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Codaxx

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Everything posted by Codaxx

  1. It can be a lot of things. Anything from the QB just missed, QB expected the WR to break at 10 and come back to 9 on his out and the WR broke at 10 and ended up at 13, to QB anticipated a different adjustment than the WR.
  2. We are not far apart. I just noticed the numbers and saw Manning to Wingo results as an anomaly and said I hope this gets fixed during the bye week, because it would dramatically help the offense. I wish I knew the answer. I certainly dont have the time to look into it. Perhaps @JBJ is on to something with the idea that Wingo is running more option routes
  3. I cannot argue that it simply is luck based on the sample size of 4 games. Worthy/Ewers had an issue I believe his second year. That was fixed the following year. Just might have been one of those anomalies. Like when a pitcher puts up an uncharacteristically high ERA and the answer is simply BABIP was high (ie the hits just found the gaps). I am just wondering why throwing to one of the most talented guys on the roster is one of the least efficient plays Texas is running and hoping it gets fixed during the bye week. I found DeAndre Moore's targets 2025 Season Targets Total Targets: 13 Total Receptions: 11 Receiving Yards: 115 at least that rules out the racist theory I do love your spin on things. It is always black and white, but that is your schtick. I do enjoy it
  4. When you see other starters catching 70% of their targets and 1 below 50%, it stands out. Perhaps I am overthinking it, but it seems incredibly simplistic to say Arch just throws bad balls to Wingo. There is obviously something off between the 2. I wish I knew the answer. Also wish I had the data on Moore as a comparison.
  5. I hate that play. When it works it looks so good, but it is also has been almost picked a few times. Tough play for the QB to see if the defense has sniffed it out
  6. That is complaint I see leveled at Sark occasionally. He does not run a college friendly offense. I dont have the playbook or ever been in a meeting, so I am just parroting. I believe Golden mentioned the issues he had learning the system. There are not a ton of easy spread offense stuff in there. Heard a lot of moving parts and adjustments to coverages. It is heavily influenced by the West Coast offense, so there are a ton of timing routes in there. I think that is part of the Wingo/Arch issues. There something going on there. Wingo is at 28 targets for 13 catches and 190 yards. That is 46% and 6.8 yards/target. Livingstone is 15 targets for 11 catches and 232 yards. That is 73% and 15.5 yards/attempt. Endries is 10 targets for 7 catches and 106. That is 70% comp and 10.6 yards/target. I am guessing there is fault on both side of the Arch/Wingo connection, but hard to figure out what exactly the issue is. I think getting that connection to viable level over the bye week would do wonders for the offense. (I found those targets using AI, so I am not sure they are 100% accurate. I could not find Moore.)
  7. I get it. A scale that essentially goes from 75 to 85 is just not intuitive. How much easier would it be for people if he went 1-10 on his rankings?
  8. This would be so much better if his grading scale made any sense.
  9. Strength of schedule is supposed to be emphasized this year. If Mateer comes back after this 3 game stretch and OU does well, the win is going to boost the Texas SOS. That is a fact, no matter how much Lucci bitches.
  10. agree. At least to me, elite is a very high bar. Anyone wants to say he a very good RB, I have 0 issues. Elite is different bar.
  11. I think he is solid. He has really good vision, but not a guy that maximizes runs. I think the recent IT review with Homer and Scip showed he was near the bottom of the SEC with under 1 yard after contact. Obviously small sample size and vs an excellent tackling team in OSU, but elite is a higher bar.
  12. Does not seem to be affecting the other TEs. I may have missed it, but I do not remember him getting a target this season. He is being used as a blocker and he is the most athletic TE on the roster. I love his willingness to be physical and take on a role that nobody expected from him. I would just like him to be rewarded for doing the dirty work. Your comment is probably more applicable to Wingo with 28 targets and 13 catches. That connection alone is 37% of Arch's incompletions. Hopefully, SHSU is the start of that being fixed.
  13. Towsend continues to be physical. This guy will be a beast before he leaves. Sark needs to reward him with a few catches. He is probably the most physical TE right now.
  14. It is Surly but I do not think people here will be overly concerned about the return of Michael Hawkins to the Cotton Bowl.
  15. UTEP ran a lot of 3 high vs Texas. Nobody has really come after Texas yet. OU might be the first one. Florida likes to run a lot of 2 high.
  16. I have Hero as the biggest surprise. Guy has an 84.2 PFF grade. That is #1 in the SEC among DTs. He was considered depth when he transferred. He is playing himself into an NFL draft pick. I would have Littleton and LeFau next. Perhaps, I had higher expectations for McDonald. He is exceeding them, but I thought he would good based on his play last year.
  17. I believe forcing this offense to string together 1st downs and score in the redzone is the best game plan. OSU showed the world the blueprint. UTEP borrowed it and had success. OU has a better DL, than OSU. Venables actually has run the 3 high defense before. I am more worried Venables does that. Coming after the offense and you are opening yourself up to Arch's legs and deep shots. I have more faith in Arch's ability to hit the long ball or break off some runs than to be consistent (for now). That said if they just whip the OL, it will obviously be very effective.
  18. Scip and Homer's thoughts.
  19. Key to beating Venables is to hit some explosive plays. You know he is going to have them slanting, stunting, and blitzing. It is hard to have sustained drives vs his defenses. You have to crease them when they are not gap sound. They will give you a few opportunities to hit big plays. I think Wisner had like 80 yards and 2 TDs on back to back plays last year. Justice Haynes had 75 yarder vs them last week.
  20. RB is better simply based on bodies. The fact that we can discuss who should be the 3rd RB means it is better. In some games last year Texas did not have 3 RBs available for games. LB- is the biggest improvement. You could argue they are the strongest unit on the defense and PK has not really unleashed Hill as a blitzer/pass rusher through 4 games (saw more of it vs SHSU). Defense being worse does not mean they will finish 40th in the nation, but it is not crazy to think they could finish closer 10 than 3 this year. What Texas needs from Arch can certainly change. Right now they need him to be a big part of the run game and throw the ball well. That changes if the OL makes takes some large steps. Also changes if the perimeter blocking gets sorted out and the screen game improves. We are only through 4 weeks of the football season. Right now every fan base has a rudimentary idea of their team. You can point to the potential strengths and weaknesses, but we really do not know how those will evolve over the course of the season.
  21. How did the running game look after OSU? Seems my concern about the OL and run game has spread since OSU. It may have been convenient, but it seems valid after 4 games. I could base that on your posts on Stroh and Flood after the SJSU and UTEP games. At no point did I say Simon should get the bulk of the carries. I said he looked the best with the ball in his hands (albeit a small sample size) and I would like to see him get more carries, but I have no idea on his pass pro. Yesterday I said pass pro could put Gibson over Simon as the 3rd RB. Defense maybe worse than last year. They finished top 3 last year, not a lot room to improve for the defense this year. My concern is at CB and in particular Guilbeau. We will see how he fairs vs better passing attacks. He was giving up 10 yards per target through 3 games (albeit small sample size). Yes, I always concerned about seeing the best version of an opponent. Guilty as charged.
  22. I should add. I am not worried about the Ark game. I am pushing back on the idea that Texas makes the playoffs, if Arch is just a game manager. I think Arch needs to be very good for Texas to make the playoffs. I think the run game and OL is worse this year and that leaves Texas with less options if the QB struggles. I am not sure the defense is better. I would like to see how Guilbeau holds up when someone with talent decides to test the secondary.
  23. Not really sweating that one. Probably 80% chance win there. Vandy has the highest chance of a home loss.
  24. Texas is game is Napier's last stand. Either Florida rises up and plays to their talent or they end up quitting on him. Going to be a strange one. Ark is all Green and their DC. The DC is one of those guys that will change his defense week to week for the opponent. The results are high volatile, but that has always given Sark issues in the past, like last year. I cannot see Texas losing that game, but there is the concern Green plays really well and makes it interesting. Texas already has 1 loss and 4 ranked teams left on the schedule, so there is not a ton wiggle room for an off game.
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