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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. I can’t tell if you both agree with me that Talarico has some real weaknesses as a candidate and worry that Crockett might expose them, or think him invincible and therefore any challenge is unworthy of him. Regardless, I’m on team @Bozo_Casanova on this-he needs the testing and we just had all the evidence in the world that annointing a candidate, essentially forgoing a primary leads to a bad result.
  2. Why not? Texas has 4 million or so African Americans, at least half of whom are voting age, and Crockett looks and sounds far more like them than Talarico does. You think he’s entitled to their vote just because Cornyn is awful in the kitchen and Paxton is a felon in a just universe? I bet of those 2.3 million (old data, 2015 census), maybe 10% could even name who is running and Talarico needs help getting his name out. Who would you rather he be facing in the primary?
  3. I don't think it's that simple; I'd rebut they have a fair pulse on the majority of their constituents that are afraid of change and would be willing to punish the party that impairs choice or results in higher costs (even short-term). We've argued on this over decades on various threads. If you want to get voters on board you need to stand-up a public option that has all the current upsides and that doesn't appear to be what the Affordable Care Act produced, even though a lot of those surveyed are happy with the care they receive under it.
  4. He's not very fast twitch*, albeit the way that Kwiatkowski uses his ends usually includes someone who is a bit of a tweener opposite more of a rush end (i.e., he was a good fit for the role). I think the NFL tends to want more versatility and athleticism, which you can see any time you're looking at Colin Simmons, for example, to use as a comparison. *you mentioned "test well"--I'm presuming this is fairly well revealed at the Combine, pro days, etc.
  5. CSB Warning... So in, I think 1999 I spent the summer working on a ranch in Granby, CO, and I and a bunch of the staff attended the best concert I've ever been to--Red Rocks Amphitheater, Mavericks opening, followed by Dwight Yoakam, and finally Willie as the closer. One of the girls that was with us (also on staff) disappeared during the Yoakam set, coming back later to tell us that she had her own ride back to the ranch. That ride wouldn't bring her back until about two weeks had passed, and she explained she'd been traveling on the Mavericks tour bus as a groupie/band aid.
  6. Pretty crazy how good he was at limiting earned runs striking out only 6.9/9 over his career. I remember reading BA back in the day and anonymous scouts claiming he could be straight from high school to the majors based on he defense alone (when he was drafted the first time by the Expos).
  7. Wasn't it already being used as one of the pillars? If not, how convenient to have an extra rock lying around. I'm a little unclear how the rocks jail IT when he appears able to go into town whenever he wants. Granted, I was in the USMC and not the Air Force, but it would seem that dismissing an insubordinate officer who just pulled a gun and threatened to shoot a lieutenant colonel and a general would be slightly irregular, no? Maybe that's more normal in the Air Force in the 50's, in spite of the fact said officer is a minority in a presumably far more intolerant environment. My favorite part of the AVClub review was to mock the tribe having a congratulatory meeting when they took literally zero action.
  8. Apparently I have more in common with Mamdani than a love of kabab.
  9. I'm just totally befuddled that this board has defaulted into a position that Talarico's candidacy is hindered by having a primary opponent. No one was claiming he was doomed running against charisma vacuum Allred. Presumably surly would believe competition good in other arenas...
  10. Money? Also, the cause of his departure wasn’t necessarily his performance, it was general Mack Brown fatigue and the defense fell apart. I doubt he’s nursing a grievance even if it meant he had to spend the next two seasons in exile in Blacksburg.
  11. If I'm Sarkisian I'd make slapping people from Louisiana one of the job requirements.
  12. So what does that look like, exactly? She calls Talarico a dork and claims she's the best fighter for those opposed to MAGA? You think that shielding him from that makes him a stronger candidate in the general? You're carrying this sense of frailty across multiple threads--what scores you so much about Jasmine Crockett?
  13. It really is and I think every episode has more problems than the last, I.e., peeling the onion has the effect of showing how flawed it is rather than making the story richer. I just can’t suspend disbelief when multiple characters act in ways that no rational human would outside the confines of a plot that demands it.
  14. Brother, your entire post is replete of histrionics, from Talarico having a chance to the fault lying with the party. If it’s somewhat soothing, I think Crockett’s appeal is limited in areas that polling will soon reveal AND Talarico desperately needs someone in the race that appeals to voters besides the over-educated, terminally online that populate this board.
  15. LCHorn

    Senate 2026

    It’s hard to appear of the working class when you’re a Harvard grad, Teach for America alumni. That said, I think it’s also worth pointing out that our working class is much different than the post industrial, Yankee and union friendly group in Maine. It’s hard to convince a first gen Mexican American who’s driving a truck in South Texas taking sand and water to the drill sites making $130k a year with no college that he’s been screwed by the economy. Moreover, there’s ten other guys that work on that dudes crew for less money but can look at the truck or house he’s able to afford and believe them attainable. See above. Also, what draconian immigration tactics in the valley? The real shit is in Chicago, LA, etc. The Valley is the same as it ever was and everyone that lives down there has a friend, cousin or neighbor in law enforcement or the border patrol. They* don’t think of themselves as one, two, three generations removed from the illegals and don’t default to sympathy for their plight the same way we do. *they is overly broad but I’m trying to capture the consensus opinion. Anyway, my point is that relying on a playbook that’s meant to capture minority discontent has had ample opportunities in the field and it wasn’t worked. I think that’s partially what informs @Bozo_Casanova’s recommendation to be cool and funny-these voters aren’t making decisions based on policy preferences and the groups that are mostly unhappy with the status quo are already going to vote Dem or are perpetually unhappy and will never vote Dem. If you’re cool and funny you at least have a fighting chance and you’ll stand out from a bunch of old white dudes that look like high school vice principals.
  16. LCHorn

    Senate 2026

    I don't think it's really that hard--someone like Platner that codes working class, real, and is a good communicator will do well. I like Gina Hinojosa (alot, she fine), but bonus points if they aren't coming from Austin and don't have the more obvious taint of virtue signaling Texas Democratic loser on them. I'm a little disappointed that Houston doesn't seem to be a good laboratory for building candidates for anything statewide, mostly ceding that to Dallas. I like Talarico, too, but I'm expecting him to get trounced and hopefully put to bed the secular fever dream of a Christian liberal candidate that reveals the emptiness of the Christian right and wins elections.
  17. LCHorn

    Senate 2026

    He keeps avoiding us, but one of my questions for Kendall Scudder is to inquire on his efforts to recruit higher profile candidates for Ag and Land Commissioner because I think those are far more realistic than knocking off Abbott and running for those isn’t throwing another body onto the GOP sacrificial fire.
  18. It probably wasn’t intentionally set up like this, but the A&M game and Wisner’s performance likely removed all doubt (I.e., couldn’t make excuses that it was because of the line, defensive performance, Arch not being respected as a passer, etc.)
  19. LCHorn

    Senate 2026

    Also, to add onto this, it's also worth highlighting Crockett's race and gender. She's obviously pretty bright and must be able to see how low probability a win in a general election might be for her. That said, it's not hard to surmise that Talarico's name recognition is likely worst in low-attention minority communities and she's great at getting attention. It's probably win-win in that he needs her to help activate them, and she needs a state-wide race (particularly for one that has the prestige of the Senate and it's not something boring like Ag Commissioner) to burnish her resume.
  20. You think there’s more to it than he wants more money than we’re willing to commit to him? I think 99% of the time we’re going to see portaling being about a) NIL commitments and b) playing time.
  21. LCHorn

    Senate 2026

    Talarico has a huge name recognition deficit to the GOP candidates and needs a primary opponent to help drive attention. Spending the money in his war chest is the entire purpose of having it in the first place. I doubt this is happening, but a competent Texas Dem party would be looking for someone to join the race, maybe like Crockett, if they knew that Allred was headed out.
  22. One in which he’s able to replicate his freshman year performance or better. Someone is getting those carries and it’s going to be a tough sale to convince two portal backs to come to Texas in a featured role. I’m also presuming Wisner is gone, regardless of whatever IT deigns to rumor, because I think 130 carries is about what he can expect playing for UT next year and I don’t see how that improves his draft stock.
  23. Re: Baxter, I’m curious whether we see him take his name out of the portal if the market isn’t there. There are worse options than coming back to Texas and getting 100-150 carries as a rotational back in a “show-me” year, with the potential for more, if he’s healthy. I just don’t see anyone paying him based on his high school ranking in 2026.
  24. I used to think that kind of thing mattered, but college football is littered with sociopath head coaches that will trapdoor a kid and have the personal skills to massage around it with his peers. Also, kids aren’t stupid, they see what we see and know the rules. If you perform you get paid, if you don’t oh well. Not to get too Marlo Stanfield on you, but you seem to want it one way and college football in 2025 is going to do it the other way.
  25. I’ll add something else about Baxter that @DZX158 appears to overlook-most of these lower profile athletes with NIL deals aren’t offering anything of value to Sonic or Warby Parker or whoever. In those instances, those NIL dollars come from someone who is writing a check, and usually it’s because they are a fan/alumni of the university and they have the same performance expectations we do. When you’ve got someone like Baxter that’s already been paid a ton and delivered almost nothing you’re not going to get someone that wants to write that check, regardless of cajoling from Banks and Sark. This is, btw, a somewhat reasonable way to handle the exit interview with a player and mirrors the same kind of layoff potential all the rest of that work for a living have to hazard.
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