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JBJ

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Everything posted by JBJ

  1. The way I see it is that losing the game will almost always cost you 4 spots (it's probably costing us 5 spots this year), and winning it maybe gives you two spots if SOS is an actual determinant. It starts to make sense to play an OOC game where you are a 7-point favorite (75% chance to win). So if you think are the best team in the nation, you want to schedule like a Pittsburgh at best.
  2. The main issue is scheduling. There is just no way to evaluate these teams, even for computer polls. The teams with the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 12th, 17th, and 18th least reliable data according to my model are: Ohio State, Tech, Indiana, Oregon, Miami, and Notre Dame. It's not a coincidence that these are basically all playoff teams not in the SEC. Dodging tough games is the entire system.
  3. I need some fun today after that rankings show.
  4. If it's Texas vs Michigan? Probably all of them: 1. SEC Championship: Georgia vs. Texas 16.63 Million Conference Title 2. Texas at Ohio State: 16.6 million viewers OOC 2. Tennessee vs. Ohio State 14.68 Million Playoff Game 3. Indiana vs. Notre Dame 13.39 Million Playoff Game 4. Georgia at Texas 13.19 Million Regular Season 5. Michigan at Ohio State 12.30 Million Regular Season Rivalry 6. Georgia at Alabama 11.99 Million Regular Season Rivalry
  5. We need to throw water bottles. Point me in the right direction.
  6. I thought I wanted to hear the committee explanation, but geez that's bad....in addition to those pointed out already, does he realize who Miami's losses are?
  7. People aren't thinking this through. They think it's a good game to play if you a have a 60% chance to win. It's still not.
  8. Playoff expansion will not help this issue.
  9. Hopefully we can get Longhorn-shaped Cheez-Its as a consolation.
  10. It's BYU, they shouldn't lose at all. I just use it as a corollary to show SOS/SOR. It puts the figures into numbers that any people can understand. The truth is the committee values SOR highly, and Tech's would be terrible with two losses.
  11. I still think Tech doesn't have the schedule to weather another loss. 2-2 vs Top 40 teams is a terrible look when all the bubble teams (except ND) have beaten more top 40 than Tech has played.
  12. What makes you think that exactly? Notre Dame hasn't proven shit.
  13. One is 3-2 vs Top 40 One is 3-2 vs Top 15
  14. But they moved up over aggy, so it's all good.
  15. They put us in the lowest spot that could possibly be justified.
  16. You have made like 6 posts here, all political. Go back to your hole.
  17. Or dump ND, which is the correct decision. Thread is freaking flying. I'm like the 3rd person to say this.
  18. Deja vu:
  19. It implies around 15%, but it's the movement that is intriguing. We started the day under 5%.
  20. Our FD odds are an exact mirror of Bama. So should we interpret that as Bama loses = we are in (according to the books)?
  21. My stance is that you can't name 5 active coaches better, and the ones you do name aren't available at all. So what's the point?
  22. Shhhh ...let the dude shoot his shot.
  23. Risk vs reward. It's mutually beneficial to cancel the game even if both teams expect to win.
  24. There are underwriting standards they adhere to. They don't perfectly split the money but they also can't set up positions against the money coming in.
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