Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted
7 minutes ago, Slacks said:

Man... If we hadn't lost to UF, I'd be in this... But we lost to UF.

If we had scheduled Wyoming for our first game, we could have lost to UF by 30 and still be safely in the playoffs.

  • Hook 'Em 5
  • Haha 1
Posted
5 minutes ago, JBJ said:

We certainly gave the committee something to think about.  Have the feeling we will be last in or first out. 

If the corporate overlords have their way, Texas will be in because corporate overlords like money.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
Just now, LTtxfan said:

Horns might need to move to #10 to be in playoffs...  at least 1 team from ACC has to be in + a Group of 5 team and both might not be ranked in the top #12

That’s the biggest crime of all. A group of 5 over this team is bullshit. The ACC is a joke. We’ll be at home, even though we would be favored over half the teams in the playoffs.

Posted

Sponsors and networks about to start whispering in some ears. The committees decision on texas, whatever they decide, will have lasting effects on scheduling in college football. 

 

They can't leave us out and then next year say, ok now strength of schedule really really matters. 

 

My take. We are in regardless of what happens tomorrow. We are going to jump some folks. 

  • Hook 'Em 7
  • Like 1
Posted
14 minutes ago, TXpride said:

Unless there's a ton of chaos tomorrow, we most likely aren't getting in. If that's the case, all big OOC games need to be canceled the day after the playoffs are announced.

Nah.

Posted
3 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

If we had scheduled Wyoming for our first game, we could have lost to UF by 30 and still be safely in the playoffs.

Sub Wyoming for Syracuse and you have a point. If we played Wyoming, Texas would have been punished for playing 4 mid-majors

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
1 minute ago, UTGrad98 said:

Sponsors and networks about to start whispering in some ears. The committees decision on texas, whatever they decide, will have lasting effects on scheduling in college football. 

 

They can't leave us out and then next year say, ok now strength of schedule really really matters. 

 

My take. We are in regardless of what happens tomorrow. We are going to jump some folks. 

The for-profit entities involved really want Texas in the CFP.

  • Like 1
Posted
3 minutes ago, UTGrad98 said:

My take. We are in regardless of what happens tomorrow. We are going to jump some folks. 

I agree. Texas with media darling Arch Manning playing well will be too good to pass up.

Posted
That’s the biggest crime of all. A group of 5 over this team is bullshit. The ACC is a joke. We’ll be at home, even though we would be favored over half the teams in the playoffs.
It's never been about the best 12 teams.
Posted
1 minute ago, Horn Dogg said:

I agree. Texas with media darling Arch Manning playing well will be too good to pass up.

Also they seriously have to take into account teams just completely abandoning any real OOC games.  Those games are big time money makers.  If every team decides to be like the worst turds of the SEC and play the Sisters of the Poor for their entire OOC schedule, boy that really hurts the pocketbook.  Also makes the sport much lamer, if they care about that at all.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
4 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

If we had scheduled Wyoming for our first game, we could have lost to UF by 30 and still be safely in the playoffs.

Exactly.  I don't understand why some people aren't getting this.

You don't schedule Ohio State so that you don't risk blowing 1 of your 2 mulligans early.  There is no upside and significant downside risk.

Everyone will stop scheduling anyone in the top 50 in September immediately if we get left out, and rightly so.  It's bad for college football to only look at the loss column. 

 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted

Good bounce back after looking dead in the water after the Florida loss. The committee basically uses the old BCS rankings and they can't shake the loss column even if 2 losses are to the #1 and #3 teams in the country. Only way a 3 loss team gets in would be total chaos tomorrow - like 6 upsets. All I want is for LSU to somehow upset ou.

  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
1 minute ago, Drifterwood said:

I’m not getting excited until 3 out of the four of Michigan, OU, Bama and Vandy lose

Vandy has no business being ranked as high as they are even with only 2 losses. Zero impressive wins

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted

I know I’m looking at this through burnt orange glasses, but the “cancel marquee non-con games if Texas gets punished for losing to Ohio State week 1” argument holds a lot of water. Those games are huge money makers for the networks. Much more than Texas-Rice or whoever. If we really lean hard into threatening to cancel the Ohio State game next season, the Michigan game in ‘26, and the Notre Dame series, the corporate overlords will get really spooked about the potential domino effect

  • Hook 'Em 4
  • Like 1
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
Just now, GTX Horn said:

I know I’m looking at this through burnt orange glasses, but the “cancel marquee non-con games if Texas gets punished for losing to Ohio State week 1” argument holds a lot of water. Those games are huge money makers for the networks. Much more than Texas-Rice or whoever. If we really lean hard into threatening to cancel the Ohio State game next season, the Michigan game in ‘26, and the Notre Dame series, the corporate overlords will get really spooked about the potential domino effect

Hell we may not be the side that cancels them. You may see a " Texas and Notre Dame have mutually decided to cancel their home and home series" and it may be Michigan or Notre Dame who calls first. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, GTX Horn said:

I know I’m looking at this through burnt orange glasses, but the “cancel marquee non-con games if Texas gets punished for losing to Ohio State week 1” argument holds a lot of water. Those games are huge money makers for the networks. Much more than Texas-Rice or whoever. If we really lean hard into threatening to cancel the Ohio State game next season, the Michigan game in ‘26, and the Notre Dame series, the corporate overlords will get really spooked about the potential domino effect

My god, if we could actually make the BOMC a reality right after beating aggy and it gets us into the playoffs, lulz...

Maybe we get the 12-seed, take out the 5-seed on the road, and get 4-seed aggy again in the second round and break their hearts again...

Edited by TexArcher
  • Hook 'Em 1
  • Like 2
Posted
5 minutes ago, GTX Horn said:

I know I’m looking at this through burnt orange glasses, but the “cancel marquee non-con games if Texas gets punished for losing to Ohio State week 1” argument holds a lot of water. Those games are huge money makers for the networks. Much more than Texas-Rice or whoever. If we really lean hard into threatening to cancel the Ohio State game next season, the Michigan game in ‘26, and the Notre Dame series, the corporate overlords will get really spooked about the potential domino effect

As they fucking should. 
Aggy has played Georgia once the entire got damn time they’ve been in the SEC and never since 2019. We shouldn’t be punished for losing on the road to easily the 2 best programs in the country. Treat Texas like a 1 loss team and shit looks a lot more reasonable. ND, BYU, OU - GTFO 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
8 minutes ago, GTX Horn said:

I know I’m looking at this through burnt orange glasses, but the “cancel marquee non-con games if Texas gets punished for losing to Ohio State week 1” argument holds a lot of water. Those games are huge money makers for the networks. Much more than Texas-Rice or whoever. If we really lean hard into threatening to cancel the Ohio State game next season, the Michigan game in ‘26, and the Notre Dame series, the corporate overlords will get really spooked about the potential domino effect

Yep, go fucking play a home and home with fucking Purdue. Indiana benefits from it.

Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, JBJ said:

We certainly gave the committee something to think about.  Have the feeling we will be last in or first out. 

Can you or someone else put together the games of note for tomorrow? What results benefit/hurt?

Edited by BurntOrange&White
Posted (edited)

OSU at Michigan #15

Texas Tech #5 at WVU

OU #8 vs LSU

ND #9 at Stanford

Alabama #10 at Auburn

BYU #11 vs UCF

Miami #12 at Pittsburgh

Vanderbilt #14 at Tennessee

 

Three of LSU, Stanford, Auburn, Tennessee, and Pittsburgh have to hit for us to feel real comfortable. I am not concerned about Tech/BYU. Tech should easily win the rematch and eliminate BYU, but either one of them taking another loss before their rematch would leave no doubt that the Rig 12 is only getting one in.

Edited by HtownHorn
Posted (edited)
18 minutes ago, Drifterwood said:

I’m not getting excited until 3 out of the four of Michigan, OU, Bama and Vandy lose

But the committee can change its mind.  I predict Michigan to lose by at least 14 points, so that leaves Bama and Vandy, because I don't think Sooners are losing.  All the committee has to do is say look at head to head.  Texas beat both Vandy and OU, so Texas is automatically ranked higher.  There's the path to us moving ahead of three teams.   Then they can ask the question, "How many top ten teams did Alabama beat, vs how many did Texas beat?   We win that contest, correct, even if Alabama beats Georgia.  

Edited by JGrayDBU
Posted
1 minute ago, JGrayDBU said:

But the committee can change its mind.  I predict Michigan to lose by at least 14 points, so that leaves Bama and Sandy, because I don't think Sooners are losing.  All the committee has to do is say look at head to head.  Texas beat both Vandy and OU, so Texas is automatically ranked higher.  There's the path to us moving ahead of three teams.   Then they can ask the question, "How many top ten teams did Alabama beat, vs how many did Texas beat?   We win that contest, correct, even if Alabama beats Georgia.  

If Alabama beats Georgia next week they win the SEC, we don’t win that contest. 

Posted (edited)

We’re not getting in. It is what it is. Don’t lose to fucking 4-7 Florida or get blown out by Georgia and we’re not in this position.

Has nothing to do with Ohio State. YALL in here saying don’t  schedule Ohio States are so fucking pathetic and soft and probably the reason we’re have this soft ass mentality around here

 

Have a good morning 😬

Edited by D3zii
Posted
3 minutes ago, HtownHorn said:

OSU at Michigan #15

Texas Tech #5 at WVU

OU #8 vs LSU

ND #9 at Stanford

Alabama #10 at Auburn

BYU #11 vs UCF

Miami #12 at Pittsburgh

Vanderbilt #14 at Tennessee

 

Three of LSU, Stanford, Auburn, Tennessee, and Pittsburgh have to hit for us to feel real comfortable. I am not concerned about Tech/BYU. Tech should easily win the rematch and eliminate BYU, but either one of them taking another loss before their rematch would leave no doubt that the Rig 12 is only getting one in.

It really comes down to just LSU and Auburn. Texas will jump Vandy, but they won’t jump OU or Alabama unless they lose. 

Posted

If we aren’t in, then the only way to have overcome a bad loss, on the road even, would have been to go 4-1 against the top 10. Is that a reasonable ask, when aggy will probably get a bye for going 1-0 against the worst top 10 team?  Anyone else play a 5 team group like we have?

sometimes your schedule dooms you from the start, might be the case here.  Which would be all the impetus needed to lose the good non con matchups. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted

There are a couple of factors that have to be considered and the committees decision will impact behavior. Leaving Texas out will have a chilling effect on marquee matchups in OCC, leaving out a team that loses a conference championship game will diminish the importance of those games, bumping a 1 or 2 loss Big 12 or ACC second bid will further push the sport to big 10, SEC and ND. We’ll see how the cards fall but at least Texas FINALLY passes the eye test because when the dust settles I think that was the biggest criticism of this team.

Posted
Just now, D3zii said:

We’re not getting in. It is what it is. Don’t lose to fucking 4-7 Florida or get blown out by Georgia and we’re not in this position.

Has nothing to do with Ohio State. 

 

Have a good morning 😬

You’re missing the entire point.  A 10-2 Texas is 100% in based on Notre Dame, BYU and Utah being ranked ahead of Texas despite winning zero meaningful games between the trio of them. 

  • Hook 'Em 4
Posted
1 minute ago, D3zii said:

We’re not getting in. It is what it is. Don’t lose to fucking 4-7 Florida or get blown out by Georgia and we’re not in this position.

Has nothing to do with Ohio State. 

 

Have a good morning 😬

It has everything to do with OSU, we replace that game with a Sun Belt home game, we are 10-2 with wins over 3 top 10 teams. We are coasting into the playoffs at this point.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted

AI takes in information according to its own bias. I just asked a couple of questions, and learned:

Quote

Texas has a low chance of making the College Football Playoff (CFP) despite beating Texas A&M, with a playoff predictor estimating their chances at around 11%.

And, this:

Quote

Texas A&M's chances of making the SEC Championship are 

very high; they can clinch a spot with a win over Texas. If they lose, they can still make it if Alabama loses to Auburn and Ole Miss loses to Mississippi State.

BOAIC?

Posted
4 minutes ago, HtownHorn said:

OSU at Michigan #15

Texas Tech #5 at WVU

OU #8 vs LSU

ND #9 at Stanford

Alabama #10 at Auburn

BYU #11 vs UCF

Miami #12 at Pittsburgh

Vanderbilt #14 at Tennessee

 

Three of LSU, Stanford, Auburn, Tennessee, and Pittsburgh have to hit for us to feel real comfortable. I am not concerned about Tech/BYU. Tech should easily win the rematch and eliminate BYU, but either one of them taking another loss before their rematch would leave no doubt that the Rig 12 is only getting one in.

They should move us ahead of vandy regardless of their game. Especially if it’s us or them for the last spot.  

Posted

Gerry Hamilton

 

College Football Playoff: No. 16 Texas now needs four teams to lose to get in 

No. 16 Texas kept their slim College Football Playoff hopes alive with the 27-17 win over No. 3 Texas A&M. 

While there can be an argument made Texas should/could be in with three top 10 wins and a very difficult road schedule, that's not the reality right now of what Tuesday's College Football Playoff ranking is saying. And that's all that matters headed into Saturday.

I'll start with this ... I believe Texas will end up jumping ahead of No. 12 Utah (the Utes should drop 2-3 spots off last two weeks alone, plus their schedule). If not, that's egregious. 

But let's start with Texas at No. 16, for now.

No. 1 Ohio State at No. 15 Michigan ...
No. 1 Ohio State must win at No. 15 Michigan. If Michigan wins, Texas is basically done. 

Result: Texas moves up to 15.

No. 12 Miami at Pitt...
Pittsburgh absolutely needs to beat the Hurricanes. That would knock Miami out most importantly, and also guarantee the ACC only gets one spot. Texas would need complete SEC chaos if Miami wins. 

Result: Texas moves up to 14. 

No. 14 Vanderbilt at No. 19 Tennessee ...
The Volunteers need to beat Diego Pavia in Knoxville. This one is key. A 9-3 Vandy 100% is behind a 9-3 Texas due to head-to-head. 

Obviously, an OU upset loss at home to LSU would mean the same. But let's go with the more likely scenario - Vandy losing at Tennessee. LSU's OL is truly going to struggle in Norman Saturday. 

Result: Texas moves up to 13.

No. 10 Alabama at Auburn ...
Auburn has a very good defense, and this rivalry is truly wild. A War Eagle upset over Bama would be huge for Texas. 

If not this game, maybe some very slight chance No. 9 Notre Dame takes a major upset at Stanford. Not likely. ND a 31.5 point favorite. 

Result: Texas moves up to 12

So Texas needs four things to happen Saturday to ensure they end up getting in. 

Now let's say only 15 Michigan, 12 Miami and 14 Vanderbilt lose Saturday ...
Texas is either 13 or 12, depending on what the committee does with Utah vs. Texas. 

Let's assume Texas is 12, as I believe they would be in this scenario. 

Then it will simply come down to Texas Tech winning the Big 12 Championship Game a week from tomorrow. 

At that point, Texas would be No. 11 and in. 

Final note: There are a couple of longer shot potential scenarios, to be clear.

 

After that, let's get back to Texas jumping Utah in a scenario where they are initially separated by one spot. Texas moves to No. 11 jumping Utah. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
Just now, D3zii said:

We’re not getting in. It is what it is. Don’t lose to fucking 4-7 Florida or get blown out by Georgia and we’re not in this position.

Has nothing to do with Ohio State. 

 

Have a good morning 😬

Ah, the style points argument. Classic. I thought we’d evolved beyond this. 
Heaven forbid a team have a bad 4th quarter on the road against arguably the best program in football. Totally don’t deserve to join a field of 12 that includes like 10 teams that didn’t play any team of that caliber

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
1 minute ago, Willfully Horn said:

AI takes in information according to its own bias. I just asked a couple of questions, and learned:

And, this:

BOAIC?

Ole miss has already not lost to state. Your Ai apparently doesn’t stay current. 

Posted
1 minute ago, B00M said:

Ah, the style points argument. Classic. I thought we’d evolved beyond this. 
Heaven forbid a team have a bad 4th quarter on the road against arguably the best program in football. Totally don’t deserve to join a field of 12 that includes like 10 teams that didn’t play any team of that caliber

We haven’t that’s why Texas dropped out of the top 25 after Fla.

Posted
6 minutes ago, D3zii said:

We’re not getting in. It is what it is. Don’t lose to fucking 4-7 Florida or get blown out by Georgia and we’re not in this position.

Has nothing to do with Ohio State. YALL in here saying don’t  schedule Ohio States are so fucking pathetic and soft and probably the reason we’re have this soft ass mentality around here

 

Have a good morning 😬

Yet if we scheduled some cupcake  we would be guaranteed in the playoffs now.  Don't hate the player, hate the game.  Unfortunate but true.

Posted
Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

Ole miss has already not lost to state. Your Ai apparently doesn’t stay current. 

My point. Same AI knew Texas beat aggy, but couldn’t give a shit assessing aggy’s immediate future.

Posted
8 minutes ago, D3zii said:

We’re not getting in. It is what it is. Don’t lose to fucking 4-7 Florida or get blown out by Georgia and we’re not in this position.

Has nothing to do with Ohio State. YALL in here saying don’t  schedule Ohio States are so fucking pathetic and soft and probably the reason we’re have this soft ass mentality around here

 

Have a good morning 😬

Ok tough guy. Enjoy the cheez-it bowl.

Also, you're wrong.

Posted
5 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Gerry Hamilton

 

College Football Playoff: No. 16 Texas now needs four teams to lose to get in 

No. 16 Texas kept their slim College Football Playoff hopes alive with the 27-17 win over No. 3 Texas A&M. 

While there can be an argument made Texas should/could be in with three top 10 wins and a very difficult road schedule, that's not the reality right now of what Tuesday's College Football Playoff ranking is saying. And that's all that matters headed into Saturday.

I'll start with this ... I believe Texas will end up jumping ahead of No. 12 Utah (the Utes should drop 2-3 spots off last two weeks alone, plus their schedule). If not, that's egregious. 

But let's start with Texas at No. 16, for now.

No. 1 Ohio State at No. 15 Michigan ...
No. 1 Ohio State must win at No. 15 Michigan. If Michigan wins, Texas is basically done. 

Result: Texas moves up to 15.

No. 12 Miami at Pitt...
Pittsburgh absolutely needs to beat the Hurricanes. That would knock Miami out most importantly, and also guarantee the ACC only gets one spot. Texas would need complete SEC chaos if Miami wins. 

Result: Texas moves up to 14. 

No. 14 Vanderbilt at No. 19 Tennessee ...
The Volunteers need to beat Diego Pavia in Knoxville. This one is key. A 9-3 Vandy 100% is behind a 9-3 Texas due to head-to-head. 

Obviously, an OU upset loss at home to LSU would mean the same. But let's go with the more likely scenario - Vandy losing at Tennessee. LSU's OL is truly going to struggle in Norman Saturday. 

Result: Texas moves up to 13.

No. 10 Alabama at Auburn ...
Auburn has a very good defense, and this rivalry is truly wild. A War Eagle upset over Bama would be huge for Texas. 

If not this game, maybe some very slight chance No. 9 Notre Dame takes a major upset at Stanford. Not likely. ND a 31.5 point favorite. 

Result: Texas moves up to 12

So Texas needs four things to happen Saturday to ensure they end up getting in. 

Now let's say only 15 Michigan, 12 Miami and 14 Vanderbilt lose Saturday ...
Texas is either 13 or 12, depending on what the committee does with Utah vs. Texas. 

Let's assume Texas is 12, as I believe they would be in this scenario. 

Then it will simply come down to Texas Tech winning the Big 12 Championship Game a week from tomorrow. 

At that point, Texas would be No. 11 and in. 

Final note: There are a couple of longer shot potential scenarios, to be clear.

 

After that, let's get back to Texas jumping Utah in a scenario where they are initially separated by one spot. Texas moves to No. 11 jumping Utah. 

All of these analyses are treating today's win as nothing more than not losing a game. Beating the undefeated #3 team by double digits is a big deal. 

  • Hook 'Em 4
Posted
Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

They should move us ahead of vandy regardless of their game. Especially if it’s us or them for the last spot.  

We should be ahead of OU, ND, BYU, Miami, Utah, and Vanderbilt, based on strength of Record.

Against the current or at the time played Top 10

OU - 1-1

ND - 0-2

Bama - 1-1

BYU 0-1 

Miami - 1-0

Utah 0-1

Vandy - 1-1

Texas - 3-2

Posted
2 minutes ago, TXpride said:

Ok tough guy. Enjoy the cheez-it bowl.

Also, you're wrong.

Has nothing to do with toughness, it’s simple. if we win the games we play we’re in. Unfortunately that didn’t happen so we left it up to chance . 

Posted
2 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

All of these analyses are treating today's win as nothing more than not losing a game. Beating the undefeated #3 team by double digits is a big deal. 

And kneeling the ball to end the game.  We should jump a few and still need help but yeah the horns did what was absolutely needed to have a chance. Good.

Posted
10 minutes ago, GabrielsHorn said:

You’re missing the entire point.  A 10-2 Texas is 100% in based on Notre Dame, BYU and Utah being ranked ahead of Texas despite winning zero meaningful games between the trio of them. 

That’s the only great argument we have. Very legitimate 

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...