are you just this dumb? Every civilian in the federal government except for some LEOs have missed at least one paycheck. The NTSB team that will be deployed hasn’t been paid since the first week of October.
  6. It’s healthy for the sport. If you functionally exclude more than half the teams from hoping to get in the CFP you harm its viability long term. You also aren’t really impacting the final outcome integrity. The 5th SEC or BIG team is very unlikely to win it all, there’s usually a clear gap. This is entirely predictable and not unique; every year some good MBB teams aren’t in March Madness in favor of some hapless midmajors.
  7. Let’s see what the NTSB investigation says, I wonder if several missed checks might have any impact on the people doing it.
  8. That’s the rules.
  9. Initial bracket
  10. This is the key. If there isn’t an ACC and G5 team in the top ten: then ten and eleven are out.
  11. Posting this here too. Directly relevant to rankings and where teams should be relative to rankings. Really like this graph: wins above expectation based on post-game probability. Probably as close as can be to “are you as good as your record.” Ideally you want to be dead-center and undefeated. That means you are winning because you’re consistently playing winning football. The further away you get, you begin seeing the impact of bad/good luck and opponents blowing games, and maybe coaching idiocy. A few interesting things: voters are right to be cautious of GT and UVa, but add BYU in there too. Not to say luck can never last (it does) but they’ve already had a lot. Likewise, the belief that Tenn is better than their record is somewhat justified. Mizzou and Miami too, for that matter. UT and A&M are slightly above expectation but not tremendously so. Most years, some good bounces separate great from good from average seasons. Scary for everyone: OSU’s great record appears entirely earned and justified.
  12. A lot going on here.
  13. Really like this graph: wins above expectation based on post-game probability. Probably as close as can be to “are you as good as your record.” Ideally you want to be dead-center and undefeated. That means you are winning because you’re consistently playing winning football. The further away you get, you begin seeing the impact of bad/good luck and opponents blowing games, and maybe coaching idiocy. A few interesting things: voters are right to be cautious of GT and UVa, but add BYU in there too. Not to say luck can never last (it does) but they’ve already had a lot. Likewise, the belief that Tenn is better than their record is somewhat justified. Mizzou and Miami too, for that matter. UT and A&M are slightly above expectation but not tremendously so. Most years, some good bounces separate great from good from average seasons. Scary for everyone: OSU’s great record appears entirely earned and justified.
  14. This is legitimately radicalizing to me. It’s just delivering bad governance so that buddies can profit off the failure. And it’s directed at anyone who pays taxes, just a “fuck you, we want to make money off you coming and going.” You can’t even pretend about the national interest or constituents here. And on the flip side, there were four years to direct— with no excuses— the IRS to roll out direct file. For everyone, everywhere. No years long pilots and phases and shit. Truly emblematic of the collapse of American governance into right-wing grifting and effete, process-centric consensus building exercises.
  15. To clarify— I don’t think it’s an ATC problem. The fallout will be general jitters, demands to do crazy things like pay the NTSB that responds, etc. It’s a little jolt of “the government does things you need.”
  16. I’ve told some people in person that it might take a plane crash to reopen government. Tracking the fallout from this.
  17. I’ve told some people that it lay take a plane crash to get the government reopened. I wonder what caused this.
  18. 2011 Alabama too.
  19. There’s really not much of a case for them as places like VCU, ODU, GMU, JMU invest and grow, and similar places up and down the coast. Going to Tech or UVA or William and Mary is clearly better but no one gives a shit anymore if you go to “commuter” schools, in fact it’s probably better in the market than some tiny obscure college. Those that have some nominal affiliation with a religious tradition have mostly stripped that part of uniqueness away so that’s not even a case for them.
  20. Knew some girls from Mary Baldwin. Virginia is odd, every hillbilly Scots-Irish holler town has a college that costs 55k a year in tuition that no one ever heard of. I heard Sweetbriar was going under a few years back, not sure if they saved it.
  21. I was friends in HS with a girl who did some sort of summer science program for smart kids at UTMB Galveston and she convinced her parents to let her do Greyhound from Galveston to the RGV. This was 1999, she had a cell phone, and spent most of the trip narrating the trip to me in fear/hilarity. Not really a “smart kid” move.
  22. Today MTG is hanging out with The View ladies and talking more about the need for affordable healthcare.
  23. If you’re a Texas fan, you need to hope for an ND loss and for UVA to play well and win out, staying in the top 10.A 10-2 Texas is in comfortably. A 9-3 Texas around the 11-12 spot would be sweating if the ACC and G5 champ are behind them, cause they will move up and bump.
  24. And all the incentives here are for bad decisions: these donors have no skin in the game beyond the satisfaction of a winning team. Once your NIL or buyout contribution is gone— it’s gone. You’re not making it back. You only get “paid” if you see the team in the CFP. The risk is all on the institution for the future. If you decide you’re done paying for buyouts when the coach you demanded falls flat— you can just walk away clean. The next buyout is someone else’s problem. I do think this all comes crashing down. Big Beanie Baby vibes. All that has to happen is for people to decide “a football trophy doesn’t really matter that much.” We haven’t seen a real bear market since NIL came along.
  25. The theory is that a hire like him will immediately unlock booster cash and excite the portal to make an immediate run at the whole thing. And that conversely donors will not be energized by an unknown.
×
×
  • Create New...