Everything posted by Horn of Gabriel
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Realignment talk not going away
Fair but the point wasn't about the money, it was the fact that LHN was going to exist in a world where the PAC wanted all the tiers of rights for the unified PAC network. The money was good enough for Texas and did end up being better than anyone thought, but it was also a poison pill to the PAC. And just happened to be engineered by a network with a lot to lose if Texas went elsewhere.
- Texas vs ou - 2:30pm on ABC
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The Fair on Game Day
Wait, wut? Tell me more about this mythical place...
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Realignment talk not going away
Eventually, yes. But probably I think the first step will be to continue to grow the pie before they change the size of the slices. The "grow the pie" strategy will first be via the B1G/SEC scheduling arrangement to create more TV-friendly matchups. Because no one cares about Indiana vs. Vandy, that scheduling alliance will focus on the big brands. The 2nd step will be the B1G+SEC either combining, or more likely co-negotiating their next TV deal. I don't think they'll merge in the next 15 years because they want to control their own destinies, but I could see them getting together to double their negotiating power, and cutting a deal similar to what the NFL did recently where they spread rights across everyone including streaming services like Amazon for a few games. The 3rd step will be tiering the revenue distributions. This will separate the Miss St., Vanderbilt, Indiana, and Purdue tier from the Texas, OU, Alabama, Ohio St. Michigan tier. They'll still be in the same conference but they'll be paid differently and justified on viewership. The B1G and SEC eventually turn into a AFC/NFC arrangement, and that holds up through other realignment moves like FSU and North Carolina because those brands aren't big enough to trigger the nuclear option of blowing up everything and creating a mega league like the Rudy proposal. This is the most likely outcome over the next 15-20 years because it's the lowest risk option. Maybe 20+ years down the road of being the AFC/NFC do the B1G and SEC eventually formally unify, but not before. What the sports media is missing in the reporting of the Rudy and other PE-backed proposals today is the risk component, they're only factoring in the increased revenue. Risk and control matters, a lot. Here is a list of why the Rudy proposal and those like it to create a unified mini-NFL won't happen: It's directly against the interest of TV rights holders by getting them to pay more for the same thing. Therefore they will work hard against it and pull whatever levers they have, just like ESPN sunk the PAC-16 by offering Texas up $300MM for the LHN knowing it was a poison pill for PAC-16. We'll see more of that. It's directly against the interest of the SEC and B1G administrators, who would be out of a job if a PE-backed structure gets put into place. No one at the SEC or B1G office is going to fight for this, in fact they'll work against it. As a result, if you're the PE group, you have to bypass the conferences and go straight to the university presidents. This is a notoriously fickle, risk-averse, and SLOW decision making group who doesn't really know about the business of college football. If you're a lifelong academic university president, do you trust the AD you hired and the conference commissioner you've known for some time, or do you trust this new PE suit who is showing up promising big bucks if only you change everything? Past evidence suggests strongly they'll choose the former path.
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Realignment talk not going away
Agree, I just think that they'll opt to go slower and retain control while slowly easing out the Miss St. and Purdue's of the world to a lower rev tier vs a big bang w/ PE where they invite the fox into the henhouse.
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Realignment talk not going away
True but I'm not sure how much bigger the money would actually be vs. the SEC and B1G doing 80% of this on their own. Because the other thing the conferences would have to give up may be as important as the money, which is control. Letting the PE fox into the henhouse is the ultimate short term thinking move, especially granting them the level of control over the sport envisioned in the Rudy proposal.
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Realignment talk not going away
Why would the SEC or B1G do this if they get 80% of it via a scheduling agreement, and don't have to give up 12.5%?
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NCAA Gets Rid of National Letter of Intent
This is the way. Revenue sharing will establish the floor. And some institutions floors will be higher than others although in the SEC and B1G it will be pretty close. NIL will be the ceiling, and Texas' ceiling will be amongst the highest in the nation.
- Coach Sark Press Conference 10.7 - 11:30am
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Longhorns in the NFL 2024
- Blastfurnace 2024
I just want the OU game to be partly cloudy and in the 70's is that too much to ask?- Mack Brown Tarheel Football: The Orange Slice Boogaloo
"I'll retire and go quietly after this next year."- 2024 TX/OU MSPaint/Gif etc Thread of Dominance
Favorite thread of the year- Who decided that a TD should be called a "Tuddy"?
Hark! The 4 certainties of life: Death Taxes The English language changing Older generations bitching about #3 Not to put pearls before swine here, but some of y'all fly rinks don't know your onions and are sounding like butter and egg men. Methinks you're keen as mustard to spend a fortnight on a load of codswallop. Unfortunately you've got your knickers in a twist over nothing and created a thread chock a block with bad assumptions - truly a dog's breakfast. Instead, go have a chinwag with someone younger than you, and if they're mad as a hatter and the conversation goes pear shaped and is giving you happy returns, tell them to put a sock in it. Otherwise, let's just take the egg and let's all get back to talking about having our flag out at a red onion and amorous congress between Mr. John's Goodfellow and Mrs. Fubbs' Parlor. with apologies to @Armybrat- Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
- What new UT gear are you looking to buy this year?
Love that hat. Unfortunately the New Era hats don't fit my head, i have a huge oval head and they're more for round normal-sized heads. I either have to size up and have goofy gaps over my ears where it flares out or size correctly and it's really fucking tight. The Nike team-issued fitted hats work well though. That's a sweet hat though.- 2024 Texas GameDay Stadium Experience Thread
Did they fly over today? If so I totally missed them- Tell me about ou
- CFB 9/27-28
Looks like UM is playing down and VT having their best game of the season. At least I won Army last night, house money etc- NCAA FOOTBALL IS BACK MFers
This is where we need that fake Surly newspaper screenshot that people post: "Surly's Derka Makes the Perfect Call - Computer Fails to Execute! Theories abound as to why, but experts agree the most likely reason is a deep and vast wide ranging conspiracy to cheat and screw Derka! EA executives did not comment for this article, but sources say that they are preparing an apology for their lack of programming competencies and plan to present it to Derka soon!"- CFB 9/27-28
Put your bets here... For Friday I'm taking Miami (FL) -17.5 vs. VT. Haven't looked at Saturday yet, my tradition is to do it in the morning. Any games y'all really like this weekend spread wise?- Georgia Game time announced - 6:30PM on ABC
Didn't we see data last year that the later you get in the day, the worse a game draws for TV on average? That's why we have "Big Noon" and not "Big Prime time" matchups. I'd expect the game to be 2:30p.- NCAA FOOTBALL IS BACK MFers
Yep. People who bitch about "the game is fucking me!" have definitely never watched actual humans play college football. 18-21 year olds do stupid shit and aren't robots and sometimes (gasp!) receivers don't cut off a route when the ball is mid-flight and the DB does, because the DB is facing the QB and the receiver may not be - this is not shocking behavior. You can bitch about all that, or do what I do, turn the game on Freshman mode and then every play is an actual touchdown and the game-within-the-game becomes "how much can I score?" I think my max so far on default Freshman settings is 138 or so that I put on OU. Of course that was with several pick 6's, onside kicking every time, etc. I had 3 receivers over 300 yards each and Baxter ran for 350. Trey Moore won the Heisman that season with about 70 sacks. Life is too short - why add extra frustration? Just turn off your brain and enjoy the fun of pounding OU and A&M by 17 touchdowns.- UNLV starting QB: fuck this shit, I'm outta here (check bounced)
Doesn't UNLV have an actual giant slot machine on their sideline that they use for celebrations when they score or get a turnover? This ship between Vegas and college sports has sailed.- Army @ Temple; 630 ESPN
Yeah Iām officially a sicko now - Blastfurnace 2024
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