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Vegas64

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Everything posted by Vegas64

  1. Had a feeling this would happen to the pacers do shaved some of my holdings to hedge for OKC.
  2. The swings were wild.
  3. I've not seen that. Link?
  4. I'm not one to discount any probabilities or likely outcomes and concede you might be right, but as my therapist likes to remind me, feelings are facts.
  5. You started drinking at lunch didn't you?
  6. I saw you allude to the WWIII scenario in the other thread as well. What are you thinking as far as the cause-and-effect that could lead to a "near global catastrophe" as you say, because I'm not reading or hearing this from anyone who does these sorts of analysis for a living (yet, at least).
  7. Depends on how granular you are being. Israel can't do this without the strategic alignment it enjoys from the U.S. (along with the explicit approval historically for such things, money, investments, arms, etc.). Did Israel have to call Daddy America and ask for permission to go to the movies and say they will be back by curfew? I don't think that's necessarily true. Especially when you consider the following: 1) Trump sucks 2) Bibi and Trump are already kinda fighting in a petty frenemy way when Israel got rebuffed weeks ago during the UAE/KSA/ME tour and by dealing directly with Iran and Houthis. 3) It's been reported that Bibi thought Trump was being played (strung along by Iran) and he's too dumb to know it and didn't comply to a direct request from this administration to not hit Iran yet 4) The mutually assured destruction chess pieces Iran had are all nerfed to complete levels of ineptitude so there is no "get back" now with Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamas all being castrated. 5) Israel / IDF are some bad mother--watch my mouth! But seriously Mossad/IDF/Israel have shown some scary tight operational vigor for a country and population it's size. It's no wonder Wiz sold for $28 billion (j/k).
  8. Israel didn't do this with American good in mind. Is it an unintended benefit to American foreign policy? Sure. But lots of unintended winners and losers, as is always the case: KSA and UAE and Iraq will pretend to scowl but they’ll quietly cheer the knee-capping of Iran’s nukes (which they’ve long condemned as destabalizing to their oil money and region), Ukraine is happy in that it hurts Russian munitions/drones, O&G folks are gonna be happy. The funniest part is Russia and watching Russia try to keep a straight face when they condemn unilateral force and war on another sovereignity.
  9. Just read some pundits who think there is a chance that maybe Iran will now do a deal for sanctions relief, now that it's got a shambles of a nuclear program left to protect or leverage. Talk about "never split the difference". oof.
  10. sow*
  11. The point is that, as is mostly the case, two things are true at the same time. 1. Palestine, Israel, Hamas, etc. all have a sweeping history that spans decades if not centuries of conflict and 10/7 was just another in the long line of catalysmic event. 2. 10/7 absolutely kicked off this season of war- and it's turning out to be one of the largest pyrrhic victories in the conflict to date (as far as I can tell) in that it's playing out horribly for Anti-Israel factions of every stripe. So talking about life at and after 10/7 and analyzing from that angle isn't "tunnel vision" @Brian Fantana.
  12. Anyways...In a large epic story spanning thousands of pages, the plot is made up of scenes. Scenes drive the character(s) and the conflicts and the arcs therein. Not all scenes are weighted the same. The 10/7 was a massive scenic event that will go down as a huge event that set this powderkeg off again and one of the biggest events. But sure, let's just pretend that 10/7 wasn't a catalyst or a powder keg moment in history and minimize 10/7. I also pretend the Red Wedding wasn't a big deal in GoT.
  13. I think October 7th was the tactical error. It broke the tenous peace and invited a blowback that is still reveberating to this moment. And it's going horribly for the Anti-Israel faction of Hamas, Iran, non-peaceful Palestinians, etc. CEO of ADL had this to say about it and I generally agree with him:
  14. I mean, seriously. The epitome of poking the bear and FAFO in succession since that day.
  15. Because we live in a world of scarcity. It's truly that simple.
  16. From your mouth to God's ears because I could use the five large (and it would be funny as an anti-OKC fan).
  17. I just listened to a podcast interview with the CEO of Cursor. Wow. One of my friends just got a job with Windsurf AI which is hiring a ton right now in Austin in high-growth/scale mode btw if anyone wants on a rocketship IMO and is in the area.
  18. Vegas64

    "Bring it" songs

    I have a single "bring it song". It's very vulgar and visceral but speaks to me on an animalian and preternatural level. It's a song that you put in a "Break Glass in Case of Emergency" because you I can only listen to it if I'm really going to slide.
  19. For my money (and John Goodman is one of my favorite all-timers):
  20. $.36 (+$1000) let's go IND! Though I can't say I feel good about Indiana winning this series. This game felt like fools gold in that if OKC even plays 10% better and make some FT's they would have won easily. Just my opinion from what I saw. Plus knowing that the Nuggets had OKC down 1-2 and OKC still pulled it out isn't comforting.
  21. Myles Turner owns you Chet! Blouses!
  22. no flagrant!
  23. Saw this today and thought it was funny:
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