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Ghost of LL

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Ghost of LL

  1. 23 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    The Dems have ZERO incentive to compromise here.  Trump has tied a noose around his own neck and keeps tightening it.  Why on earth would they provide him any relief?  The MAJORITY of Americans oppose the wall.  The MAJORITY of Americans have a negative opinion of Trump, and that percentage is climbing because of and during this shutdown.

    Never interfere with your enemy when he is making a mistake.  The longer this shutdown goes, the more Trump hurts himself.  Let him do so.

    Somebody needs to explain to me why the Democrats would ever give a dime to the stupid wall* or any other Trump priority.  The stupid wall has the support of less than a third of the country--including a negligible percentage of Democrats--and shutting down the government over the issue is continuing to erode Trump's popularity and authority.  By giving Trump the finger over the stupid wall, the Democrats (1) further please their base, (2) further reduce Trump's approval numbers, and (3) further demonstrate Trump's inability to govern.  It's a win-win-win for them. 

     

     

    *I am informed from my right-wing acquaintances that it is referred to solely as "Wall," without the direct article.  So in case you were wondering whether this administration was going to go full aggy, you have your answer.

    • Like 1
  2. 8 hours ago, gmr548 said:


     

     


    A Republican is not winning CO with Trump on the ballot, pro weed incumbent or not. It isn't like the D will be Jeff Sessions. It is the most likely flip, IMO. Generally agree with you on the rest.

    Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
     

     

    I agree with that assessment.  As things currently stand, Colorado is becoming pretty reliably Democratic and it would really surprise me to see Gardner hold that seat.  

    Maine is weird--it's New England, and so people think it's going to be like Vermont.  But you get away from the southern coast and it becomes real Trumpy real fast.  Seriously--that's the upper end of the Appalachians, and it fucking feels like it.  Even so, it would surprise me to see Collins (or any other Republican) hold that seat.

    Arizona--I really can't explain the decision to appoint McSally in that seat.  It really is like the GOP is trying to lose it.  She's going to get primaried, and it'll be a damned good argument to say "why would we nominate a candidate that couldn't win two years ago?".  And so are you going to get Kelli Ward out of it?  Or even if you don't--why would anybody vote for McSally in 2020 when they didn't vote for her in 2018?  What's her pitch?

    North Carolina is tough for all the reasons we're seeing in NC09 now.  The NC GOP is just straight-up crooked.  Tillis shouldn't win, but he probably will owing to just straight-up corruption and fraud.

    I think the Dems have a better chance in Iowa than they do in North Carolina, frankly.

  3. 8 hours ago, Mole said:

    Is this an ongoing problem? My Wikipedia level understanding of recent lynching history aligns with my perception: it really doesn’t happen anymore. In the most recent case, the murderer was charged with murder. If there’s a compelling reason to pass such legislation, have at it. Even if there isn’t a compelling reason, I don’t see why it would be harmful, but why are we talking about lynching?

    Let’s be honest, this is political grandstanding. How many cases in the past 20 years would have applied to this legislation?

    What am I missing here?

    In the current political environment, I am unwilling to say that there is no risk of lynchings in the future.  Not when you see the lengths to which Republicans are willing to go to suppress and defraud the black vote in states like Georgia and North Carolina.  

    And inasmuch as this is undoubtedly and uncontroversially the right thing to do, I can't fathom why anyone would spend even a nanosecond complaining about it.

    So you tell me--what am I missing here?

  4. 9 hours ago, OatmealRaisinCookie said:

    Maybe I don't get it, but isn't it redundant? Anti-lynching, anti-stabbing, anti-shooting, anti-suffocating are all murder which is already a federal crime? Are we just distinguishing the type of death to make a political/historical point so that a marginalized people feel good about it? If so, sounds good to me and good for them.

    No.  It's not redundant.  Unless a federal official is the victim, murder is not a federal crime.

    Murder is obviously a state crime.  The problem is that state prosecutors have been unwilling/unable to bring murder charges against the perpetrators of lynchings (in some cases, the prosecutors were part of the lynch mobs).  

    As to the constitutionality, look no further than the Fourteenth Amendment.

    • Like 1
  5. 2 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

    I don't think the suggestion is to send more or less troops. I don't even think people are completely against pulling out. I do think every rational person should be against leaving on an idiot's whim, without any advise or suggestions from the experts, and without any planning. 

    Thank you for synthesizing that.

  6. 57 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    There is no more perfect coda than that for the end of the Ryan era.  The perfection is actually kind of beautiful.

    And the government is shut down precisely because of the failures that underlie his entire speakership.  He could bring the CR to the floor and get it passed with 300+ votes.  But he's too much of a coward to do so and possibly incur the disapproval of the man-child in the White House.

    What an abject fucking failure.

    • Like 2
  7. 18 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

    Millions of lives. Billions of dollars. All wasted.

    Pulling out of Syria is a good thing. Fewer of our tax dollars will now go to killing innocent people.

    Even more innocent people will die.  And we'll end up spending even more in blood and treasure dealing with the consequences.

    • Like 2
  8. 16 minutes ago, American Swindle said:

    Orange man bad.  I get it dude.  He is a buffoon, but I support the buffoon's decision to pull out of Syria.  And you calling me a buffoon for communicated my support on this one issue is childish.  

    Anyway, the DSA libs should love this, isn't a common argument made by the DSAs go something like this: "If we cut military spending, we could pay for free college and single payer healthcare"? 

    oRaNgE mAn bAd...cAnNot cOmPuTe.

    You don't cut military spending in the long term by creating circumstances that make future military action reasonably foreseeable.

    • Like 6
  9. 1 hour ago, Goredho said:

     

    A man walks through an East Jerusalem market, and he spies a man he recognizes to be Satan near a stall selling sweets.  He encounters him, telling him that he needs to kill Satan for everything he has done to generate conflict in the world.

    Satan expresses shock.  "What have I ever done to sow discord on Earth?"  With that, he sticks his finger into a piece of kanafeh.  He takes his finger out and smears the sugary residue on the wall.

    A fly lands on the sugar.

    A lizard jumps up to eat the fly.

    The shopkeeper's cat leaps up to catch the lizard.

    A nearby Israeli soldier's dog grabs the cat and shakes it to death.

    The shopkeeper kicks the dog.

    The Israeli soldier shoots the shoopkeeper.

    By nightfall, riots have spread across East Jerusalem, and an intifada is declared.

    "What have I ever done to sow discord?" asked Satan.

    • Like 2
  10. Voters love when you spit in their eye. With AZ rejecting Trumpism a month ago, I think this is pretty temporary 
     

    Yeah—that’s a bad play. I’d put that in the “Lean Democrat” column right now just based on the incumbent.


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  11. This.  These are people who diverted FEMA funding to ICE.  You think they won't utterly fuck over veterans to serve their xenophobic dreams?
    lol_idi_amin.gif

    This gif will never fail to make me smile. There’s just something about the joy of a genocidal maniac....


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  12. 4 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    How in the world is McSally the preferred nominee appointee for McCain's/Kyl's Senate seat? 

    https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/14/politics/jon-kyl-resignation-arizona-senate/index.html 

    It's a joke if someone serves 2 years as Senator after the voters rejected her.   McSally should be considered the least likely candidate to serve.  The remaining 7 million Arizonans didn't recently lose so they all would be a better fit.  Pick one of them.

    Not to mention that Arizona should have been forced to hold an election in November for this seat.  No one should get a 2+ year appointment to the Senate.  Kyl shouldn't have gotten it in the first place.

    I'm surprised that Cindy McCain just doesn't take the seat.  There is no way the governor could say no if she made that request publicly.

    It's like they're trying to hand that seat to a Democrat.

  13. 4 hours ago, RayDog said:

    Kansas should be open and they elected a dem as governor. This should be an open seat with the most stupid Republican in Kansas running for it.

    I am also hopping Abrams runs in GA and makes it a race.

    Oh, shit--I forgot that it's Roberts up in Kansas.  That does change the calculus a bit, doesn't it?

    Surely he retires, though.

  14. 2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    ME, AZ, CO and NC and get the presidency. 

    That's the path.

    There are a couple longer shots that certainly aren't out of the question.  Iowa isn't as Republican as people think--3 of its 4 House seats are in Dem hands.  And Texas could be a swing state if Beto is on the presidential ticket and you have the right Senate candidate.

  15. Beto third place in Iowa without having done anything.  He'll win both the nomination and the general in a landslide.

    That’s where I am. He’s really in great position.

    That Bernie isn’t higher, despite having run in Iowa just four years ago, is telling.


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