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TejanoAtUT

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Posts posted by TejanoAtUT

  1. Regarding the second carrier group deploying, this WSJ article mentions that it was a scheduled deployment. (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/israel-hamas-war-gaza/card/u-s-weighs-deploying-second-aircraft-carrier-group-i4fMGkmj7mGmlQCNqW1W), It's pay-walled, so I couldn't read the rest, so I'm hoping someone else might have other sources to provide additional context.

    I'm not at all knowledgeable about the topic, but I'm sure that along with the USS Gerald Ford already out there, it's not an unexpected show of force.

  2. Didn't see this mentioned before, but a bit of a thought about the name of the city, Matamoros. I grew up in the RGV and never thought about it, but unless I'm wrong, doesn't Matamoros literally mean:
    Mata = kill
    moros = moors

    So Matamoros is a surname from way back Spain, and used by some old badass known for "kill (er)" of "moors"?

    That's metal AF.

  3. 34 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

    This just came out. 

     

     

    This is just my own  likely dumb musing, at least until Ukraine makes a statement.

    Hoping not to jinx it, but having Ukraine hit the Russians on their own turf would be phenomenal, but if the Russians are claiming Ukraine attacked Belgorod, what are the odds the Russians carried out a false-flag op on their own fuel depot? 

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  4. The meeting will be in person and will be chaired by the NATO Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg. The Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Finland and Sweden

     

    Spoiler

    GENERAL

    1. An extraordinary meeting of the North Atlantic Council (NAC) at the level of Ministers of Foreign Affairs will take place at the NATO Headquarters on Friday 04 March. The meeting will be in person and will be chaired by the NATO Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg. The Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Finland and Sweden, as well as the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign And Security Policy, will take part.

     

  5. 4 minutes ago, Mantis Toboggan, MD said:


    I don’t trust Putin but he isn’t invading multiple NATO countries to get to Germany of all places.

    Keep turning up the pressure on Putin. It is the right approach for now.

    Also, it is hard to take your predictions seriously after you spent a week repeatedly saying Ukraine should consider blowing up Chernobyl.

    I agree with this.

    If anything, I'd bet the more likely scenario would be the interesting bit of speculation that was brought up by a correspondent on MSNBC. The Baltics and Poland have a justifiable concern about Putin getting ideas about bridging the gap between Kaliningrad and Belarus. This is obviously extremely unlikely, but slightly more likely that going straight for Germany.
     

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  6. 14 minutes ago, Shady Ray said:

    Sergei soiled himself.

    There has been discussion and speculation as to Putin's actual power over the Russian oligarchs and the country at large. Is this video meant to be a choreographed demonstration for the Russian public of Putin's control over his government, or is it meant more as a message meant to get any remaining doubtful internal government/oligarch elements in line with him?

    Western commentators and pundits have mentioned that Putin's speech from yesterday shows he came off as unhinged, at least in comparison to some of his previous remarks and actions. But is that really surprising to the experts that have been paying attention? I suppose what I'm really asking is, do Western governments believe Putin might have gone off the deep end for real?

  7. 21 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

    Let’s catch up on where things stand:

    -  Lots of LPR/DPR residents herded into tent cities. Russian state media reporting Ukrainian assaults on LPR/DPR forces and alleged terror attacks on LOR/DPR buildings.

    - Disinformation spiking on Ukraine across the Kremlin information ecosystem, nearly all about Ukrainian aggression 

    - Unnamed sources claim that Biden was so confident because of intercepted communications to proceed with an attack. Note- in 2014 Putin used motorcycle couriers to avoid exactly this

    - More movements of military equipment into battle order, lots of units popping up with a “Z” marker. Z is not a letter in Russian. Task force marker? 

    - Reports from Belarus locals saying Russian troops are drunk, undisciplined, living in tents in the woods and selling diesel and other equipment. Lots of tensions between locals and non-Slav Russian troops (Caucasians, Tatars, etc.).  A reminder that Russia has maybe 25k superbly trained and disciplined Spetznatz and the rest is questionable as seen in Georgian war. Harder to keep them in the field than you think. Russian heavy equipment is also fucking up Belarus roads and other transport infrastructure. 

    - Grom strategic exercises underway and yesterday was hypersonic and ICBM testing.

    - More ceasefire violations along the LOC than in years, mostly Russian. Clearly provocations. 
     

     

     Once again, thanks for all the great info and insight you, Shady Ray, and several others have shared on this thread.

    As y'all have mentioned a few times up-thread, as if on queue, Russian military activity & propaganda seems to be ramping up just as the Winter Olympics are winding down. A few weeks ago it felt like there might be a chance Putin might  be bluffing with the threat of military action to force some sort of concession or diplomatic agreement from Ukraine and Western governments. But now, I can't help but feel like Putin and Russia are more akin to a hurricane churning in the Gulf on a path to landfall, rather than an entity that can be reasoned with through diplomacy.

    Personal feelings aside, what diplomatic options are realistically left on the table? It seems like everyone's positions are well staked out and no one is going to budge now.


  8. During President Biden's press conference earlier today, one thing that was mentioned was whether Ukraine's President Zelenskyy would choose to attend the Munich Conference, or if he should remain in Ukraine due to the current situation in the Donbas.

    Considering Russia would jump at any easy opportunity to further destabilize the Ukrainian government, I imagine Zelenskyy will remain in Kyiv this weekend.

    In the unlikely scenario that Zelenskyy ends up traveling to Munich, I wonder if it would trigger Putin to give the go ahead for invasion before Zelenskyy returns. How realistic of a scenario would that be? I can't imagine it would be as simple as saying "go", as the sheer amount of the Russian forces probably would take some amount of time to coordinate and get rolling, right?

  9. 7 minutes ago, TXSG8R said:

    So my mom’s flight from ATL to Austin still hasn’t been cancelled. Are the roads still fucked down there?  

    Jim Spencer is still on set with Yeoman's on KXAN, and they've shared some TXDOT cams showing empty roads, Over here on east Riverside, I'm not seeing any cars on the streets.

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