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2022 Rain Thread


South Austin

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On 8/28/2022 at 9:12 AM, Wally Pryor said:

We were coming back from a soccer game in RR early evening. Saw this building to the west. Automatically assumed it would fade with the sunset. 

Not so I guess. 

Tournament?  Our match was stopped mid-match thanks to lightning and then Sunday games were cancelled due to soggy fields.

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1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said:

Build an ark. Or move to Arizona. 10 inches is nothing. South Austin's mom will tell ya t

River here is about 1 foot under its usual levels. It is spring fed, so that means the aquifers are suffering. 

Same here for the Comal. We ain’t had shit except for a quarter inch for a couple of days. Flow that was 271 (mean) last year on this date is now 124. And that’s up from earlier this month where it hovered around a 100. We need a lot of fuckin rain to drop here and in recharge areas of aquifer. 

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Things are going to stay wet for at least the next 5-7 days. 

p168i.gif?1661860318

 

And some of the rivers are beginning to rise ever so slightly.  It's a good sign that the ground is finally saturated enough for run off.  I'd love for this map to verify. 

image.png.376ab6449df3b0246497ea1085cd5d93.png

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1 hour ago, Hate said:

Things are going to stay wet for at least the next 5-7 days. 

p168i.gif?1661860318

 

And some of the rivers are beginning to rise ever so slightly.  It's a good sign that the ground is finally saturated enough for run off.  I'd love for this map to verify. 

image.png.376ab6449df3b0246497ea1085cd5d93.png

Thanks Hate. What's the link for the top map?

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22 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

I don't think I've ever seen such a consistent 15-day forecast.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/15e42cf0d1698d199d5a55b9570d570c3936042c702535298c1c8545e2a9f477

Within 2 or 3 degrees of 88/75, 85% humidity and 58% chance of scattered showers every day from here to eternity.

The humidity will suck, but I'll take the high 80s and a chance of rain for an 11am kick off on September 10.

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39 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

I don't think I've ever seen such a consistent 15-day forecast.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/15e42cf0d1698d199d5a55b9570d570c3936042c702535298c1c8545e2a9f477

Within 2 or 3 degrees of 88/75, 85% humidity and 58% chance of scattered showers every day from here to eternity.

 

Which means... it's never going to rain again.

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Here is what the soil moisture for Central Texas looked like before today.  I think this only updates once a day so it will be interesting to see what it is tomorrow or when it updates next. 

image.thumb.png.bd377168eb7ea4009c29381c5abba70b.png

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40 minutes ago, Hate said:

Here is what the soil moisture for Central Texas looked like before today.  I think this only updates once a day so it will be interesting to see what it is tomorrow or when it updates next. 

image.thumb.png.bd377168eb7ea4009c29381c5abba70b.png

having no idea what the fall is supposed to look like, getting a head start in late august and beginning of september with the mild and cold months ahead of us has to be a good thing.

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Some weather models are seeing an intriguing trend for Texas next week.  There is potential for a dying hurricane in the Eastern Pacific to be caught up in in front and all of the moisture from it being dragged across Texas.  This setup has the potential to be a big rainmaker for us.  A similar setup led to the floods in October of 1998, although that was actually moisture from two dying hurricanes.

ecmwf_apcpn_us_64.png

gem_apcpn_us_40.png

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The scattered showers bit is really getting old.  Fox 7 showed the rainfall amounts for the month and year to date for Mabry and ABIA.  0.70" behind Mabry and 2.8" behind ABIA for this month and right at 5 inches for the year (making it 11" below normal) and I'm less than 20 miles from both.  The cracks in the ground are just as bad now as they were in July.

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