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Zhorn96

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Zhorn96

  1. Rugby is self funded and actually makes a small profit. But its a big Title IX issue. Would think track, baseball, gymnastics (M&W), lacrosse and field hockey are the most likely candidates
  2. dunno if this is the deal structure (could be?) but the Cal side is feeling pretty optimistic that a move to the ACC is happening with 'Furd and while they wont get a full share, its more than 50% and would eventually scale to full partnership. Would be for most sports but Cal would also be looking to axe a number of programs, mostly men's in all likelihood. 30 sports currently so 6-ish getting chopped would be logical. We'll see, negotiations are ongoing but UNC/NCState sound like they are close to flipping their vote.
  3. UC Regents re-affirmed that it'll be "something" but its unclear what the number is.
  4. a couple different sources suggest that donors have stepped up and committed the money if needed. The alarm bells have (apparently) finally been recognized and the impact of the AD failing would be catastrophic far beyond just "no more football." I'm also in the skeptical camp re: that level of engagement but there is definitely money available if they can tap into it. That was always the issue.
  5. sounds like Cal, Furd and SMU would take $0 TV for a certain number of years and it might be for football only, not other sports (if bball is included seems murky). That's $90Mish that can be redistributed to the other 15 teams. I suspect it would be uneven distro to keep Clemson, FSU and possibly UNC happy. Buys them time til the next realignment Armageddon in 2030 I suppose
  6. if a vote happens tomorrow, and there is a 12pm meeting scheduled, Cal/Furd are going to the ACC. Cal peeps, without saying "its happening", seem optimistic. Put in a Roach 4 CB for Cal/Furd to the ACC! Ok, maybe a Roach 3 CB
  7. game changer. It's-Its are fucking delicious
  8. Roachian update from Wilner. He might as well put a 4 confidence CB pick in
  9. yeah, its not dead yet apparently. ND, Cal, Furd all focused on swaying UNC is the backchannel rumor I'm hearing from the West Coast. Since FSU and Clemson didn't bolt, status quo opens the door again. We'll see. The rest of this week will be interesting.
  10. I think a lot of people on here are thinking logically from a competitive perspective but not from a TV/ad money perspective. If the goal is an NFL lite feeder league which generates massive revenues through ads (which I think it is), they don't care about the interest among fans outside of the ones in the final "league" which is why they want the big brands. They're going to want to invest heavily in those final 24/40/48 teams whatever it is and make it an NFL like spectacle. All the best HS players will attend these schools and they can market it all and generate massive profits from televising the circus. Some "good teams" will fail in this model...that's just encouragement to reinvest their money back into the program to make it better so they can earn the prizes that the "winners" will no doubt receive. And on and on. The schools not "in" will be forced to de-escalate the arms race and will settle back into the G5/FCS shadows which will ripple effect their ADs and less revenue will be generated. I believe this is approximately what the networks want to drive towards, NFL Lite. The logic of 8 geographically based conferences of 8 teams each (or 4 of 16 with 2 divisions) is makes sense from a competitive standpoint. It feeds into a perfect playoff systems and maintains interest nationally. Not as much money though...
  11. Cal/Furd are still talking to the Big18 also. Cheaper rate than UO/UW. Next week will be interesting...
  12. Long term play… pffft. I think this Fox deal for 6 years is the deal before the deal. 40-48 split away in 2030 to play big boy football. The rest fall away to G5 irrelevance. Got to be in one of the remaining 4 conferences and prove you belong over the next 6 years. The Vandys, Northwesterns, Indianas, etc will drop out in 2030 IMO
  13. Some interesting info/rumors in there
  14. deleted but still a fuck you for bringing that shit up
  15. If true, they must think the GOR isn’t enforceable cause the exit fee is $120m and buying your media rights back is ? With estimates anywhere from $150m to $350m. Nobody is paying $500m to hop conferences
  16. It was horrific. Splintered old benches, dripping water underneath, it was like a dungeon. Weight room could only handle 1/3rd or so if the team at a time… the stadium fucking sucked except for the view and the historic cool factor. They had to spend the coin on it…
  17. I was referring to the schools ADs, not the alums. And Furd's AD is in infinitely better shape than Cal's from a donor perspective. Cal has potential though, they can pull 60k into games if there is a decent product that is marketed properly (see early Tedford years). With the Raiders, Warriors and soon to be A's all gone, the East Bay is going to be only Cal for (potentially) major sports. And their NIL is a lot better than most people realize. They bought a whole new men's bball roster which will win 20+ games this season (up from ...3). And they brought in 13 transfers to build out their depth in football. They spent ~$5M between the 2 sports allegedly and there is more money available for the next cycle. But their Chancellor doesn't care because she is dreaming about retirement and the AD is a bumbling fuckwit who is about to get fired for covering up massive athlete abuse in the women's swim team. Cal just needs a year or two and with the right hires, they could actually turn this shit around. Which is why I think they'd jump at ACC for survival, even knowing that thing implodes in the next couple years, because by then, it might be "fixed" and they'll be more attractive to the Big18 or whatever #3 conference emerges from the ashes. Wouldn't surprise me if they beg their way in to the Big18 for $10-15M a year and fundraise the gap to cover the 6 years til the next TV contract Meh, anyway, we'll see.
  18. a lot of folks think Stanford is fine because they have $$$ everywhere. They have $36B in endowments...but all of that is tied up in specific things, they cant just move the money around. There was a reason they tried cutting 13 sports during Covid (or whatever it was). Furd athletics are broke too... that said, both Furd and Cal have the alums to fix all of this if they get their heads out of their asses. Thats the challenging part
  19. it was $450M or something. The stadium was in wretched shape, basically all they kept was the outer shell for the architecture and history of it. Everything else was completely gutted and they massively upgraded the athletic facilities in general. Locker rooms, weight rooms, meeting rooms, etc. Partnered with the Biz school so some classrooms there and that spread the cost a little. Its pretty nice now...
  20. I am not sure the ACC thing is over... They need 3 or fewer "no's" for an invite to Cal/Furd. There are 4 currently from what I heard. FSU, Clemson, Miami and VT. Apparently UNC and NC St are leaning towards "yes" now. All the others are strong "yes" votes. So really it hinges on VT and if they change their mind... 8/15 is when FSU has to notify if they are opting out if they are doing so...
  21. not in the Bay Area they couldn't. Available land to build a stadium was searched for but wasn't available nearby. And Cal's relationship with the City of Berkeley is... strained. Cal isn't a part of the City, it is its own entity that uses COBs facilities (for lack of a better word). Berkeley (the city) is extremely poorly run and the politics of their relationship with Cal make things ridiculous. See "Covid reponse." COBs rules fucked Cal's athletics over big time and is partly responsible for the current downtick in their departmental performance. Not completely but definitely played a part. Anyways, back to Memorial Stadium... amazing location and phenomenal atmosphere for a game but to upgrade it from the crumbling hulk it had become and make it safe from earthquakes, it cost almost $500M
  22. you, sir, are clearly unaware that a mere one hundred years ago, Cal was finishing up the (now) 2nd greatest undefeated run in college football history. "Never"... pffffttt
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