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956 Worldwide

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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide

  1. This is tracking like every analysis on message boards: no team in the top 10 deserves to be there except maybe the top-ranked but there’s no nomination for who actually belongs there except maybe (checks notes) Pitt and Iowa.
  2. I am slightly skeptical that freezing rent, making buses free, and opening state-run bodegas resonates in Grand Island like it does in NYC, but sure. I’ll keep an open mind here.
  3. 9-3 is too close to 8-4 especially with Samford on the schedule.
  4. Yeah, I’m the opposite, chili without masa just doesn’t feel completely done to me. A little bit of earthiness, which is why it’s so fucking good with Fritos or tortillas or cornbread.
  5. I’m an Aggie. I’ll offer my best objective take, which I don’t think is any more or maybe less biased than the prevailing opposite bias around here. If we win at Mizzou I’ll take a breath. Not that Mizzou with 3rd QB is awesome but: at that point you’re at least 10-2 and almost for sure in the PO. If Texas embarrasses us completely in Austin that could change the calculus but barring that I feel like the program has taken a significant step to sounder footing. Reed getting hurt could happen and upset the whole thing. I’m happy with the recruiting and more so with the transfer portal. So far Scourton, Howell, Craver, Concepcion, Will Lee, Armaj-Reed have been superb takes where we need them. Ricks, Scooby, Hayes, and to a lesser extent Boerkircher have contributed. I don’t worry about the ability to patch holes with the staff and the people we lost haven’t been sorely missed. I assume Elko stays and likely gets a raise. I imagine Klein has a better than even chance to get a HC gig. I’ve been happy with Elko’s hires and the staff overall. Next year is next year. No one has any idea what LSU looks like, if Eli sticks around or bolts to Auburn or something, and how OU fixes their shit. Florida and LSU looked like 2/3 of our biggest hurdles on 1 August. So yeah, 10-2 and in the CFP is something to build on. 11-1 and SEC CCG appearance is better. 12-0 for sure would be best. Gun to my head, I’d say 11-1 is most likely.
  6. I agree that Iowa is a really solid team this year, with offensive competence added to usual solid defense and ST. I’d love to see them win out and get into the PO. Notre Dame is a good team. They are well-coached, I think Love is a top-3 player in CFB and theu no glaring holes. They aren’t a NC contender but can put a scare in good teams in the PO. I have difficulty saying that anyone behind them for sure belongs in front but I do think they’re much better than a BYU or Virginia. I don’t over-index the early loss to a Jekyll and Hyde Miami that always starts strong under Cristobal and that has a roster to play with anyone when you get good Beck. USC is, in fact, ranked at the moment. Clearly, transfers are here to stay and you better do well in the portal. There are different paths to that but no one currently looked at as a real NC contender is there without doing a good job in the portal.
  7. I’ll buy Oregon if they close out with wins over Iowa, Washington, USC. You do have to put 12 teams in the playoff.
  8. I am not at all following the logic that the bottom six of the Big XII is better than the bottom six of the SEC. Auburn beat the dog out of Baylor, which is not at the bottom of the Big XII. Their defense hasn’t given up more than 24 all year and is legit good (most Auburn stat season ever). MSU beat ASU, which is a mid to good Big XII team. Florida and UK can be plenty dangerous. Arkie has played ranked teams close all year. Now with fired coaches and turmoil all bets are off. But the bottom of the Big XII wining games against the middle of the Big XII does nothing for me. The top through middle of the SEC is really fucking good. I’ll buy AZ and Iowa State as decent teams but UCF on down is not good at all.
  9. That’s completely separate from being upside down with (presumably) the lowest income and most socially subsidized demographic. My own hunch is that no one is threatening to take away those benefits; so they are already functionally socialized. And law and order messaging consistently does well among lower-income demographics while the foreign policy stuff is largely irrelevant at best. I think this can explain a lot of Trump btw. This is unironically the median American voter:
  10. One thing that’s incredible is that the avowedly DSA guy is weakest versus the “establishment” D candidate among people in public or subsidized housing. Many such cases.
  11. With DJ Durkin now interim HC, the SEC has reached natural stasis of number of head coaches who killed a kid: 1.
  12. Interesting stuff and goes back to my point that one place of difference between teams at the 10 or below spot is mostly just noise. I don’t have the energy to count but Texas may lead OU on more ballots than not. A quick scan says that the Kentucky and LSU voters have Texas farthest behind OU. The A&M voter has Texas at 11 and ahead of OU.
  13. The problem with populism is that populists of any stripe are objectively terrible at governing. Across time and space, I struggle to think of a populist who did a good job anywhere at scale, which is a function of populist rhetoric invariably offering simplistic and unrealistic solutions and promises against real, complex problems. There’s always the old “lie about being a populist” trick but you can’t pull the football forever and eventually someone will come along who actually does the stupid shit and either makes a hash of things or just overturns democracy to avoid consequences. This basically happened with the republicans. We got here because most of America treats real elections like student council elections: vote for the stupidest and most unreal shit because deep down you believe adults will remain in control. Only that’s not how it works in real life.
  14. This was the Barrack Obama formula. Difference being that Obama honed his rhetoric, skills, positions very early in a statewide race.
  15. This only works in a closed system. Because now add to the discussion team 13, who only played nine of the top 12 and wins seven (one more than your fictional team. The rest of their schedule is between 15-20, and they win all of those convincingly. And maybe some of the top 15-20 would match up really well with your fictional team and could knock them off. There will always be some eye test and human judgment in an NCAA playoff.
  16. Every internal D debate boils down to: ”Wow, this democratic socialist is really mobilizing the base in this D +42, 38 percent foreign born major metropolitan district! We need to replicate this energy nationally and push out the centrists!” “Noooo, you can’t do that! This kind of rhetoric hurts the D candidates in this rust belt, R +1.5 race! You need them in Congress and their voters in national elections. The radicals need to tone it down.” Then in national and most statewide races voters pick someone in between the two in primaries and the two poles lob bombs, bicker, and dont vote for the candidate in the general. Rinse, wash, repeat!
  17. One spot in the rankings as tabulated is basically noise once you get past the top five or so. One or two outlier ballots can put a team over another one. It’s not worth going on tilt over and happens every year to different teams. The only way to correct it, ironically, is to implement an actual media conspiracy via expert or editorial correction to weight or throw out ballots.
  18. FBI director doing long vague-booking posts about his girlfriend.
  19. Yeah, he’s not. But that’s the theory, though. It will be interesting to see what Chinese and Russian backing really means. That is another message the admin wants to send: it’s not worth anything in this hemisphere.
  20. MFW “something” warns me not to get the extra hot Vindaloo buy I do anyway.
  21. Looks like the UMD news was bad info (and the Terps would be foolish to jump into this). So Tech looks more likely and I think he’ll do very well there.
  22. I agree and will die on this hill: Franklin is in the top tier of coaches actually available to hire and is better than several hot names.
  23. Heupel at Tennessee is the James Franklin of Matt Rhules.
  24. This year a lot of coaches are gonna get hired a level or two above where they belong.
  25. Pureeing the rehydrated peppers also gives some built in thickener that I sometimes struggle to get without masa harina in powder based chili. I still add a bit because I like the flavor it adds, though.
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