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Joe Biden 2023: The Dark Brandon Rises


StassneyHorn

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9 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Indies win or lose you elections though, especially in swing states. 

-48 overall
-33 on abortion
-31 on SS/Medicare
-17 on the economy
-27 on inflation

I'm just saying I doubt Congress is ever not significantly underwater with independents.

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37 minutes ago, Js1 said:

These are not winning numbers for republicans. Indies are not happy with them

 

Don’t worry, the fear machine will start in about 6-8 months to get those voters back, caravans will be back on national spotlight 

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On 4/13/2023 at 12:17 PM, shakahorn said:

The rule of the game is whoever wins the electoral college, not whoever gets the most votes.  A more accurate analogy would be if a football team outgained its opponent but still lost.  Sure you did better in a metric that should have gotten you more points, but ultimately, you didn't score more points.

 

The team that wins the world series is not necessarily the team that scores the most runs.

 

 

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Who exactly is changing their minds over Dobbs? Anyone who voted for trump or refused to vote Biden aren’t going to be swayed by Dobbs. Either they support it or will be swayed by the next wedge issue. 

Wisconsin Supreme Court race and Kansas ballot initiative show the power and staying power of dobbs.


No minds are changed. The number of inclined to vote for candidate/party X stays largely the same.
The name of the game is turnout. Which group is more motivated to actually show up and vote?
On issues, the GQP is motivating plenty of opposing votes.
BUT…they’re also motivating their deranged cultish base.

Trump is going to be the nominee. That’s a done deal, nobody else can win the GQP primary if he’s in it. So, what will that do for turnout (which also has downballot implications)? That’s the only question that matters.

Also….Biden coming out to the Dropkick Murphys is one of the best things I’ve seen in years.
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2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

Trump is going to be the nominee. That’s a done deal, nobody else can win the GQP primary if he’s in it. So, what will that do for turnout (which also has downballot implications)? That’s the only question that matters.

How would a possible recession affect turnout?

Edited by David Dennison
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1 hour ago, David Dennison said:

How would a possible recession affect turnout?

Not well for the good guys.  Dampen enthusiasm among Biden voters, encourage and energize those who hate him because he's a marxist communist socialist who did everything wrong and caused a global recession to happen.

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18 hours ago, Bama Chick said:

This is awesome.
 

 


54881a7947623b776050a50a5b72ccc8.jpg

 

 

7 hours ago, Horn Under a Bad Sign said:



The vibe difference between this and what Trump was getting during his airing of the grievances speech at the NRA convention at the exact same moment is astounding.

 

 

 

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While I certainly and personally respect his decision not to drink, the only thing that coulda made that entry more fucking boss than it already was is if he chugged a can of Guinness and then smashed it on his head.  

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7 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

No minds are changed. The number of inclined to vote for candidate/party X stays largely the same.
The name of the game is turnout. Which group is more motivated to actually show up and vote?
On issues, the GQP is motivating plenty of opposing votes.
BUT…they’re also motivating their deranged cultish base.

GQP got what they wanted with the abortion ban, and they are pushing for more, and they weren't enough in 2020 so....they are definitely helping the Dems.

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Not well for the good guys.  Dampen enthusiasm among Biden voters, encourage and energize those who hate him because he's a brain dead moron that can't even walk who is also a mastermind that caused a global recession to happen and can control gas prices.


Fify
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I think some minds actually are changing. Specifically, middle class and upper middle class white women who’ve generally voted Republican because they thought the GOP was just using abortion to drum up votes. And they figured that even if Roe was overturned, THEIR daughters would still be able to get an abortion, so who cares? But with the GOP passing full and 6-week bans and going after mifepristone nationwide, the leopards are eating their faces now and they really don’t like it.

Edited by wildcat09
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8 hours ago, David Dennison said:

How would a possible recession affect turnout?

I don’t think it will hurt as much as some people think. The 2008 financial crisis or what I call the “bush recession” was an electoral wipe out for republicans. The 2008 recession was by far the worst one since the Great Depression. Everyone was feeling the pain. Businesses were in bad shape, really hurting and nobody could find a job. There was 3 million openings and probably 8-10 million people applying for those scarce jobs. Unemployment was around 8% with an under employment rate of about 20-25%. 

if a recession hit now, things would be different. Businesses are raking in record profits. Job openings are at 9.9 million and unemployment is 3.5%. Worst case scenario seems to be a 4.5 or 4.6% unemployment rate by the end of the year which is still pretty good. If you spread that 1% gain in unemployment about evenly all over the country I don’t think it would make a huge dent in things. Nearly everyone says a recession would be mild if it struck and I believe it.

the last few years the American electorate has impressed me from a nationwide perspective. We laugh at the idiots here in Texas who vote R no matter what. They support people who go after gays and transgenders instead of doing things that would help everyone like expanding Medicaid or legalizing pot. The voters made the right choice in 2018,2020, and 2022. I think we would win again next year. People know inflation is the hang over from the pandemic and not Biden’s fault. It’s a worldwide problem.

Edited by Voldemort86
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21 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

GQP got what they wanted with the abortion ban, and they are pushing for more, and they weren't enough in 2020 so....they are definitely helping the Dems.

They never "wanted" an abortion ban, they literally give zero shits about abortion or "the babies," none of them do, they only care about it as a wedge issue to muster votes among idiots, and its worked for 50 years. It'll still be a wedge issue "if you vote dem they'll start killing babies again." They. Don't. Care. Either. Way.

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This is pretty amazing. Biden needs to beat Trump or the Republican candidate over the head with this in 2024.  In 8 months, more than 200 billion dollars in new tech investments have been announced. 

 

From the article:

"Companies have committed more than $200bn to US manufacturing projects since Congress passed sweeping subsidies last year, as president Joe Biden’s effort to spark a new industrial revolution gains momentum.

The investment in semiconductor and clean tech investments is almost double the commitments made in the same sectors in the whole of 2021, and nearly twenty times the amount in 2019, according to data compiled by the Financial Times.

While the FT identified four projects worth at least $1bn each in these sectors in 2019, there were 31 of that size after August 2022. There has been more than $40bn in planned capital spending since the start of the year. Asian giants LG, Hanwha, and LONGI have all announced deals in the past month, taking total large-scale investments to $204bn on April 14.

“We see right now the tectonic plates are shifting with respect to investment in the United States,” said US energy secretary Jennifer Granholm this week, referring to the surge of investment in recent months.

The Inflation Reduction Act, which became law last August, includes $369bn of tax credits for clean technologies as the Biden administration of pledges to decarbonise the US economy. Another law passed last August, the Chips and Science Act, includes $39bn in funds to stimulate semiconductor manufacturing and $24bn worth of manufacturing tax credits. Both are also designed to break US dependence on Chinese supply chains."





https://www.ft.com/content/b1079606-5543-4fc5-acae-2c6c84b3a49f

Edited by Horn Under a Bad Sign
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52 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

10 years of rosaries.  You know, I’ve done ten years of rosaries.  Did them like you’ve never seen.  Some people are saying it’s the best decade of rosaries ever.

But a lot of people don't know that I'm such a savvy businessman and President that I actually completed the decade in just 4 years.  Very quickly, much rapidly, very quick, but very efficient.  A decade done in 4 years.  Never been done before.  Not possible, is what they said.  Many people were saying you couldn't do it under 10 years, maybe 9 if you were lucky.  But with my skills and best talents and other things of that nature, did the decade of Rosary in 4 years.  Very fantastic.  Even the pope was saying, 'my god, how does this guy do this.  he's the best.'  

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I think some minds actually are changing. Specifically, middle class and upper middle class white women who’ve generally voted Republican because they thought the GOP was just using abortion to drum up votes. And they figured that even if Roe was overturned, THEIR daughters would still be able to get an abortion, so who cares? But with the GOP passing full and 6-week bans and going after mifepristone nationwide, the leopards are eating their faces now and they really don’t like it.
That's my experience with women in Lakeway. It was always whores and blacks having chronic abortions and a lot of " I never thought it would happen to us".
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Biden may announce reelection bid tomorrow. The US president will reportedly debut his reelection campaign in a video message as soon as Tuesday. If elected to another four-year term, Biden would be 86 at the end of his White House tenure, older than any other president in history by far.

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U.S. import prices in March 2023 had largest over-the-year drop since May 2020

APRIL 21, 2023

U.S. import prices fell 4.6 percent from March 2022 to March 2023. This was their largest over-the-year drop since import prices declined 6.3 percent from May 2019 to May 2020.

https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2023/u-s-import-prices-in-march-2023-had-largest-over-the-year-drop-since-may-2020.htm

 

U.S. export prices down 4.8 percent from March 2022 to March 2023

APRIL 24, 2023

Prices for U.S. exports decreased 4.8 percent for the year ended in March 2023, the largest 12-month decline since a 6.7-percent drop from May 2019 to May 2020. Agricultural export prices declined 2.3 percent over the past year, the first 12-month drop since August 2020. The 12-month decrease in March was primarily led by lower prices for soybeans, wheat, corn, and meat.

https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2023/u-s-export-prices-down-4-8-percent-from-march-2022-to-march-2023.htm

 

 

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Biden wins running away. Overall America has never been better or stronger than it is today. 

I don't discount that some people are struggling. But there is also someone always struggling. It's impossible for 100% of the population to be thriving. Biden should acknowledge that the inflation was a nature consequence of long term policies from 2008-21. Maybe even before 2008.  It's unfortunate but the economy is resetting and going in the right direction.

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13 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Biden wins running away. Overall America has never been better or stronger than it is today. 

I don't discount that some people are struggling. But there is also someone always struggling. It's impossible for 100% of the population to be thriving. Biden should acknowledge that the inflation was a nature consequence of long term policies from 2008-21. Maybe even before 2008.  It's unfortunate but the economy is resetting and going in the right direction.

I agree he wins in a landslide, but to the bold:

Happy Excuse Me GIF

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4 minutes ago, HamsterHookah said:

I agree he wins in a landslide, but to the bold:

Happy Excuse Me GIF

I think we are easily better/stronger than we've been in 20-30 years. 

We are back to acting like we are a world leader.  We've been putting Russia in its place in a way we haven't in the past few decades - even as their leadership and state spokespeople talk about nuking us, and even as they work on turning Americans against Americans we continue to supply Ukraine and apply sanctions to them.  We are also moving away from relying on China, even if it's slow-going - something we should have done years ago, but that didn't come into focus until the past few years.

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27 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I’m voting for Biden. If he dies, I’m voting for Harris. Or whoever. The republicans and that “platform” couldn’t put up a single person I would ever vote for. 

That's what it comes down to. I'm happy to vote for Biden. I'm not ecstatic about Harris, but if my alternative is the Republican Party, then I'll vote for Harris 8-9 times (that's a joke, Kari Lake). When one party literally says there's nothing we can do about mass shooting and instead focuses on book bannings and drag queens... yeah, I'm going with the adults in the room.

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33 minutes ago, HamsterHookah said:

I agree he wins in a landslide, but to the bold:

Happy Excuse Me GIF

Point to a time that America was better than today? For some reason, it's become cool to say America sucks.

And don't point to 1950 when the rest of the world was either 100 years behind us or rebuilding from war. We can't stop other countries from growing and succeeding, and that isn't a bad thing.

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35 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Point to a time that America was better than today? For some reason, it's become cool to say America sucks.

And don't point to 1950 when the rest of the world was either 100 years behind us or rebuilding from war. We can't stop other countries from growing and succeeding, and that isn't a bad thing.

Roaring '20's

50's postwar

2010-2020 (not sure the name of that decade)

Off the top of my head.

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I think he beats Trump pretty easily. On the flip side, I think DeSantis would be favored over Joe. The age thing will be a big issue, and honestly I don't think that's out of bounds. How many people in their mid-80s do you know who are energetic and 100% sharp?

I guess nobody trusts Kamala to get it done? I don't know a ton about her, but she must be a dud behind the scenes or something.

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