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Horn of Gabriel

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Everything posted by Horn of Gabriel

  1. Staples said on the Feldman pod that it was likely to be structured as a sort of loan. You get $xxMM now and the PE firm wants 20% of your growth over $x/year going forward for a period of time. Kinda like a tax or Income Sharing Agreement (ISA). That gives a way to ADs to sell it to their president as "free" money with downside protection (if you don't grow you don't pay), and the PE firm is betting that the growth in college football is going to continue and they get a cut of it.
  2. ...said fans when the forward pass was legalized ...said fans when we went from leather helmets to modern equipment ...said fans when when conferences realigned the first, second, third, forth, fifth, and sixth times ...said fans when black players were allowed to play ...said fans when we started declaring a national champion AFTER the bowls and yet...here we are, college football still as popular as ever, even moreso.
  3. aggy wins to start the hype rollercoaster aggy_october_rollercoaster.gif
  4. The donkey show in Mexico sells out too, doesn't make it a good show.
  5. Any journalist who talks about NIL as part of athletic budget is either dumb or uninformed. It's not, anywhere, at least in the letter of current NIL law, and I think we'd hear about it here pretty quick if universities started funding NIL payments to players directly out of AD budgets. It's all 3rd party transactions and multiple 3rd parties coming together as collectives. Title IX is a big problem for schools outside of the B1G and SEC. If the House settlement involves them paying out rev shares to football, they're going to get hit with Title IX lawsuits for inequity if they don't balance that with money on the women's side. So $20MM becomes $40MM quick, and the ISUs, KSUs, and OkState's of the world can't afford that. That's why I think the rev shares will get paid out equally to any scholarship athlete to solve for Title IX, and the outside 3rd party NIL will be that differentiator. Now where things get really interesting is if the House settlement or near future NLRB or Federal action turns these students into employees. Then Title VII applies, which in this case is mostly about non-discrimination not equality. People in Sales/revenue generating roles generally make more than operational/administrative roles all day long. So in that case if Title VII is governing, the schools could bring NIL under their umbrella and raise and pay out money directly to employee-athletes at different rates legally. But which statute wins when they're both student AND employee? Title IX or VII? The law dogs will sort that one out...
  6. I think it is. I have a daughter and get the point of Title IX...women's sports have never received the level of investment of men's sports. That is _part of_ but not the only reason they aren't as popular. However t9 doesn't concern itself with popularity of a sport. It's about ensuring equal access for women and men. You can argue with a lot of truth that without Title IX we wouldn't have women's sports opportunities at nearly the level we do today - many, many universities would never invest in it while they were remodeling their men's football locker rooms for the umpteenth time. In a world where the universities are providing amateur athletes opportunities to compete as part of their education, that makes a ton of sense to me. There are also a lot of things that make less sense and unintended consequences: UT doesn't do men's soccer for example even though there are a ton of great players in the state - because we'd have to find more sports on the women's side. Only so much non-rev even UT chooses to support. The mirroring of sports makes sense: men/women's swimming/diving, m/w tennis, golf, basketball, baseball/softball. But then we get women's only soccer, rowing, etc essentially b/c of football which doesn't have a female counterpart. Title IX calls that an inequity that must be balanced out. Fair? Some say yes; but if we took football off the table a lot of women's sports would disappear too without the mandate of Title IX.
  7. It's kinda B.S. that they have to play in a public park and they have a point about the facilities differences. It's also true that they're mixing up correlation and causation with regard to NIL popularity.
  8. It doesn't/won't just like it doesn't today. But the revenue sharing system they're discussing as part of this proposal isn't private funds. It's money coming into the university system via the TV deals.
  9. Title IX doesn't give a shit about the market. The university level administrators and their Federal guidance are seeking "equitable" treatment for females vs. males from the university -> student. That's why we have a women's rowing team with literally dozens of fans that recruits any female willing to sign up on campus; so we can have the same # of scholarships for men and women. Doesn't matter to the government that there isn't an equivalent female sport to football...85 scholarships are 85 scholarships. Also won't mater to the government Title IX administrators that the market value of the starting QB is higher than the volleyball libero's...$1 to him has to be $1 to her (note: IF it's coming from the university) or it's not Title IX compliant... The only way I see to work this out is to pay everyone equal, and establish that as a "floor" to keep the schools from getting sued: "See, we're rev sharing with our athletes! And yes it's Title IX equal!" Then, keep the NIL collective structure in place to pay the market value out to those whose market value actually dictates it. Anyone dreaming all of this will end up under the school umbrella is wrong, there's just no way to manage it save a huge legislative overhaul at the Federal level which won't happen.
  10. Title 9 is going to fuck this whole deal. When the women's rowers demand to be paid the same as the starting QB, he'll sue for not getting his value. And they'll sue for equal pay. Rock and hard place.
  11. Orange shoes, will not buy
  12. July can't get here soon enough
  13. Trailer reveal livestream:
  14. LOL what is going on? I've never seen a TRO that says a Board can't go into closed session
  15. Wonder what they're including in the Heisman edition? Big launch is Thursday, probably find out then.
  16. The funniest thing about realignment putting the SEC fully under the ESPN banner will be Herbstreit trying to maintain his "I'm a real journalist, we're not biased in favor of anyone and its outrageous that anyone would suggest that" facade. What a pompous ass, shut up and go read the narrative the suits want you to read.
  17. That's awesome. In reading the thread I'm convinced that if this had all been in-person it would have been settled in 5 minutes over a conversation. Electronic communications are bereft of context and make people do unhinged ragey stuff that they'd never do in person. Giving the prof the benefit of the doubt for half a second, he probably felt pretty stupid walking out of the hearing and if he had any introspection at all realized that this was a tempest in a teapot of largely his own making. Hope he gains that insight. There's bumps in the road for us all, hook 'em.
  18. Here's the problem with dropping the small schools @Al_4_ISU hates because they got a unwarranted seat at the P2 table...conferences don't drop teams. What happens is the either schools choose to leave on their own, usually because they're de-prioritizing sports (U. of Chicago, Ivies), or the creme of the crop leaves to form up or join a new conference with others more like them (OU/Texas -> SEC, Big12 formation). There's a lot of legal mess with kicking a school out against their wishes, and no one wants to spend money and time on it when it's relatively easier just to take the top x% and leave to form a new shiny conference. But herein lies the issue: the B1G and the SEC members are kinda stuck now with the private equity guys circling. If the top teams leave the SEC/B1G to form something new and drop the Vandys of the world, it provides an opening for the PE groups to fill that vacuum. There's an old saying in the startup world "do you want to be King, or do you want to be Rich?" Startup founders often have to choose between the two and rarely do they get both (exceptions are Jobs and Zuck). Right now the SEC and B1G are both King and Rich. They could be (marginally) richer, but they are opening a yawning gap on the G7 conferences (American, CUSA, MAC, Sun Belt, MWC, ACC, Big12) already. Do they trade control for even more money? Why would they do it when they have both? I see an impasse unless they can guarantee the control they want, no high level team like Texas, Georgia, OU, and Bama want to get put into a gilded cage by PE overlords - too proud.
  19. The delicious irony will be when Shedder pisses off his teammates, which he will, and gets cut from a NFL team, which he will. Then one of them will hop on Twitter to write "Ion even remember him tbh. Bro had to be very mid at best."
  20. I selected on Monday and pretty much the entire lower West side was red/selected. We are already close to the 50 and under the shade of the upper deck so we're happy but had hoped to move up a few rows but no joy. I had been toying with the idea of the Centennial Club because my wife has trouble with the heat but our donation level doesn't get us there because so few seats free up there each year. LHF advised me to make a 1-time $25,000 donation to jump up to Date 1 selection to get a shot. Yikes.
  21. agree with all that but to be fair, Colorado had long since run off the cliff before Deion got there. In fact they had driven so far into the ditch that their admin decided the best way to get out was to turn to a grifter selling snake oil just for the spectacle. But like all grifters, it's a sham. He's selling a ponzi scheme with him and his son at the top. Everyone with a brain knows that he's gone as soon as his son is off to the NFL (e.g. after this season) and "God will call him to a different path." I don't care about that; if Colorado wants to whore themselves in that way go for it. What's sad for me is him pulling desperate players out of the portal to essentially prop up his son. He doesn't give 2 shits about Travis Hunter or anyone else beyond how it can enrich his family. Hunter will be fine on his talent alone but a lot of those other players aren't getting NIL, they were probably marginal P5 players at best that were lured in by the siren song of "playing for Dieon" only to realize once they got there that he doesn't know them, care at all about them, in fact they're just extras in his streaming reality show. He'll pop in every so often and make an impassioned speech for the cameras to stream on YouTube about player accountability between trashing former players or complaining about his jewelry getting stolen. It's sad for those players, they could have gone to a different/lower school and actually played on a real team vs. being part of the clown show. OTOH, they're adults with agency and no one forced them to go there so it's on them too.
  22. Money quote from the Yahoo article above: "...the ramifications of the new CFP deal are deep, as two conferences distance themselves from the rest with uneven revenue distribution. Schwarz, the economist, sees it a different way. “The new revenue model is not causing the separation, it’s a reflection of the separation,” he said."
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