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Mstrat

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Posts posted by Mstrat

  1. Players will unionize in single group after starting as multiple. States will move to cut funding, college teams will be forced to become full on licensed affiliates of universities and the big conferences will act as essentially upper end developmental league to the NFL, etc. As ratings for sports continue to decline, companies will pay less and less,tickets prices will soar up. TV deals and what not will become less lucrative and more sponsorships will be had for college athletic league.

  2. This is where I see the MLB divisions trending from this offseason.

    Most Improved
    1. NL East - Mets have spent enough, Phillies are spending again,
    Braves have traded up, Marlins and Nats are in the celler

    2. AL West - Rangers have some decent arms, Mariners added a little more firepower to their lineup, Astros held about the same overall, As are still weak, and Angels I suspect will actually hold together a bit better this year.

    3. AL East - Yankees will have a good year with Bader and their new pitchers helping them win some games when Judge’s bad isn’t going, O’s will be steadily improving, Jays slightly improved, Red Sox are tanking, Rays are meh

    Most regression
    1. NL West - Shocker is how fast the Dodgers have been gutted, Padres are slightly better, the rest is meh.

    2. AL Central - Guardians and Twins are about the same, Sox are going down to visit the Royals and Tigers

    3. NL Central - Cubs are somewhat better and everyone else is about who they were this past season.

  3. Maybe instead of taxing teams that go over the luxury tax (Mets) repeatedly is to revoke their first round draft picks the following year on first consecutive year violation. The more consecutive years you break, the more draft picks you forfeit.

  4. 2636517F-E3B6-48BF-976E-71F340CCCEDA.thumb.jpeg.f42b439d1c9f757dd283cccba45b78c2.jpeg

    For Houston to be this hard up on catchers makes me think they don’t believe Diaz/Lee are ready. We don’t have much farm, so Vasquez for 3 years makes sense.

    With LF/DH I have to think beyond just 2023. RF if we keep Tucker is 7-8 years 300 million at this rate. If they can’t tie him up in time before arbitration, we need to be looking to replace Tucker somewhere in the lineup. Maybe Benintendi (if still available) starts looking like a super great deal.
  5. Here are the arb estimates 
    Phil Maton (5.047): $2.5MM
    Ryne Stanek (5.038): $3.1MM
    Framber Valdez (3.163): $7.4MM
    Kyle Tucker (3.079): $5.6MM
    Jose Urquidy (3.049): $3.2MM
    Cristian Javier (3.000): $3.3MM
    Blake Taylor (3.000): $800K
    Mauricio Dubon (2.162): $1.2MM
     

    Here’s the thing - you REALLY don’t wanna go to arbitration. It’s not just paying them a set amount of money, it’s about the club explaining why they’re not worth whatever they ask for. Better to settle on a contract extension beforehand. Javier, Valdez and Tucker are settle guys. Possibly Stanek.
    • Hook 'Em 1
  6. Is it possible that Crane is secretly cheap? 
    he talks every trade deadline about how we will go way into the tax for the right deal but it never materialized. 
    our biggest FA outlay ever is like 60M under him, right?
    The Yordan extension was of the variety of “you can’t afford not to do this- and now we are letting the Cardinals drink our milkshake on our self appointed #1 target over an insignificant amount of money. 

    i don’t actually think he’s really cheap- but I think he damn sure talks more like a big swinging dick than actually acting like one. Interesting dynamic to watch play out this off-season. If the off-season becomes nothing more than JV out, Montero retained, Abreu signed and Brantley maybe brought in during spring training while way behind I can’t say that we actually got better, can you? I don’t think that’s how it all plays out. I certainly hope not. But it would be disappointing with as much swag as they displayed while kicking Click out. 

    Contreras situation I’m happy to lose out on. It’s a destructive deal.

    Christian Javier, Framber Valdez and Justin Tucker among others are scheduled for arbitration in January. If Crane is playing the long game, that money is going to be getting spent where it belongs.
    • Hook 'Em 3
  7. This Contreras talk has me very worried. Like franchise future worried.

    Advantages - pop in his bat at catcher/LF/DH, WS winner

    Disadvantages - costs us another draft pick and draft money, limits our ability to develop a catcher in house, will be pissed when dusty has him catch 1-2 pitchers a week, limits ability to resign Valdez, Javier and Tucker(particularly when his value rockets up after rule changes), poor defender in LF - particularly in road games, not good on bases particularly now with rule change

    If we wanna add someone before March where we’ll know where Brantley is at, I’d much rather throw in on Benintendi.

    Advantages - pop in his bat at LF/DH/possibly CF, gold glove level defense in OF when not playing at the Juice Box, left hand bat in post shift rule change, speed on bases (again rule change), can bat leadoff to relieve Altuve (who doesn’t like to do that), takes a known Astros killer away from Yankees, 28 years old, contact hitter, excellent numbers, WS winner

    Disadvantages - costs us some money, not as much home run pop, unsure of his status after wrist injury that kept him out of the playoffs

    • Hook 'Em 2
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