Yup. I know I’m a broken record, but Democrats really don’t need the 15 to 20% swing that we are seeing in some states. A 6 or 10% swing could reduce a republican bloodbath.
At this point, I think it is pretty well established that most voters only care about themselves and their own financial well-being. I don’t think Hispanics are gonna react as devotedly to the strong leader construct if their businesses are going broke and their families are having a hard time paying their bills.
If “it’s the economy stupid” is really the driver, then all of the demographic masturbation thoughts really don’t matter. I recently saw a bunch of interviews with young people before the 2024 election, and none of them really had any idea how anything worked, but all of them were feeling pressured and scared by poor economic conditions - high food and housing accompanied by employment difficulties and inability to own a home, crippling student loans, etc.
None of their responses had anything to do with political philosophy, and almost everything to do with their personal financial situation. I continue to pray for the deep recession that will cause massive pain to the country yet save our democracy.