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Park Gothic

Burnt Ends
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6041 Surly 1%

About Park Gothic

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  1. Would you rather be Team A or Team B: Team A made 20 red zone trips all season and scored on 19 of those trips - scoring percentage is 95%, good enough for second place in all of CFB in 2024. Team B made 100 red zone trips all season and scored on 80 of those trips - scoring percentage is 80%, sitting at 97th place in 2024. I hope your answer is Team B, because that's a team that probably made the CFP unless their defense was historically bad. Meanwhile, Team A finished third in the MAC. To me, "signal" means metrics that are related to a team's success, while "noise" are numbers that have an attention getting quality but don't actually mean anything. Red zone scoring presented as a percentage and rank feels a lot more like noise. Edit - actually, we don't even have to do a hypothetical. Would you rather be 2021 Texas or 2024 Texas?
  2. Is there an observer effect on Surly, where we can prevent these derails by calling them out beforehand?
  3. I'm not going back to look at USC or UW, but at Texas, here are the redzone scoring numbers: TD Scored FG Scored Combined Scoring National Rank 2021 35 (74.5%) 9 (19.2%) 44/47 (93.6%) 6/130 2022 36 (62%) 16 (27.6%) 52/58 (89.7%) 13/131 2023 31 (50.8%) 18 (29.5%) 49/61 (80.3%) 89/133 2024 44 (63.8%) 11 (15.95%) 55/69 (79.7%) 111/134 There's a lot more noise than signal here. Scoring in the red zone has really only been an issue for Texas in the last two seasons, which are ironically must better than Sark's first two seasons. So it seems like red zone scoring percentage is a poor proxy for overall program performance. It's also important that our scoring opportunities (i.e., trips to the red zone) have gone up every year, while the number of times we score has been "inconsistent" (although if I were charting this, the trend line would up). By inconsistent I mean lingering within a certain range, but jumping around erratically within that range. The ration of TDs to FGs has also been inconsistent. If we were only looking at national ranking, then we have consistently been getting worse, with a huge drop off from 2022 to 2023, and a significant drop off from 2023 to 2024. So there is a numbers based argument that scoring in the red zone is becoming an issue for Sark, especially in the last two years, but I think that isn't the full story or even really a meaningful way of looking at the numbers. In terms of raw numbers, we scored more TDs and settled for fewer FGs in 2024 than in any other year. in contrast, 2023 was our worst season for TDs and settling for FGs, while the scoring percentage was not significantly different. Maybe Sark is just going for it more, consequences be damned? Maybe he had less confidence in Ewers and Auburn, and tried to run it more from the red area? Again - I think there' s more noise than signal to this metric, and it seems more like something that pundits like talking about. The numbers just don't seem correlated, and I don't think it matters that much if your red zone scoring percentage isn't impacting your program performance.
  4. The audacity of saying this when the Quinn Ewers thread is just a click away.
  5. Actually this is an even bigger personal failing. JFK.
  6. that is a personal failing on your part.
  7. https://www.burntorangenation.com/2025/4/28/24419608/longhorns-daily-news-texas-steve-sarkisian-arch-manning-ea-college-sports-football-26-nfl-draft Longhorns Daily News: Texas’ Steve Sarkisian, Arch Manning decline EA College Sports Football 26 cover opportunity
  8. What a great opportunity to remind everyone that team went 1-9 that season. Apparently torturing your players isn't a great coaching technique.
  9. I think my bearings must be off - I thought he got pulled over closer to Whole Foods. If he was down by Star Bar then it's significantly dumber.
  10. It's been a while since I went bar hopping around the Don's Depot, but isn't most of the action west of Lamar down on 5th street? And even then, it's mostly busy before midnight? I've never seen that many pedestrians on that part of 6th. But again - it's been a while. Shit changes fast in Austin.
  11. Spiritually, they are very much still a Big 12 team.
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