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Русский корабль - иди нахуй


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3 minutes ago, TexasEd said:

I read that as 12th Man and was worried for a minute Aggy might invade Waco again.

Russians 

  • Have an inferiority complex/little brother syndrome
  • Have a need to blame all of their problems on somebody else
  • Use social media/websites/tv shows to pump sunshine
  • Have one helluva rollercoaster-like start to October
  • Need another season before they win their conference

James Franco GIF

Edited by atomheartbevo
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Didn't Elon's starlink tremendously help Ukraine at the start of the war. I don't think he's a Russian agent or sympathizer. He's just an egomanic idiot who can't  help himself on Twitter.

He buys a ton of aluminum from ruzzia. So, he either got a strongly worded letter or he’s afraid ruzzia will be declared a terrorist state.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/03/14/tesla-has-bought-aluminum-from-russian-supplier-rusal-since-2020.html
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So what are the best three drone-launched grenade strikes in the first 8 months of this special military operation and why are they

  • Grenade dropped next to a guy taking a shit in the woods
  • Grenade dropped through the sunroof of a packed pickup truck
  • Grenade dropped next to a dude going down on another dude
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3 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

So what are the best three drone-launched grenade strikes in the first 8 months of this special military operation and why are they

  • Grenade dropped next to a guy taking a shit in the woods
  • Grenade dropped through the sunroof of a packed pickup truck
  • Grenade dropped next to a dude going down on another dude

I think it was a sedan. And that one was incredible. 

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Good news all. The dumbfuck Anglo Saxons didn’t blow up Nord Stream correctly and Russia can fix it.  Germany just has to go ahead and approve NS2 like they were about to do before Russia invaded Ukraine.


 

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-03/gazprom-ready-to-ship-gas-via-shelved-nord-stream-2-pipeline

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10 hours ago, Bateshorn said:

 

Europe has to negotiate (buy off the Turks).  It's better to keep Turkey close and deal with Erdogan's bullshit than cut them loose and see them become a rogue state.

You are correct. Kicking Hungary out of Nato and the EU would be a big deal, but it would devastate Hungary.  Land locked, militarily weak, without access to other allies, they would be lumped in with the Serbs. Orban will come around once Erdogan signs on the line.

 

The Turks have an election next year, hopefully we won't have to deal with Erdogan after that.

 

1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

Grenade dropped next to a dude going down on another dude

Not close

 

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19 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

That’s what it is. You blame the goat and you escape your problems. 

Basically true. Since Yom Kippur starts tonight with Kol Nidrei:

On Yom Kippur, the ancient Hebrews would sacrifice one goat for the Lord and lead another one into the wilderness bearing the sins of the people. The ceremony is described in Leviticus, where it is said that one lot shall be cast for the Lord and one for "Azazel." Modern scholars usually interpret Azazel as being the name of a demon living in the desert, but ancient biblical translators thought Azazel referred to the goat itself, apparently confusing it with the Hebrew phrase ez ozel, meaning "goat that departs." The mistranslation was carried through Greek and Latin into a 16th-century English translation, where the word for the goat was rendered as scapegoote; that is, "goat that escapes." The extended senses of scapegoat we use today evolved from this biblical use.

Edited by Bevo
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12 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

Based on my exceedingly limited knowledge of the Russian army, that 100% tracks.

When I visited Russia many years ago, we had a driver/facilitator.  He was a good guy who (among other things) managed to get us out of the country when we accidentally overstayed our visas (small bribes were involved). 

Anyhow--he had been a conscript in the last year in Afghanistan, and some of his stories were mortifying.  Yeah, he was afraid of the Mujahiddin.  But for day-to-day suffering, that was inflicted by the guys who were in the second year in the army.  As he described it, "hazing" doesn't really cover it.  They just beat the shit out of their own guys for fun.  And if there was something that could be stolen along the way, so much the better.

 

How does one "accidentally" overstay one's visa in Russia of all places?

9 hours ago, ShaggyBevo RIP said:


He buys a ton of aluminum from ruzzia. So, he either got a strongly worded letter or he’s afraid ruzzia will be declared a terrorist state.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/03/14/tesla-has-bought-aluminum-from-russian-supplier-rusal-since-2020.html

I feel like a ton is probably an insignificant amount when you are in the business he is in.

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7 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

So what are the best three drone-launched grenade strikes in the first 8 months of this special military operation and why are they

  • Grenade dropped next to a guy taking a shit in the woods
  • Grenade dropped through the sunroof of a packed pickup truck
  • Grenade dropped next to a dude going down on another dude

The one dropped into the access hatch of an occupied tank

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Not embedding since it's images of Russian telegram sites

A Russian channel is saying that Russian forces have regrouped in Mylove from Dudchany, Kherson Oblast.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577206149341847552

A Russian correspondent says he thinks Ukraine may focus on an advance south from Vasylivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast where he says Ukraine is massing reserves to Melitopol, which, if successful, would force Russia to abandon Kherson (other side of Dnipro).

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577202149821321216

A Russian channel says Ukraine’s success in NE Kherson is a result of its huge advantage in manpower and equipment

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577198174795493376

 

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12 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Not embedding since it's images of Russian telegram sites

A Russian channel is saying that Russian forces have regrouped in Mylove from Dudchany, Kherson Oblast.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577206149341847552

A Russian correspondent says he thinks Ukraine may focus on an advance south from Vasylivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast where he says Ukraine is massing reserves to Melitopol, which, if successful, would force Russia to abandon Kherson (other side of Dnipro).

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577202149821321216

A Russian channel says Ukraine’s success in NE Kherson is a result of its huge advantage in manpower and equipment

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577198174795493376

 

People keep discussing of the Kherson or Luhansk offensives potentially being a feint, but maybe it is time to consider that with all the gear other countries have sent and all the time that the static lines of advance from this summer has allowed the UKA to not only reinforce their various units but to create enough additional units that they can simultaneously maintain both advances.

 

To me this seems like the UKA bided their time as long as they could and now are trying to do as much damage as they can to now capture operational objectives that will allow them to use artillery/HIMARS to isolate key towns and supply routes this winter. Combine continued shelling and missile strike with a lack of supples during the cold of winter to either soften them up for a winter advance or prepare them for Spring.

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4 minutes ago, Laxtonto said:

People keep discussing of the Kherson or Luhansk offensives potentially being a feint, but maybe it is time to consider that with all the gear other countries have sent and all the time that the static lines of advance from this summer has allowed the UKA to not only reinforce their various units but to create enough additional units that they can simultaneously maintain both advances.

 

To me this seems like the UKA bided their time as long as they could and now are trying to do as much damage as they can to now capture operational objectives that will allow them to use artillery/HIMARS to isolate key towns and supply routes this winter. Combine continued shelling and missile strike with a lack of supples during the cold of winter to either soften them up for a winter advance or prepare them for Spring.

I think the goal of the Ukrainians is to not let this thing last much longer than a year, 2 tops.  If they can fully retake the currently partially occupied territories and start on Crimea by the end of winter, Russia will have to concede the loss.  If this thing lasts for several years, the law of large numbers will start to tilt back to Russia's favor at some point.   

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15 minutes ago, Trey3216 said:

I think the goal of the Ukrainians is to not let this thing last much longer than a year, 2 tops.  If they can fully retake the currently partially occupied territories and start on Crimea by the end of winter, Russia will have to concede the loss.  If this thing lasts for several years, the law of large numbers will start to tilt back to Russia's favor at some point.   

The funny part in all of this is that most of the fronts in this conflict are pre established because of natural barriers and so once those lines match up, then the real strategy will begin.

Once Kherson is liberated, the only area of conflict that is not set along natural barriers of long standing fortifications is the northern sector of Luhansk (there are several small rivers running N/S but nothing like the Oskil or Dniper). 
 

How does the UKA get across the river in Kherson, or more appropriately where do they make the attempt.  What does the UKA do on Luhansk beyond taking strobelsk? At what point is the UKA willing to stop advancing and essentially laying siege to many of the major cities in the occupied territories?

The issue is not what is happening right now, as most of these moves look to be following a predestined path because of geography and lines of supply. The problem is how does the UKA deal with the much more compact and naturally defensible situation the RU will find themselves in next spring. 

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7 minutes ago, Laxtonto said:

People keep discussing of the Kherson or Luhansk offensives potentially being a feint, but maybe it is time to consider that with all the gear other countries have sent and all the time that the static lines of advance from this summer has allowed the UKA to not only reinforce their various units but to create enough additional units that they can simultaneously maintain both advances.

To me this seems like the UKA bided their time as long as they could and now are trying to do as much damage as they can to now capture operational objectives that will allow them to use artillery/HIMARS to isolate key towns and supply routes this winter. Combine continued shelling and missile strike with a lack of supples during the cold of winter to either soften them up for a winter advance or prepare them for Spring.

1 minute ago, Trey3216 said:

I think the goal of the Ukrainians is to not let this thing last much longer than a year, 2 tops.  If they can fully retake the currently partially occupied territories and start on Crimea by the end of winter, Russia will have to concede the loss.  If this thing lasts for several years, the law of large numbers will start to tilt back to Russia's favor at some point.   

The Ukrainians have been acting brilliantly on the battlefield, particularly in the past month, but I think the Russian collapses have surprised even them.  The Ukrainians are still able to exploit the collapses even though they come at the end of offensives, when you'd think the Ukrainian units would be exhausted.  There's been several reports of the Ukrainians not just retaking a village or an area, but the Ukrainians appearing be able to pursue the Russians fairly deep after a major assault, which speaks to the Ukrainians having a deep bench.

There's also been some Pentagon reporters saying that off-the-record, they have been told that the Russians are struggling to reinforce any areas, not just the priorities (Kherson/Crimea region), which the Ukrainians seem poised to exploit.  Basically, NATO is not seeing the Russian pushing reinforcements, whether it be Lyman or Kherson.

I haven't seen anything on Ukrainian troop numbers, but putting aside Russian propagandists on state TV claiming that they outnumber Russian troops by a wide margin, it's clear they do outnumber them, which is not surprising.  This maybe why the Ukrainians are also able to give their troops a break.

I've harped on this a lot, but the Ukrainians are clearly equipped far better than the Russians, but it's not just that - when you see videos of them, not only are they equipped well, but they look much fitter and healthier, and their morale seems extremely high (see the group dancing their way into Lyman).  Just extremely upbeat and extremely confident.

There's going to be some amazing books written about this when it's all over, but whatever the West and Ukrainian have been able to do with training is going to make a great book, because clearly they've rapidly built out a lot of units that did not exist (even on paper) prior to last February.

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7 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

it's not just that - when you see videos of them, not only are they equipped well, but they look much fitter and healthier, and their morale seems extremely high (see the group dancing their way into Lyman).  Just extremely upbeat and extremely confident.

Of course. They are actually fighting for something meaningful to them and taking it to the Russians. That has to help keep the morale up. 

The Russian soldiers, on the other hand, can't even give each other blow jobs without worrying about a drone dropping a grenade on them. That has to take quite the mental toll. 

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16 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

If you look at that on Google Maps, you'll see that "bridge in Dudchany isn't a bridge at all; it's a dam that impounds a small reservoir for the village.  That's not to say that it couldn't be blown--it could've been with enough explosives.  But it is to say that the resulting dry creekbed isn't going to pose that much of an obstacle to the advancing Ukrainians.

And even if it doesn't completely drain, it's less than 3 miles detour if you stick to the places where there are roads. It's a ~2 mile detour if they were to take the most direct route, which looks doable since it's mostly open fields.

image.png.f5aa33fbd628905b59c4a13f18678cc9.png

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If there a betting pool, I'd almost be betting that Kherson will be Ukraine's within two weeks.  Whole lot of little villages/towns in the Kherson region (NE of Kherson the city) are popping up as being liberated within the past 24 hours, and the Ukrainians seem to be driving south along the river, getting between the Russians and the river.

And there are Ukrainian troops who are north/west of Kherson putting pressure on Kherson proper (they are the ones hitting Kherson with arty/HIMARS), which means the Russians can't maneuver around or even break off some smaller units to respond to the NE of Kherson.

There are even claims that they are trying to completely sever the Antonovsky bridge so that the Russians can't even use it on foot.

Some examples of places liberated today:

https://twitter.com/ukrainiansquad/status/1577139733066498048

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1577270974868852736

 

 

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