Everything posted by BamaATL
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
The other aspect is that media, and parties themselves are well aware that the public are suckers for polls on anything, and seldom if ever does anyone actually look into things like methodology, who's doing the poll, who paid for it, etc. "We polled 3 people in the Utah desert about the CHIPS Act, and the results were shocking!"
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Problem is, we don't ever see the internal ones to actually see even post mortem how accurate they are. There is likely some truth to the idea that they miss on things as much as anyone else, but I'm betting they are pretty good.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Well having a prior child is just an indicator that a woman is familiar with sex. So she may not be familiar with whatever the hell it is I do.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I don't know about you, but I've been told no a lot in my life, but that doesn't dissuade me. Now comb your hair over and shoot your shot.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I was actually thinking earlier today that at some point, someone doing research at Chili's will do a Texas based websearch about mentions and stumble upon this thread with pure bewilderment. For some reason that made me very happy.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I'll be in Vegas on 26th, I wonder if the sportsbook will take wagers on sentencing.....
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I don't know if you are in the path of rain or not, but I imagine it will be a good day to take your son to a park and enjoy the fresh air, have a good day, and not stew on it. Just a thought anyway.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
The whole campaign has been busting their ass. Regardless of outcome, they deserve credit for all the hard work. If there is to be an ugly post mortem, the ground game won't be the issue. I've been extremely impressed with them, and if when we win tomorrow, this may well help own the Senate and House.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
You do gotta admit though, this is a strong challenge from a guy named @SizzleChest.
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2024 Presidential Election Prediction Thread
If Brisket doesn't get enough doomcasting in per day, he turns into a pumpkin. You have to give him some leeway, his health is at stake.
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2024 Presidential Election Prediction Thread
One more prediction to make, tomorrow, right around this time 9 EST/8 central, Georgia will be the first big shoe to drop, one way or the other. All the mail in and ev vote should have posted state wide by this time, and from there it will just come down to math against Atlanta. Analysts should not take very long to figure this against turn out.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Part of the reason I feel extremely confident in my Georgia prediction, they started suing in Fulton County early last week. They know, and they have known from their own internal numbers. Their only hope has been hail mary slow the pace efforts.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
My name is Blast Hardcheese.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Parent Company, Chili's
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2024 Presidential Election Prediction Thread
No I do not, but we've had em for 6 years. It starts for us almost 8 months out, so virtually non stop, for 6 years.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Forget all the election betting as an indicator. Brinker International Stock Price today is at $107.68, up $2.76 per share. Case closed.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Counter Argument - Sushi
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Well, on a positive note for the future he has the opportunity to redeem the name, and no one is going to remember who the fuck Vivek was in about a year beyond political junkies. Hell, 90% of Americans couldn't tell you who Vivek is now. The kid has a shot a carving a political future if he wants, he may just need to pick a more favorable district. This is clearly a young man with ambition, so I doubt he's a one and done kind of guy.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
We have one of these guys Sean Still, how is indicted for being a fake elector, running for state Senate here, and he's in a highly Republican area and likely to win. Interesting though, we have young guy named Ashwin Ramaswami running against him and spending money advertising against him. Ramaswami is all of 21 years old, but he's giving it a go. I highly doubt national money is going to this, and I do at least find Ramaswami's claim to be a successful small business man to be at least humorous (again he's 21 years old). There is, however and interesting aspect to this, the area that is being contested, while highly Republican, does have a significant and growing Indian population. I'm interested to see how that plays out.
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Early Voting Tracker- Elections Lab
When was the last time you had 4 million people vote prior to election day in Georgia? There is bound to be some level of statistical drift because what is happening is unprecedented. Also, nothing here is in a fish bowl or stagnant, we are one of the fastest growing areas in the country, so of course there is going to be drift in terms of demographics. However, if you want to believe that this all somehow driven by enthusiasm for Donald Trump in one of the most Democratic areas in the entire country, by all means. We will know in about 36 hours. One of us is right, one isn't, I concede my bias on this. I've made my call in the prediction thread, I did it on Saturday, and I stand by it. I could be wrong.
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2024 Senate Elections
I hope you are quick, the sumbitch runs fast.
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2024 Senate Elections
He's the walking embodiment of the danger of self hatred.
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Early Voting Tracker- Elections Lab
There is one other thing I sort of can't believe I didn't think to mention about South Fulton County as it relates to demographics, in particular white voters. About 100k of the white population is gay/LGBTQ community. That having been said, certainly not every member of the LGBTQ community will vote, nor will they all vote Democratic; but I'm gonna go ahead and wager that most of them will. So again, demographics by racial divide alone doesn't tell the entire story. I should say, I suppose one of the reasons that I am proud to be from Atlanta (though born and college educated in Alabama - family ties on that one) is that Atlanta's success has always been predicated on the idea of tolerance and acceptance of others. Is that always perfect? Certainly not. This in fact so normal, and has been my entire life, that I didn't even stop think of it as being somewhat exceptional earlier as it applies to this conversation. Basically, half of downtown is gay, and everyone around here knows that, and absolutely no one cares; which quite honestly is exactly how that should be in my opinion. So there's that.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Let me cheer you up. Donald Trump has under 48 hours in the remainder of his entire life to experience the joy of having hope.
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2024 Senate Elections
explaining this to those folks would be like trying to teach latin to your cat.