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Horn of Gabriel

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Everything posted by Horn of Gabriel

  1. Nice straw man fallacy. NO ONE is suggesting the California model. That doesn't mean the Texas deregulation model is perfect, as Uri showed. Our 25% lower rates than the nation have us with a working reserve of a few percentage points. The amazing free power of the market, which I am a believer in BTW, can't deal quickly with externalities like the storm. The way we have it setup with ERCOT actually dis-incentivizes production investment because the ideal spot for our grid is right on the edge of blackout. Unfortunately whether you believe in global warming or not, those edge cases are getting less edgy every year. How many times are you willing to keep rolling the dice? Keep in mind that literally hundreds of people died in Uri as a result of the power failing. I'm willing to pay more to harden the grid; maybe I'm the exception for that? Props to whoever recommended the Disconnect pod upthread - good stuff.
  2. I believe that TX and OU still have voting rights in the Big12, even on the new members thing. We just didn't have the votes to block it so why even bother? If you read the wording of when a school loses their votes its on formal notification of leaving, which IIRC is 18 months written notice. Assuming a negotiated settlement doesn't show up first, we'll put in written notification of leaving for summer of 2025 in winter of 2023. Until then, everyone knows the score publicly, but the reason UT and OU spokespeople have been very careful to talk about "remaining a member of the Big12" and "we're fulfilling our obligations as a Big12 member" is so not to provide lawsuit fodder in the other direction. On the sovereign immunity thing, can anyone cite any case regarding conference affiliation where any state institution relied on sovereign immunity to break a GoR unilaterally and without consequence? This seems like the message board realignment Macguffin, the magical answer that will solve all our problems forever! Except if it's so all powerful and wonderful, why hasn't it been used already? Why does literally nobody outside of message board randoms talk about it?
  3. You really think they'd move the Spurs to Austin? Is there any real evidence for that beyond message board speculation? In Austin they'd be trading one small market for another, even if Austin is growing at a faster clip it's still small compared to most of the NBA markets. Not sure what that move buys them vs. the ill will created by making it. Plus they'd be going into a city where they aren't the lone wolf anymore, since Austin has UT as the big dog and Austin FC as a successful pro franchise already vs. SA where they can and do bully the city and county as the only game in town. I just don't see it...Vegas, Seattle maybe, but Austin?
  4. At this point I don't really care how the PAC implodes, I just hope that it does so I can run, not walk, to Mandel's twitter to see him squirm.
  5. Yep. It sucks. And life isn't fair. Sometimes you get screwed even when you do everything right. But in the wise words of Marlo...
  6. Yep I get it. Still surprising he's not top 10 on our own team let alone Big XII
  7. Dumb question: where is our Heisman candidate running back?
  8. That's hilarious. Like you said the more things change the more they stay the same...1) Realignment is so terrible for college football, the world is ending, and 2) it's all Texas' fault! Give me a break. The clutching of pearls in the CFB media is hilarious.
  9. How embarrassing to play in one of the top venues in sports and only fill it up that much.
  10. That guys needs order a clue off Prime, 2 hr delivery
  11. Not even worth calling that journalism, it's an opinion piece and a bad one at that. 100% of that article is false.
  12. That's fine, because ND was never going to join the SEC. ND in the B1G is better for the SEC because... The status quo sucks. The PAC is better off dead. The ACC is a joke outside of Clemson who is rapidly fading. We already live in a B1G/SEC world. It's time to formalize it, create better in-conf matchups and get the realignment into 1-2 conferences done so that 1) a single seller controls all the media rights creating higher $$$ like the NFL and 2) we can re-divide the B1G/SEC into smart geographic divisions after relegating the Baylors of the world.
  13. Those ND fucks are going to stall this whole thing for a decade. One of the B1G or SEC needs to fund Clemson/FSU/NC to fight and break the GOR to kill the ACC. Once that happens and removes that ND escape hatch, the B1G can lay the pressure by taking Oregon and UW and a few others and leave no other options. Then, they leak the new B1G/SEC 8-team playoff proposal that freezes out ND. That is the only thing that will for ND at this point. Otherwise NBC will give them just enough to get by. The PAC, Big12 and ACC will figure out how to do enough to survive, establish a new 15 year GOR to freeze everything in place, then use lawsuit threats/anti-trust to preserve undeserved playoff access.
  14. Agreed, to get this back on recruiting, we need try to keep our Bama loss respectable and hold this class together, then stack 2-3 more top 3 classes to compete in the SEC. Otherwise we're Auburn with a cooler helmet.
  15. What the hell do we do against Will Anderson? Triple team while chipping with the RB and rolling Ewers to the other side every play? Hope those new OL have something
  16. The nightmare scenario here is that the Big12 or ACC poaches some programs and locks them up in another 10-year GOR, freezing this bullshit in place. We all know where this is ending up: the B1G and SEC with 20-24 members divided into geographical divisions, and the Group of 5 turning into the Group of 8. An 8 to 12-team playoff (8 may be more likely now with the Power 2) that has no more than 1-2 entries for the G8 and the rest for the P2. Let's just get there. Fuck Notre Dame for their goddamn independence bullshit - freeze their ass out of the playoff and let's see how they feel. Blow up the ACC GOR and get this shit moving. Don't make us wait in limbo for another 10-15 years, soaking like the Mormans.
  17. It's not about the state, the city, the market area or the DMA anymore. We're not living in the linear cable TV world. It's about the eyeballs the brands bring. If it were just about planting a flag in LA to "get the LA market," the B1G would only have taken USC and not UCLA.
  18. That might all be true, but I just can't see UW and Oregon swallowing their pride enough to join the Big12 w/ "lesser" schools in their mind. In their mind they are logo schools. We'll see!
  19. I think it's more likely that Oregon and Washington stay in the PAC and try to recruit Big12 teams to them than that they bail on the PAC for the Big12. Their preferred options have to be: Join the B1G Stay in an expanded PAC by poaching some Big12 teams Figure out some ACC/PAC merger? lol Join the SEC ... Join the Big12
  20. You got your edit in, good. The exemption that ND was going to get was under the old, not approved 12-team playoff proposal. All bets are off now. The suggestion that TV partners won't allow a playoff without ND makes zero sense. One of two things will happen: ND stays independent and leaves their rights with NBC who has zero juice to tell the B1G and SEC anything about how to design the playoff, or, ND joins a conference and this is a non-issue, they make more money, and the TV partners make more as well because they'll get ND into better matchups as well as the playoff.
  21. Viewership numbers suggest differently.
  22. The new G8 will probably consolidate down some if the supers go to 20 or 24, but actually relegation/promotion might be a bone to toss them that they could win their way into the supers? Fun to think about but doubtful it would ever happen because it would be too fun.
  23. Is there historical precedent for kicking teams out of a league? That seems much more difficult than a team making a decision on their own to leave to another league in their best interest. Feels ickier.
  24. 2 super leagues and G8 are more likely now than 4x16. I get why the new G5+3 would want AQs in the new world, they have a much easier path and then only have to win one game to get into the championship. It's just not realistic given the level of competition in the 2 supers vs. the lower leagues. You'd think the G8 would actually be advocating for expanded playoff now, not the other way around.
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